- 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
- 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
- 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
- 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
- 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
| 年/月 | 營收 | 月增率(%) | 去年同期年增率(%) | 累計營收 | 累計營收年增率(%) | 近三月累計營收 | 存貨銷售比 | 自結稅前EPS | 自結稅前累計EPS | 備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/11 | 0.23 | -13.7 | -57.02 | 3.03 | -23.48 | 0.67 | N/A | 主係上期高單價機台集中出貨所致 | ||
| 2024/10 | 0.26 | 49.85 | -3.83 | 2.8 | -18.3 | 0.79 | N/A | - | ||
| 2024/9 | 0.18 | -49.86 | -48.49 | 2.54 | -19.56 | 1.07 | 2.28 | - | ||
| 2024/8 | 0.35 | -35.47 | 3.59 | 2.36 | -16.04 | 1.06 | 2.3 | - | ||
| 2024/7 | 0.54 | 229.74 | 33.21 | 2.01 | -18.73 | 1.08 | 2.26 | - | ||
| 2024/6 | 0.17 | -55.6 | -64.5 | 1.47 | -29.01 | 0.84 | 3.04 | 高單價機台延後出貨所致 | ||
| 2024/5 | 0.37 | 22.8 | 12.99 | 1.3 | -18.7 | 0.84 | 3.03 | - | ||
| 2024/4 | 0.3 | 81.15 | 7.69 | 0.93 | -26.89 | 0.74 | 3.45 | - | ||
| 2024/3 | 0.17 | -38.11 | -61.64 | 0.63 | -36.71 | 0.63 | 4.03 | 上期集中出貨/本期訂單延後交貨所致 | ||
| 2024/2 | 0.27 | 42.11 | -10.83 | 0.46 | -17.14 | 0.82 | 3.09 | - | ||
| 2024/1 | 0.19 | -47.03 | -24.71 | 0.19 | -24.71 | 1.08 | 2.35 | - | ||
| 2023/12 | 0.36 | -32.28 | -14.8 | 4.32 | 2.74 | 1.16 | 2.0 | - | ||
| 2023/11 | 0.53 | 93.11 | 44.58 | 3.96 | 4.7 | 1.15 | 2.03 | - | ||
| 2023/10 | 0.27 | -19.74 | -20.36 | 3.43 | 0.42 | 0.96 | 2.44 | - | ||
| 2023/9 | 0.34 | 0.85 | -25.05 | 3.16 | 2.75 | 1.09 | 2.22 | - | ||
| 2023/8 | 0.34 | -17.03 | 5.53 | 2.81 | 7.6 | 1.21 | 2.0 | - | ||
| 2023/7 | 0.41 | -12.15 | 30.5 | 2.47 | 7.9 | 1.2 | 2.01 | - | ||
| 2023/6 | 0.47 | 41.34 | 19.15 | 2.07 | 4.32 | 1.08 | 2.36 | - | ||
| 2023/5 | 0.33 | 17.04 | 20.28 | 1.6 | 0.68 | 1.05 | 2.43 | - | ||
| 2023/4 | 0.28 | -35.48 | -1.48 | 1.27 | -3.38 | 1.02 | 2.49 | - | ||
| 2023/3 | 0.44 | 43.84 | 69.78 | 0.99 | -3.9 | 0.99 | 2.68 | 上期疫情影響，基期低/本月集中出貨 | ||
| 2023/2 | 0.3 | 20.0 | -27.97 | 0.56 | -28.48 | 0.98 | 2.72 | - | ||
| 2023/1 | 0.25 | -40.06 | -29.08 | 0.25 | -29.08 | 1.04 | 2.56 | - | ||
| 2022/12 | 0.42 | 14.92 | 61.94 | 4.2 | 22.2 | 1.13 | 2.3 | 上期疫情影響，基期低/本期集中出貨 | ||
| 2022/11 | 0.37 | 6.36 | -22.99 | 3.78 | 18.95 | 1.17 | 2.23 | - | ||
| 2022/10 | 0.34 | -24.46 | 37.28 | 3.41 | 26.33 | 1.12 | 2.32 | - | ||
| 2022/9 | 0.46 | 42.01 | 40.58 | 3.07 | 25.21 | 1.09 | 2.44 | - | ||
| 2022/8 | 0.32 | 2.6 | 67.21 | 2.61 | 22.87 | 1.02 | 2.6 | 上期疫情影響，基期低 | ||
| 2022/7 | 0.31 | -19.79 | -19.63 | 2.29 | 18.47 | 0.98 | 2.72 | - | ||
| 2022/6 | 0.39 | 42.68 | 8.88 | 1.98 | 28.07 | 0.95 | 2.79 | - | ||
| 2022/5 | 0.27 | -4.14 | -7.36 | 1.59 | 33.85 | 0.82 | 3.25 | - | ||
| 2022/4 | 0.29 | 11.19 | 1.59 | 1.32 | 47.49 | 0.96 | 2.75 | - | ||
| 2022/3 | 0.26 | -38.97 | 9.79 | 1.03 | 68.56 | 1.03 | 2.58 | 去年景氣影響,基期低而本年集中交貨所致 | ||
| 2022/2 | 0.42 | 18.14 | 82.23 | 0.78 | 105.37 | 1.04 | 2.58 | 上期景氣影響,基期低且本期集中交貨所致 | ||
| 2022/1 | 0.36 | 36.87 | 141.6 | 0.36 | 141.6 | 1.09 | 2.45 | 上期受疫情影響景氣基期低所致 | ||
| 2021/12 | 0.26 | -45.34 | -26.22 | 3.44 | 7.2 | 0.99 | 2.92 | - | ||
| 2021/11 | 0.48 | 89.61 | 134.25 | 3.18 | 11.33 | 1.05 | 2.74 | 單價高之機台集中本月出貨 | ||
| 2021/10 | 0.25 | -22.65 | -30.36 | 2.7 | 1.91 | 0.77 | 3.75 | - | ||
| 2021/9 | 0.32 | 68.91 | 34.36 | 2.45 | 6.99 | 0.91 | 3.22 | - | ||
| 2021/8 | 0.19 | -50.68 | -55.97 | 2.13 | 3.77 | 0.94 | 3.11 | 上期集中交貨所致 | ||
| 2021/7 | 0.39 | 8.67 | 146.12 | 1.94 | 19.91 | 1.04 | 2.8 | 上期疫情影響延後交機所致 | ||
| 2021/6 | 0.36 | 21.38 | 29.61 | 1.55 | 6.19 | 0.93 | 3.23 | 景氣回溫出口增加 | ||
| 2021/5 | 0.3 | 5.12 | 114.53 | 1.19 | 0.7 | 0.81 | 3.73 | 上期受疫情影響延後交貨 | ||
| 2021/4 | 0.28 | 20.17 | -6.14 | 0.89 | -14.32 | 0.75 | 4.05 | - | ||
| 2021/3 | 0.23 | 1.28 | -11.11 | 0.61 | -17.62 | 0.61 | 5.07 | - | ||
| 2021/2 | 0.23 | 56.63 | -30.89 | 0.38 | -21.18 | 0.73 | 4.24 | - | ||
| 2021/1 | 0.15 | -58.2 | 1.06 | 0.15 | 1.06 | 0.7 | 4.41 | - | ||
| 2020/12 | 0.35 | 73.51 | 522.55 | 3.21 | -1.61 | 0.92 | 3.41 | 上期銷貨退回/本期集中出貨所致 | ||
| 2020/11 | 0.2 | -43.63 | -36.17 | 2.86 | -10.87 | 0.8 | 3.88 | - | ||
| 2020/10 | 0.36 | 49.25 | 1.02 | 2.65 | -8.09 | 1.04 | 3.01 | - | ||
| 2020/9 | 0.24 | -44.65 | -9.82 | 2.29 | -9.37 | 0.84 | 3.96 | - | ||
| 2020/8 | 0.44 | 175.68 | 169.16 | 2.05 | -9.32 | 0.87 | 3.8 | 主係機台集中交貨所致 | ||
| 2020/7 | 0.16 | -42.77 | -29.54 | 1.61 | -23.1 | 0.57 | 5.78 | - | ||
| 2020/6 | 0.28 | 100.91 | 4.26 | 1.46 | -22.33 | 0.71 | 4.71 | - | ||
| 2020/5 | 0.14 | -54.01 | -57.91 | 1.18 | -26.71 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 受新冠肺炎疫情影響,客戶下單保守且延後交貨 | ||
| 2020/4 | 0.3 | 13.81 | 18.18 | 1.04 | -18.75 | 0.9 | 3.75 | - | ||
| 2020/3 | 0.26 | -21.25 | -12.05 | 0.74 | -27.84 | 0.74 | 4.58 | - | ||
| 2020/2 | 0.33 | 129.08 | -15.85 | 0.48 | -34.31 | 0.54 | 6.34 | - | ||
| 2020/1 | 0.15 | 157.48 | -56.28 | 0.15 | -56.28 | 0.0 | N/A | 本期工作天數較少且客戶延後至2月交機所致 | ||
| 2019/12 | 0.06 | -82.2 | -61.2 | 3.26 | -23.45 | 0.0 | N/A | 銷貨退回所致 |
| 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 | 年/月 | 營收 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/1 | 0.19 | 2023/1 | 0.25 | 2022/1 | 0.36 | 2021/1 | 0.15 | 2020/1 | 0.15 |
| 2024/2 | 0.27 | 2023/2 | 0.3 | 2022/2 | 0.42 | 2021/2 | 0.23 | 2020/2 | 0.33 |
| 2024/3 | 0.17 | 2023/3 | 0.44 | 2022/3 | 0.26 | 2021/3 | 0.23 | 2020/3 | 0.26 |
| 2024/4 | 0.3 | 2023/4 | 0.28 | 2022/4 | 0.29 | 2021/4 | 0.28 | 2020/4 | 0.3 |
| 2024/5 | 0.37 | 2023/5 | 0.33 | 2022/5 | 0.27 | 2021/5 | 0.3 | 2020/5 | 0.14 |
| 2024/6 | 0.17 | 2023/6 | 0.47 | 2022/6 | 0.39 | 2021/6 | 0.36 | 2020/6 | 0.28 |
| 2024/7 | 0.54 | 2023/7 | 0.41 | 2022/7 | 0.31 | 2021/7 | 0.39 | 2020/7 | 0.16 |
| 2024/8 | 0.35 | 2023/8 | 0.34 | 2022/8 | 0.32 | 2021/8 | 0.19 | 2020/8 | 0.44 |
| 2024/9 | 0.18 | 2023/9 | 0.34 | 2022/9 | 0.46 | 2021/9 | 0.32 | 2020/9 | 0.24 |
| 2024/10 | 0.26 | 2023/10 | 0.27 | 2022/10 | 0.34 | 2021/10 | 0.25 | 2020/10 | 0.36 |
| 2024/11 | 0.23 | 2023/11 | 0.53 | 2022/11 | 0.37 | 2021/11 | 0.48 | 2020/11 | 0.2 |
| N/A | N/A | 2023/12 | 0.36 | 2022/12 | 0.42 | 2021/12 | 0.26 | 2020/12 | 0.35 |
- 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
| 合約負債 QoQ YoY | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 24Q3 (20) | 0.24 | -51.02 | -33.33 |
| 24Q2 (19) | 0.49 | -5.77 | 104.17 |
| 24Q1 (18) | 0.52 | 48.57 | 160.0 |
| 23Q4 (17) | 0.35 | -2.78 | 105.88 |
| 23Q3 (16) | 0.36 | 50.0 | 89.47 |
| 23Q2 (15) | 0.24 | 20.0 | 200.0 |
| 23Q1 (14) | 0.2 | 17.65 | 122.22 |
| 22Q4 (13) | 0.17 | -10.53 | -15.0 |
| 22Q3 (12) | 0.19 | 137.5 | -17.39 |
| 22Q2 (11) | 0.08 | -11.11 | -57.89 |
| 22Q1 (10) | 0.09 | -55.0 | -57.14 |
| 21Q4 (9) | 0.2 | -13.04 | 185.71 |
| 21Q3 (8) | 0.23 | 21.05 | -30.3 |
| 21Q2 (7) | 0.19 | -9.52 | -5.0 |
| 21Q1 (6) | 0.21 | 200.0 | -32.26 |
| 20Q4 (5) | 0.07 | -78.79 | -78.79 |
| 20Q3 (4) | 0.33 | 65.0 | 0.0 |
| 20Q2 (3) | 0.2 | -35.48 | 0.0 |
| 20Q1 (2) | 0.31 | -6.06 | 0.0 |
| 19Q4 (1) | 0.33 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
