玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.26-19.850.8525.854.588.08N/A係本公司自結合併營收
2024/92.82-5.727.1623.594.958.830.53係本公司自結合併營收
2024/82.99-0.791.6620.774.658.650.54係本公司自結合併營收
2024/73.0214.514.5717.775.188.290.56係本公司自結合併營收
2024/62.63-0.0210.4214.763.448.030.56係本公司自結合併營收
2024/52.64-4.351.3512.122.047.90.57係本公司自結合併營收
2024/42.7610.06.149.492.246.590.68係本公司自結合併營收
2024/32.5188.6-10.656.730.726.730.63係本公司自結合併營收
2024/21.33-54.14-24.154.228.946.640.63係本公司自結合併營收
2024/12.920.1136.22.936.27.770.54係本公司自結合併營收
2023/122.41-1.84-6.9429.59-20.617.110.59係本公司自結合併營收
2023/112.469.568.5627.17-21.637.330.58係本公司自結合併營收
2023/102.24-14.83-15.1924.72-23.747.820.54係本公司自結合併營收
2023/92.63-10.56-10.8322.48-24.58.210.51係本公司自結合併營收
2023/82.9411.790.0419.84-26.017.960.52係本公司自結合併營收
2023/72.6310.35-19.7816.9-29.227.620.55係本公司自結合併營收
2023/62.39-8.24-28.4114.26-30.727.580.6係本公司自結合併營收
2023/52.60.16-27.7911.88-31.178.00.56係本公司自結合併營收
2023/42.6-7.4-29.189.28-32.067.150.63係本公司自結合併營收
2023/32.860.11-17.056.68-33.126.680.78係本公司自結合併營收
2023/21.75-17.65-31.493.88-41.336.470.81係本公司自結合併營收
2023/12.13-17.93-47.542.13-47.546.980.75係本公司自結合併營收
2022/122.5914.5-31.737.27-10.397.50.76係本公司自結合併營收
2022/112.26-14.4-40.8834.68-8.257.860.72係本公司自結合併營收
2022/102.64-10.45-23.5632.42-4.578.540.66係本公司自結合併營收
2022/92.950.35-20.2229.77-2.429.180.68係本公司自結合併營收
2022/82.94-10.36-24.3726.820.039.560.65係本公司自結合併營收
2022/73.28-1.51-18.6423.884.1710.220.61係本公司自結合併營收
2022/63.33-7.44-3.6420.599.0510.60.7係本公司自結合併營收
2022/53.6-1.7511.0817.2611.910.650.7係本公司自結合併營收
2022/43.678.4410.6713.6612.129.60.78係本公司自結合併營收
2022/33.3832.234.369.9912.669.990.81係本公司自結合併營收
2022/22.56-36.9416.646.6117.4410.410.78係本公司自結合併營收
2022/14.056.8417.954.0517.9511.680.7係本公司自結合併營收
2021/123.79-0.8926.1241.5932.6811.080.75係本公司自結合併營收
2021/113.8310.6632.4537.833.3810.990.75係本公司自結合併營收
2021/103.46-6.5435.0633.9733.4911.050.75係本公司自結合併營收
2021/93.7-4.8632.3430.5133.3111.630.69係本公司自結合併營收
2021/83.89-3.5752.0726.8133.4411.390.71主係因新冠肺炎影響趨緩,客戶需求及訂單明顯回升。
2021/74.0416.6338.9122.9230.7310.740.75係本公司自結合併營收
2021/63.466.739.6518.8829.110.010.87係本公司自結合併營收
2021/53.24-2.1110.4515.4226.959.790.89係本公司自結合併營收
2021/43.312.251.812.1832.28.740.99係本公司自結合併營收
2021/33.2447.813.78.8748.88.870.88係本公司自結合併營收
2021/22.19-36.2457.515.6380.958.640.91去年同期受疫情影響營收基期低, 今年2月下游需求回溫,客戶回補庫存。
2021/13.4414.2499.923.4499.929.340.84主係去年春節假期於1月故工作日較少,以致本年1月營收較去年同期增加。
2020/123.014.0818.7131.350.048.460.8係本公司自結合併營收
2020/112.8912.853.2328.34-1.68.250.82係本公司自結合併營收
2020/102.56-8.422.025.45-2.127.920.86係本公司自結合併營收
2020/92.89.322.0922.89-2.568.260.77係本公司自結合併營收
2020/82.56-11.92-8.6920.09-3.177.940.8係本公司自結合併營收
2020/72.917.256.8817.53-2.318.320.76係本公司自結合併營收
2020/62.48-15.6-10.214.63-3.958.670.67係本公司自結合併營收
2020/52.94-9.773.9512.15-2.579.040.64係本公司自結合併營收
2020/43.2514.216.249.21-4.487.490.78係本公司自結合併營收
2020/32.85104.765.545.96-12.965.960.9係本公司自結合併營收
2020/21.39-19.07-0.913.11-25.05.640.95係本公司自結合併營收
2020/11.72-32.15-37.331.72-37.337.050.76係本公司自結合併營收
2019/122.53-9.49-2.6131.330.740.0N/A係本公司自結合併營收
2019/112.811.59.5228.81.040.0N/A係本公司自結合併營收
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.92023/12.132022/14.052021/13.442020/11.72
2024/21.332023/21.752022/22.562021/22.192020/21.39
2024/32.512023/32.82022/33.382021/33.242020/32.85
2024/42.762023/42.62022/43.672021/43.312020/43.25
2024/52.642023/52.62022/53.62021/53.242020/52.94
2024/62.632023/62.392022/63.332021/63.462020/62.48
2024/73.022023/72.632022/73.282021/74.042020/72.9
2024/82.992023/82.942022/82.942021/83.892020/82.56
2024/92.822023/92.632022/92.952021/93.72020/92.8
2024/102.262023/102.242022/102.642021/103.462020/102.56
N/AN/A2023/112.462022/112.262021/113.832020/112.89
N/AN/A2023/122.412022/122.592021/123.792020/123.01
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.34%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.29-14.71-12.12
24Q2 (19)0.346.2525.93
24Q1 (18)0.3218.5233.33
23Q4 (17)0.27-18.188.0
23Q3 (16)0.3322.22-5.71
23Q2 (15)0.2712.5-15.62
23Q1 (14)0.24-4.0-7.69
22Q4 (13)0.25-28.5738.89
22Q3 (12)0.359.3866.67
22Q2 (11)0.3223.08128.57
22Q1 (10)0.2644.44100.0
21Q4 (9)0.18-14.2963.64
21Q3 (8)0.2150.061.54
21Q2 (7)0.147.697.69
21Q1 (6)0.1318.188.33
20Q4 (5)0.11-15.380
20Q3 (4)0.130.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.138.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.1200.0

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