玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)579.6211.760.03137.5-25.0-0.0271.43-200.0-0.1318.75-425.01.0929.76-2.6825.6415.2479.05-0.9682.26-200.01.42127.63-21.55-0.0180.0-200.00.02150.00.01.42127.63-21.551.42127.63-21.5531.5568.7556.55
24Q2 (19)520.023.81-0.080.0-166.67-0.0741.67-275.0-0.16-100.0-1500.00.8433.33-21.522.257.966.71-5.4150.18-463.09-5.1419.56-350.88-0.0528.57-350.0-0.040.0-300.0-5.1419.56-350.88-5.1419.56-350.88-4.70-350.00-149.16
24Q1 (18)5213.0426.83-0.08-700.0-500.0-0.12-340.0-400.0-0.08-366.67-500.00.63-42.73-37.020.6119.0610.75-10.86-456.07-637.62-6.39-1458.54-879.27-0.07-333.33-450.0-0.040-500.0-6.39-1404.08-879.27-6.39-1458.54-879.27-22.26-412.50-95.00
23Q4 (17)46-9.817.95-0.01-125.0-112.50.05150.0-44.440.03-25.0-78.571.1-1.79-1.7917.3120.880.643.05217.71-17.79-0.41-122.65-115.190.03200.0-25.00-100.0-100.00.49-72.93-76.44-0.41-122.65-115.191.4454.1750.00
23Q3 (16)5121.4330.770.04233.33-50.00.02-50.0-77.780.04500.0-33.331.124.673.714.32-31.32-25.570.96-35.57-77.981.81258.77-34.890.01-50.0-80.00.02300.0-33.331.81258.77-34.891.81258.77-34.895.83-8.33-25.00
23Q2 (15)422.447.69-0.03-250.025.00.040.0100.0-0.01-150.00.01.077.012.6320.8512.0433.311.49-26.241141.67-1.14-239.0226.920.020.00-0.01-200.00.0-1.14-239.0226.92-1.14-239.0226.92-1.86-162.50-27.78
23Q1 (14)415.135.130.02-75.00.00.04-55.5600.02-85.710.01.0-10.71-3.8518.618.213.962.02-45.55392.680.82-69.63-9.890.02-50.000.01-66.670.00.82-60.58-9.890.82-69.63-9.89-3.51-37.50-27.78
22Q4 (13)390.00.00.080.000.090.0350.00.14133.33124.141.123.713.1317.20-10.631.13.71-14.91889.362.70-2.882554.550.04-20.000.030.002.08-25.18267.742.70-2.882554.558.69150.00175.00
22Q3 (12)390.00.00.08300.0157.140.09350.0228.570.06700.0110.341.0813.6818.6819.2423.0263.334.363533.33193.562.78278.21147.20.050225.00.03400.0160.02.78278.21147.22.78278.21147.22.510.00175.00
22Q2 (11)390.00.0-0.04-300.071.430.020128.57-0.01-150.097.730.95-8.652.1515.64-4.239.520.12-70.73103.12-1.56-271.4373.5100100.0-0.01-200.083.33-1.56-271.4373.51-1.56-271.4373.51-1.80-150.00-50.00
22Q1 (10)390.00.00.020106.670.00-100.0100.00.02103.45106.671.045.0570.4916.3324.471472.270.41187.23101.720.91927.27104.8300100.00.010108.330.91173.39104.830.91927.27104.836.9250.0014.28
21Q4 (9)390.00.00.00100.0100.00.02128.57116.67-0.580.0-18.370.998.798.7913.1211.3833.88-0.4789.9194.46-0.1198.1398.430100.0100.00100.0100.0-1.2478.9584.0-0.1198.1398.433.3250.0064.28
21Q3 (8)390.00.0-0.140.0-566.67-0.070.0-40.0-0.58-31.82-75.760.91-2.158.3311.78-17.51-9.94-4.66-21.04-32.76-5.890.0-503.42-0.040.0-33.33-0.0516.67-600.0-5.890.0-503.42-5.890.0-503.4225.1626.6636.54
21Q2 (7)390.02.63-0.1453.33-55.56-0.0773.0856.25-0.44-46.67-22.220.9352.4630.9914.281300.075.21-3.8583.8869.3-5.8968.74-24.26-0.0473.3355.56-0.0650.0-100.0-5.8968.74-24.26-5.8968.74-24.269.75-17.09-21.80
21Q1 (6)390.00.0-0.30-87.5-11.11-0.26-116.67-62.5-0.3038.78-11.110.61-32.97-17.57-1.19-112.14-112.03-23.88-181.6-98.83-18.84-169.53-31.66-0.15-87.5-66.67-0.12-100.0-9.09-18.84-143.1-31.66-18.84-169.53-31.66-12.32-360.42-128.34
20Q4 (5)390.00.0-0.16-633.3340.74-0.12-140.025.0-0.49-48.4845.560.918.3324.669.80-25.08-22.04-8.48-141.623.4-6.99-578.7751.73-0.08-166.670.0-0.06-700.045.45-7.75-630.8246.48-6.99-578.7751.73--0.00
20Q3 (4)392.630.00.03133.330.0-0.0568.750.0-0.338.330.00.8418.310.013.0860.490.0-3.5172.010.01.46130.80.0-0.0366.670.00.01133.330.01.46130.80.01.46130.80.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)38-2.560.0-0.0966.670.0-0.160.00.0-0.36-33.330.00.71-4.050.08.15-17.590.0-12.54-4.410.0-4.7466.880.0-0.090.00.0-0.0372.730.0-4.7466.880.0-4.7466.880.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)390.00.0-0.270.00.0-0.160.00.0-0.2770.00.00.741.370.09.89-21.320.0-12.01-8.490.0-14.311.170.0-0.09-12.50.0-0.110.00.0-14.311.170.0-14.311.170.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)390.00.0-0.270.00.0-0.160.00.0-0.900.00.00.730.00.012.570.00.0-11.070.00.0-14.480.00.0-0.080.00.0-0.110.00.0-14.480.00.0-14.480.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.23-13.7-57.023.03-23.480.67N/A主係上期高單價機台集中出貨所致
2024/100.2649.85-3.832.8-18.30.79N/A-
2024/90.18-49.86-48.492.54-19.561.072.28-
2024/80.35-35.473.592.36-16.041.062.3-
2024/70.54229.7433.212.01-18.731.082.26-
2024/60.17-55.6-64.51.47-29.010.843.04高單價機台延後出貨所致
2024/50.3722.812.991.3-18.70.843.03-
2024/40.381.157.690.93-26.890.743.45-
2024/30.17-38.11-61.640.63-36.710.634.03上期集中出貨/本期訂單延後交貨所致
2024/20.2742.11-10.830.46-17.140.823.09-
2024/10.19-47.03-24.710.19-24.711.082.35-
2023/120.36-32.28-14.84.322.741.162.0-
2023/110.5393.1144.583.964.71.152.03-
2023/100.27-19.74-20.363.430.420.962.44-
2023/90.340.85-25.053.162.751.092.22-
2023/80.34-17.035.532.817.61.212.0-
2023/70.41-12.1530.52.477.91.22.01-
2023/60.4741.3419.152.074.321.082.36-
2023/50.3317.0420.281.60.681.052.43-
2023/40.28-35.48-1.481.27-3.381.022.49-
2023/30.4443.8469.780.99-3.90.992.68上期疫情影響,基期低/本月集中出貨
2023/20.320.0-27.970.56-28.480.982.72-
2023/10.25-40.06-29.080.25-29.081.042.56-
2022/120.4214.9261.944.222.21.132.3上期疫情影響,基期低/本期集中出貨
2022/110.376.36-22.993.7818.951.172.23-
2022/100.34-24.4637.283.4126.331.122.32-
2022/90.4642.0140.583.0725.211.092.44-
2022/80.322.667.212.6122.871.022.6上期疫情影響,基期低
2022/70.31-19.79-19.632.2918.470.982.72-
2022/60.3942.688.881.9828.070.952.79-
2022/50.27-4.14-7.361.5933.850.823.25-
2022/40.2911.191.591.3247.490.962.75-
2022/30.26-38.979.791.0368.561.032.58去年景氣影響,基期低而本年集中交貨所致
2022/20.4218.1482.230.78105.371.042.58上期景氣影響,基期低且本期集中交貨所致
2022/10.3636.87141.60.36141.61.092.45上期受疫情影響景氣基期低所致
2021/120.26-45.34-26.223.447.20.992.92-
2021/110.4889.61134.253.1811.331.052.74單價高之機台集中本月出貨
2021/100.25-22.65-30.362.71.910.773.75-
2021/90.3268.9134.362.456.990.913.22-
2021/80.19-50.68-55.972.133.770.943.11上期集中交貨所致
2021/70.398.67146.121.9419.911.042.8上期疫情影響延後交機所致
2021/60.3621.3829.611.556.190.933.23景氣回溫出口增加
2021/50.35.12114.531.190.70.813.73上期受疫情影響延後交貨
2021/40.2820.17-6.140.89-14.320.754.05-
2021/30.231.28-11.110.61-17.620.615.07-
2021/20.2356.63-30.890.38-21.180.734.24-
2021/10.15-58.21.060.151.060.74.41-
2020/120.3573.51522.553.21-1.610.923.41上期銷貨退回/本期集中出貨所致
2020/110.2-43.63-36.172.86-10.870.83.88-
2020/100.3649.251.022.65-8.091.043.01-
2020/90.24-44.65-9.822.29-9.370.843.96-
2020/80.44175.68169.162.05-9.320.873.8主係機台集中交貨所致
2020/70.16-42.77-29.541.61-23.10.575.78-
2020/60.28100.914.261.46-22.330.714.71-
2020/50.14-54.01-57.911.18-26.710.74.8受新冠肺炎疫情影響,客戶下單保守且延後交貨
2020/40.313.8118.181.04-18.750.93.75-
2020/30.26-21.25-12.050.74-27.840.744.58-
2020/20.33129.08-15.850.48-34.310.546.34-
2020/10.15157.48-56.280.15-56.280.0N/A本期工作天數較少且客戶延後至2月交機所致
2019/120.06-82.2-61.23.26-23.450.0N/A銷貨退回所致
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)4617.950.03-78.570.12-36.844.292.3917.713.211.88-16.440.27-79.550.08-11.110.02-60.00.01-83.33
2022 (9)390.00.1400.1904.1921.817.1662.962.2501.3200.0900.0500.060
2021 (8)390.0-0.580-0.3703.447.1710.532.13-6.660-6.540-0.230-0.240-0.220
2020 (7)390.0-0.490-0.4903.21-1.5310.31-21.42-8.900-5.980-0.290-0.20-0.190
2019 (6)390.0-0.900-0.5603.26-23.4713.12-21.34-9.620-10.690-0.310-0.350-0.350
2018 (5)392.630.030-0.0704.2620.6816.6833.23-0.7400.300-0.0300.0100.010
2017 (4)38-2.56-0.610-0.5803.53-12.8412.52-32.43-9.490-6.630-0.340-0.230-0.230
2016 (3)390.0-0.570-0.4404.052.2718.5337.77-6.350-5.490-0.260-0.220-0.220
2015 (2)392.63-0.740-0.5103.96-5.7113.45-23.93-7.170-7.220-0.280-0.290-0.290
2014 (1)3826.670.1100.0204.218.3117.6800.6801.0300.0300.06200.00.040

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