玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)2.264.63-0.881.208.1112.1540.19-4.70.875.66-7.56-11.1181.28-2.148.2434.57-15.6-30.72
24Q2 (19)2.168.0-1.821.1115.636.7342.17-7.261.8881.85-13.92-6.7483.06-4.1448.2940.96-24.02-44.0
24Q1 (18)2.000.016.280.965.495.4945.47-0.15-14.2695.09-5.4-4.5486.65-9.2476.853.916.54-47.97
23Q4 (17)2.00-12.28-7.830.91-14.9519.7445.5414.228.61100.5218.09-16.0395.4727.1444.050.601.4-46.93
23Q3 (16)2.283.64-0.871.072.8859.739.87-3.670.9185.12-3.02-37.6375.0934.07-17.6749.90-31.77-41.13
23Q2 (15)2.2027.91-7.951.0414.2918.1841.39-21.958.7287.77-11.89-15.1756.0114.28-15.8873.14-29.42-2.43
23Q1 (14)1.72-20.74-18.870.9119.7426.3953.0326.4723.6799.61-16.79-21.1249.01-26.08-41.92103.628.6822.24
22Q4 (13)2.17-5.65-14.230.7613.43-22.4541.936.1316.73119.71-12.2828.8966.30-27.31-1.195.3412.4754.37
22Q3 (12)2.30-3.772.680.67-23.86-9.4639.513.78-2.66136.4731.9111.4891.2136.991.7784.7713.0915.51
22Q2 (11)2.3912.743.460.8822.22-1.1238.07-11.22-3.3103.46-18.071.3766.58-21.1-18.2274.96-11.5724.89
22Q1 (10)2.12-16.21-26.640.72-26.53-28.042.8819.3836.3126.2835.9639.084.3925.8817.884.7737.2667.27
21Q4 (9)2.5312.9512.440.9832.43-13.2735.92-11.51-11.2292.88-24.1315.4167.04-25.211.8661.76-15.851.23
21Q3 (8)2.24-3.0317.890.74-16.85-33.9340.593.1-15.42122.4219.9550.189.6210.0868.4973.3922.28-3.88
21Q2 (7)2.31-20.0735.880.89-11.0-7.2939.3725.14-26.23102.0612.347.5681.4113.6449.2460.0218.43-35.96
21Q1 (6)2.8928.44104.961.00-11.536.9931.46-22.24-51.1790.8512.89-27.671.6419.54-1.5450.68-16.93-56.74
20Q4 (5)2.2518.4252.031.130.8925.5640.46-15.69-34.2880.48-1.32-20.0659.9312.67-14.6761.01-20.09-33.68
20Q3 (4)1.9011.760.01.1216.670.047.99-10.080.081.56-14.050.053.19-2.490.076.35-18.530.0
20Q2 (3)1.7020.570.00.9631.510.053.37-17.170.094.89-24.380.054.55-25.030.093.72-20.010.0
20Q1 (2)1.41-4.730.00.73-18.890.064.434.660.0125.4924.650.072.763.60.0117.1627.350.0
19Q4 (1)1.480.00.00.900.00.061.560.00.0100.670.00.070.230.00.092.000.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)7.31-3.313.497.7249.923.46104.58-7.2765.38-3.1689.12-4.7
2022 (9)7.56-10.743.24-9.548.2512.03112.7810.5867.51-12.7493.5238.16
2021 (8)8.47-4.943.58-14.5643.075.1101.9917.0577.3729.967.69-1.25
2020 (7)8.9140.984.197.1640.98-29.0387.13-6.6659.56-1.4268.55-24.4
2019 (6)6.32-5.393.91-3.9357.745.6993.354.0360.42-22.7790.6837.12
2018 (5)6.68-20.14.07-17.7854.6325.1889.7321.6578.2314.5666.1334.66
2017 (4)8.36-4.684.95-19.5143.644.973.7624.268.2953.8149.11-13.2
2016 (3)8.7732.486.1514.7441.60-24.6159.39-12.8444.40-13.3856.58-21.49
2015 (2)6.6246.785.3633.055.18-31.7968.14-24.7951.26-28.2772.07-27.96
2014 (1)4.5123.564.03-16.3980.90-19.090.6019.5671.46-19.69100.0415.4

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