玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.63-58.821160.04.7680.3164.44143.38140.97-92.7519.13-44.49-62.1940.5841.84-84.57121.9486.6-93.09
24Q2 (19)1.531812.5218.752.64780.0-82.6959.50-94.75-68.4434.46-88.55477.2228.61-81.39-63.8765.35-94.9-43.32
24Q1 (18)0.08-11.11-80.490.30-87.23-97.761133.3314.59405.7300.83677.344337.02153.73264.4628.051280.4329.921055.1
23Q4 (17)0.0980.0-82.02.3530.56-73.17989.04-49.96444.4238.70-23.5272.4742.18-83.96-56.64985.55-44.14939.83
23Q3 (16)0.05-89.58-93.981.80-88.2-76.061976.51948.381700.7650.59747.4318.1262.91232.0356.361764.181430.082645.81
23Q2 (15)0.4817.07-71.4315.2513.72250.57188.53-15.88248.815.97-11.95-71.4579.19-34.0490.45115.304.01245.31
23Q1 (14)0.41-18.0-60.5813.4153.081268.37224.1123.36157.016.78-34.74-92.72120.0523.424.13110.8516.9670.41
22Q4 (13)0.50-39.76-40.488.7616.49491.89181.6765.5268.4610.39-14.13-83.1497.2768.84-6.9994.7847.5246.09
22Q3 (12)0.83-50.6-23.857.5272.8752.54109.76103.0731.1812.10-42.13-34.4957.6138.55-10.0764.2592.4268.77
22Q2 (11)1.6861.5454.134.35343.8822.1954.05-38.02-35.0820.91-77.55-18.1941.58-63.93-13.2833.39-48.67-45.15
22Q1 (10)1.0423.81-29.730.98-33.78-60.1687.20-19.1441.6593.1451.15151.66115.2910.24201.5765.050.267.79
21Q4 (9)0.84-22.94-33.331.48-69.9833.33107.8428.8949.0961.62233.62-24.77104.5863.25103.3864.8870.42-36.91
21Q3 (8)1.090.0-26.854.9338.48314.2983.670.4937.0318.47-27.74-75.7564.0633.635.6938.07-37.46-57.7
21Q2 (7)1.09-26.35-33.133.5644.72217.8683.2635.2548.8925.56-30.94-68.647.9525.43-28.5360.870.86-13.34
21Q1 (6)1.4817.46-39.842.46121.6261.8461.56-14.8966.0637.01-54.82-38.1238.23-25.65-18.3360.35-41.3120.53
20Q4 (5)1.26-15.44-46.151.11-6.72177.572.3318.4685.6581.917.55-64.0751.428.92-40.72102.8314.26-42.93
20Q3 (4)1.49-8.590.01.196.250.061.069.190.076.16-6.450.047.21-29.630.090.0028.130.0
20Q2 (3)1.63-33.740.01.12-26.320.055.9250.850.081.4136.110.067.0943.320.070.2440.280.0
20Q1 (2)2.465.130.01.52280.00.037.07-4.850.059.81-73.760.046.81-46.030.050.07-72.210.0
19Q4 (1)2.340.00.00.400.00.038.960.00.0227.960.00.086.740.00.0180.180.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)0.94-84.8930.9329.79388.02561.711.80-22.98167.02312.6232.80595.55
2022 (9)6.2223.1723.83386.3358.64-18.8815.32-79.4240.48-50.8333.47-48.04
2021 (8)5.05-39.234.90-4.372.2964.5674.454.3482.3363.9464.41-1.0
2020 (7)8.3116.065.1277.7843.93-13.871.35-43.6950.22-23.265.06-42.06
2019 (6)7.16-18.082.8833.9550.9622.06126.72-25.3165.39-68.65112.293896.09
2018 (5)8.7411.912.15-38.7541.75-10.7169.6563.28208.59-16.312.810
2017 (4)7.8112.863.51-38.7446.75-11.31103.9063.19249.2340.25-98.580
2016 (3)6.9249.785.73-42.052.71-33.2163.6772.31177.7031.84-61.320
2015 (2)4.6218.779.8815.6978.92-15.9436.95-13.59134.781.0-18.910
2014 (1)3.89-10.168.5412.6693.8811.4642.76-11.18133.4542.093.19-91.7

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