玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.9311.2-1.2812.6737.572.76N/A-
2024/90.83-17.0-29.4911.7541.983.091.55-
2024/81.0-19.83-12.8110.9253.883.51.37上半年訂單回流
2024/71.250.2623.629.9166.794.071.18訂單回流
2024/61.25-20.4527.048.6675.664.51.11訂單回流
2024/51.57-7.0473.97.4187.754.971.0訂單回流
2024/41.69-1.71133.395.8491.854.651.07接到新客戶訂單及原有客戶訂單回流
2024/31.7237.7276.914.1678.924.161.27急單拉貨
2024/21.254.6766.172.4480.363.371.57訂單回流
2024/11.1928.5698.071.1998.072.981.77之前流失訂單回流,並接獲新訂單.
2023/120.937.1515.8111.0-34.272.731.82-
2023/110.86-7.787.9710.08-36.782.981.67-
2023/100.94-20.573.939.21-39.153.271.52-
2023/91.182.626.968.27-41.883.341.51-
2023/81.1513.67-23.337.09-45.993.151.61-
2023/71.013.04-32.555.94-48.912.91.74-
2023/60.988.87-43.914.93-51.332.611.97訂單減少
2023/50.924.74-42.363.95-52.882.61.98訂單減少
2023/40.72-25.5-52.253.05-55.32.442.11訂單減少
2023/30.9729.36-50.12.32-56.172.322.28訂單減少
2023/20.7524.76-49.871.35-59.692.152.46訂單減少
2023/10.6-24.82-67.610.6-67.612.22.4訂單減少
2022/120.8-0.09-44.6816.74-26.822.52.06-
2022/110.8-11.24-57.6915.94-25.622.811.84訂單減少
2022/100.9-18.25-43.6515.14-22.513.511.47-
2022/91.1-26.45-43.1114.24-20.624.111.28-
2022/81.50.0-21.0413.13-17.894.751.1-
2022/71.5-14.31-16.7811.63-17.474.821.09-
2022/61.7511.89-20.2610.13-17.574.831.09-
2022/51.573.32-28.288.38-16.995.031.05-
2022/41.51-22.14-30.376.82-13.874.961.07-
2022/31.9529.96-7.425.3-7.625.30.92-
2022/21.5-19.39-16.653.35-7.734.81.01-
2022/11.8628.390.971.860.975.20.94-
2021/121.45-23.59-19.4222.8821.694.941.06-
2021/111.8918.22-8.6121.4326.045.440.96-
2021/101.6-17.47-20.9419.5430.845.440.96-
2021/91.942.090.0217.9438.975.640.86-
2021/81.95.3930.8816.045.875.90.82-
2021/71.8-17.8947.3914.148.156.180.78-
2021/62.20.6472.2712.2948.276.550.68接單續旺
2021/52.180.3148.3310.143.96.460.69-
2021/42.183.5150.017.9142.736.070.73接單暢旺
2021/32.117.038.895.7440.155.740.72-
2021/21.8-2.3437.63.6440.895.430.76-
2021/11.842.4544.251.8444.255.710.72-
2020/121.8-13.3441.118.827.935.890.7-
2020/112.072.2684.7717.026.686.040.68開發新客戶效益顯現
2020/102.034.4294.7714.9321.385.420.76本月出貨增加
2020/91.9433.59124.312.9114.64.620.81.本月創歷 史新高。2.去年客戶延緩交貨,比較基期較低。
2020/81.4518.6819.8910.975.483.950.93-
2020/71.22-4.041.519.513.583.970.93-
2020/61.28-13.3410.498.293.894.20.83-
2020/51.471.445.467.022.774.440.78-
2020/41.45-4.153.965.542.084.270.81-
2020/31.5115.923.264.091.434.090.81-
2020/21.312.3713.52.580.393.850.86-
2020/11.280.21-10.211.28-10.213.670.9-
2019/121.2713.4710.8114.696.630.0N/A-
2019/111.127.8-2.5613.426.250.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.192023/10.62022/11.862021/11.842020/11.28
2024/21.252023/20.752022/21.52021/21.82020/21.31
2024/31.722023/30.972022/31.952021/32.12020/31.51
2024/41.692023/40.722022/41.512021/42.182020/41.45
2024/51.572023/50.92022/51.572021/52.182020/51.47
2024/61.252023/60.982022/61.752021/62.22020/61.28
2024/71.252023/71.012022/71.52021/71.82020/71.22
2024/81.02023/81.152022/81.52021/81.92020/81.45
2024/90.832023/91.182022/91.12021/91.942020/91.94
2024/100.932023/100.942022/100.92021/101.62020/102.03
N/AN/A2023/110.862022/110.82021/111.892020/112.07
N/AN/A2023/120.932022/120.82021/121.452020/121.8
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.42%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.05-68.75400.0
24Q2 (19)0.16433.33700.0
24Q1 (18)0.03200.0200.0
23Q4 (17)0.010.0-50.0
23Q3 (16)0.01-50.0-50.0
23Q2 (15)0.02100.00.0
23Q1 (14)0.01-50.0-90.91
22Q4 (13)0.020.0100.0
22Q3 (12)0.020.0-33.33
22Q2 (11)0.02-81.820.0
22Q1 (10)0.111000.037.5
21Q4 (9)0.01-66.67-83.33
21Q3 (8)0.0350.0-62.5
21Q2 (7)0.02-75.00.0
21Q1 (6)0.0833.33300.0
20Q4 (5)0.06-25.0200.0
20Q3 (4)0.08300.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.020.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.020.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.020.00.0

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