玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.9118.7510.198.7-20.032.64N/A-
2024/100.76-20.54-38.837.79-22.512.53N/A-
2024/90.9619.34-18.037.03-20.192.60.37-
2024/80.81-2.82-28.446.06-20.522.390.4-
2024/70.8310.55-23.475.26-19.152.310.41-
2024/60.753.25-21.434.43-18.292.170.47-
2024/50.734.87-22.223.68-17.612.250.45-
2024/40.69-16.92-24.122.95-16.392.090.49-
2024/30.8349.11-22.872.26-13.692.260.42-
2024/20.56-35.09-35.221.42-7.22.160.44-
2024/10.8616.929.010.8629.012.420.39-
2023/120.74-10.5210.1211.62-6.662.830.34-
2023/110.82-34.08-10.2410.88-7.623.320.29-
2023/101.272.8918.7110.22-5.883.670.26-
2023/91.235.011.088.95-8.573.530.46-
2023/81.174.0212.787.72-9.953.260.5-
2023/71.1318.0318.546.55-13.093.020.54-
2023/60.962.21-7.715.42-17.652.80.5-
2023/50.932.31-17.024.46-19.512.930.48-
2023/40.91-15.56-22.093.53-20.142.860.49-
2023/31.0825.25-9.512.61-19.442.610.68-
2023/20.8629.263.111.53-25.232.20.81-
2023/10.67-0.2-44.840.67-44.842.260.79-
2022/120.67-27.07-36.4212.45-8.252.660.76-
2022/110.92-14.0-20.411.78-5.873.20.63-
2022/101.07-12.384.5910.86-4.43.330.61-
2022/91.2217.176.099.79-5.293.210.8-
2022/81.049.33-7.578.57-6.73.030.85-
2022/70.95-8.1-25.117.53-6.573.110.83-
2022/61.04-8.1-15.716.58-3.133.330.86-
2022/51.13-3.932.495.54-0.353.490.82-
2022/41.17-1.92-3.724.42-1.053.210.9-
2022/31.242.72-12.723.24-0.053.240.94-
2022/20.84-30.8522.222.059.193.10.99-
2022/11.2115.021.691.211.693.420.9-
2021/121.05-8.7-32.3513.5611.153.230.98-
2021/111.1513.0-0.2112.5117.513.320.95-
2021/101.02-11.13-23.9711.3619.673.30.96-
2021/91.152.08-25.5610.3426.863.540.67-
2021/81.13-11.4-22.719.1939.123.620.65-
2021/71.273.4213.28.0656.613.60.66子公司半導體代理銷售增加
2021/61.2311.7442.826.7968.713.550.43子公司半導體代理銷售增加
2021/51.1-9.7652.995.5675.743.690.42子公司半導體代理銷售增加
2021/41.22-11.09103.944.4682.423.270.47子公司半導體代理銷售增加
2021/31.3799.8898.523.2575.473.250.48低基期
2021/20.69-42.46-6.041.8861.763.430.461-2月需求較去年同期略為增加
2021/11.19-23.48176.651.19176.653.90.4低基期
2020/121.5634.66125.4812.252.194.060.44客戶提前拉貨以備下一季庫存。
2020/111.16-13.965.1410.6545.284.040.44客戶備貨
2020/101.34-12.9976.39.4943.184.340.41客戶備貨。
2020/91.545.99118.078.1538.884.120.47第三季客戶提前拉貨以備第四季庫存。
2020/81.4629.7691.216.628.023.440.56第三季客戶提前拉貨以備第四季庫存。
2020/71.1230.4832.335.1517.072.70.72-
2020/60.8619.6943.994.0313.432.180.82-
2020/50.7220.298.63.177.242.010.89-
2020/40.6-13.4522.762.456.852.020.88-
2020/30.69-5.391.611.852.561.850.92-
2020/20.7369.461.341.163.141.850.921月因農曆年節假期未出貨之訂單遞延至2月出貨
2020/10.43-37.63-35.970.43-35.970.0N/A-
2019/120.69-1.3724.868.02-7.70.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.862023/10.672022/11.212021/11.192020/10.43
2024/20.562023/20.862022/20.842021/20.692020/20.73
2024/30.832023/31.082022/31.22021/31.372020/30.69
2024/40.692023/40.912022/41.172021/41.222020/40.6
2024/50.732023/50.932022/51.132021/51.12020/50.72
2024/60.752023/60.962022/61.042021/61.232020/60.86
2024/70.832023/71.132022/70.952021/71.272020/71.12
2024/80.812023/81.172022/81.042021/81.132020/81.46
2024/90.962023/91.232022/91.222021/91.152020/91.54
2024/100.762023/101.272022/101.072021/101.022020/101.34
2024/110.912023/110.822022/110.922021/111.152020/111.16
N/AN/A2023/120.742022/120.672021/121.052020/121.56
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.62%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.130.0-23.53
24Q2 (19)0.138.33-27.78
24Q1 (18)0.12-25.050.0
23Q4 (17)0.16-5.8877.78
23Q3 (16)0.17-5.5654.55
23Q2 (15)0.18125.038.46
23Q1 (14)0.08-11.11-46.67
22Q4 (13)0.09-18.18-35.71
22Q3 (12)0.11-15.38-38.89
22Q2 (11)0.13-13.33-31.58
22Q1 (10)0.157.14-21.05
21Q4 (9)0.14-22.22-17.65
21Q3 (8)0.18-5.26-35.71
21Q2 (7)0.190.0-17.39
21Q1 (6)0.1911.76-32.14
20Q4 (5)0.17-39.2921.43
20Q3 (4)0.2821.740.0
20Q2 (3)0.23-17.860.0
20Q1 (2)0.28100.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.140.00.0

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