玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.1116.84-3.482.1821.7922.4782.02-14.653.9941.79-17.74-18.3945.80-14.3814.7378.01-16.49-13.48
24Q2 (19)0.95-4.04-19.491.79-8.2126.0696.104.5424.6350.808.71-20.753.4923.5362.5893.41-2.04-13.72
24Q1 (18)0.99-9.17-8.331.953.1774.1191.9310.419.146.73-3.19-42.6843.303.8645.595.366.13-29.89
23Q4 (17)1.09-5.2217.21.896.1898.9583.265.57-15.0748.27-5.74-49.6741.694.4310.6789.85-0.34-42.51
23Q3 (16)1.15-2.547.481.7825.3591.478.872.28-7.6951.21-20.06-47.4239.9221.34-3.7190.16-16.73-36.22
23Q2 (15)1.189.262.611.4226.7954.3577.11-8.49-2.7964.06-21.43-35.5832.9010.55-26.41108.27-20.4-19.23
23Q1 (14)1.0816.13-5.261.1217.8931.7684.26-14.055.5281.53-14.99-24.029.76-21.0-49.31136.02-12.965.93
22Q4 (13)0.93-13.08-19.130.952.152.1598.0314.7423.7395.91-1.52-2.1237.67-9.14-39.27156.2810.5535.67
22Q3 (12)1.07-6.96-14.40.931.09-39.6185.447.7217.4897.39-2.0664.4541.46-7.27-6.52141.375.4661.38
22Q2 (11)1.150.88-15.440.928.24-53.0679.32-0.6618.4199.44-7.3113.9944.71-23.8512.79134.054.3981.59
22Q1 (10)1.14-0.87-6.560.85-8.6-47.279.850.787.38107.279.4789.6658.71-5.3525.1128.4111.4852.89
21Q4 (9)1.15-8.0-27.220.93-39.61-50.5379.238.9437.6597.9965.47101.9262.0339.8664.8115.1931.568.26
21Q3 (8)1.25-8.09-43.441.54-21.43-18.0972.738.5776.5359.2227.4422.6344.3511.8846.1887.6018.6748.1
21Q2 (7)1.3611.48-6.851.9621.7471.9366.99-9.917.7246.47-17.84-41.8239.64-15.53-10.1173.82-12.11-24.65
21Q1 (6)1.22-22.7819.611.61-14.3661.074.3629.19-16.9256.5616.55-38.0746.9324.68-14.9283.9922.68-33.17
20Q4 (5)1.58-28.5149.061.880.034.2957.5639.71-32.8148.530.5-25.2537.6424.06-10.0668.4615.74-37.04
20Q3 (4)2.2151.370.01.8864.910.041.20-33.750.048.29-39.540.030.34-31.20.059.15-39.620.0
20Q2 (3)1.4643.140.01.1414.00.062.19-30.510.079.87-12.550.044.10-20.050.097.97-22.050.0
20Q1 (2)1.02-3.770.01.00-28.570.089.504.470.091.3340.680.055.1631.80.0125.6815.580.0
19Q4 (1)1.060.00.01.400.00.085.670.00.064.920.00.041.850.00.0108.740.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)4.855.216.3864.0175.28-4.9757.19-38.9826.28-41.94106.18-16.85
2022 (9)4.61-5.343.89-15.2579.225.7793.7317.8545.26-15.0127.6926.2
2021 (8)4.87-3.754.59-30.3574.903.9379.5343.6353.2535.19101.1814.91
2020 (7)5.0619.626.5948.0972.07-16.4555.37-32.5139.39-5.788.05-30.41
2019 (6)4.23-13.854.4517.1186.2615.9782.04-14.741.77-0.95126.53-1.46
2018 (5)4.9112.363.800.074.38-11.0496.180.0642.17-10.52128.40-3.16
2017 (4)4.37-24.783.80-8.4383.6133.1296.129.3447.1321.41132.5918.49
2016 (3)5.81-5.684.1522.0662.815.9487.91-18.038.82-11.63111.90-8.71
2015 (2)6.16-11.493.407.5959.2913.06107.21-7.3143.93-10.49122.572.97
2014 (1)6.96-32.363.16-13.4252.4447.84115.6715.649.081.24119.0336.75

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