玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/103.06-11.8418.1229.3125.169.67N/A-
2024/93.4710.9742.7326.2526.049.720.48-
2024/83.130.4131.8622.7723.839.550.49-
2024/73.12-5.634.1719.6422.649.640.49-
2024/63.32.5643.7316.5320.689.480.46-
2024/53.228.7152.2113.2216.048.550.51接單成長
2024/42.9625.0227.8310.07.797.380.59-
2024/32.3715.394.757.041.127.040.59-
2024/22.05-21.6-10.094.67-0.627.470.56-
2024/12.62-6.48.322.628.328.130.51-
2023/122.83.313.5828.92-16.068.10.46-
2023/112.714.463.826.13-18.347.740.48-
2023/102.596.51-4.3923.42-20.37.40.51-
2023/92.432.52-10.4820.82-21.927.130.55-
2023/82.372.16-15.4618.39-23.227.00.56-
2023/72.321.12-17.216.02-24.256.740.58-
2023/62.38.62-18.8613.69-25.336.730.55-
2023/52.12-8.69-30.9611.4-26.516.690.55-
2023/42.322.45-24.689.28-25.426.860.54-
2023/32.26-0.96-25.76.96-25.666.960.58-
2023/22.28-5.55-24.544.7-25.647.160.57-
2023/12.42-1.85-26.652.42-26.657.490.54-
2022/122.46-5.58-15.1934.4618.677.780.63-
2022/112.61-3.78-6.131.9922.438.040.61-
2022/102.71-0.27-0.4129.3925.838.240.59-
2022/92.72-3.172.9826.6729.298.330.61-
2022/82.810.0526.5323.9533.158.450.6-
2022/72.81-0.8917.8521.1534.088.70.58-
2022/62.83-7.5820.4218.3436.978.970.57-
2022/53.06-0.3932.7415.5140.59.180.56-
2022/43.081.0637.0912.4442.559.150.56-
2022/33.040.5736.619.3744.449.370.51-
2022/23.03-8.1964.046.3248.549.230.52接單成長
2022/13.313.4936.683.336.688.980.53-
2021/122.94.5338.629.04-0.378.410.52-
2021/112.782.0330.8326.13-3.398.140.53-
2021/102.723.1328.9423.35-6.317.580.57-
2021/92.6418.9622.6720.63-9.577.240.53-
2021/82.22-6.8-4.7817.99-12.936.950.55-
2021/72.381.27-9.6615.77-13.977.040.55-
2021/62.351.86-13.4513.39-14.696.90.46-
2021/52.312.86-18.8211.04-14.956.780.47-
2021/42.240.71-18.078.73-13.866.320.51-
2021/32.2320.77-15.716.48-12.36.480.43-
2021/21.84-23.5-26.834.26-10.416.350.43-
2021/12.4115.088.152.418.156.630.42-
2020/122.1-1.321.1529.1544.66.330.45-
2020/112.120.564.9827.0549.576.390.45-
2020/102.11-1.888.7724.9355.196.60.43接單成長
2020/92.15-7.6615.1122.8161.577.120.41接單成長
2020/82.33-11.5830.5920.6668.667.680.38接單成長
2020/72.64-2.9752.1718.3375.168.20.36接單成長
2020/62.72-4.4562.4915.6979.728.30.38接單成長
2020/52.843.8279.1712.9883.798.230.39接單成長
2020/42.743.6191.4410.1385.147.90.4接單成長
2020/32.644.8394.757.482.917.40.38接單成長
2020/22.5213.08114.874.7576.926.820.41接單成長
2020/12.237.6347.472.2347.476.320.44-
2019/122.072.4146.0120.16-22.240.0N/A-
2019/112.024.1925.8118.08-26.190.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.622023/12.422022/13.32021/12.412020/12.23
2024/22.052023/22.282022/23.032021/21.842020/22.52
2024/32.372023/32.262022/33.042021/32.232020/32.64
2024/42.962023/42.322022/43.082021/42.242020/42.74
2024/53.222023/52.122022/53.062021/52.312020/52.84
2024/63.32023/62.32022/62.832021/62.352020/62.72
2024/73.122023/72.322022/72.812021/72.382020/72.64
2024/83.132023/82.372022/82.812021/82.222020/82.33
2024/93.472023/92.432022/92.722021/92.642020/92.15
2024/103.062023/102.592022/102.712021/102.722020/102.11
N/AN/A2023/112.712022/112.612021/112.782020/112.12
N/AN/A2023/122.82022/122.462021/122.92020/122.1
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 1.37%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.070.00.0
24Q2 (19)0.070.040.0
24Q1 (18)0.070.0-22.22
23Q4 (17)0.070.075.0
23Q3 (16)0.0740.075.0
23Q2 (15)0.05-44.4425.0
23Q1 (14)0.09125.050.0
22Q4 (13)0.040.00.0
22Q3 (12)0.040.0-33.33
22Q2 (11)0.04-33.33-55.56
22Q1 (10)0.0650.00.0
21Q4 (9)0.04-33.330.0
21Q3 (8)0.06-33.33-14.29
21Q2 (7)0.0950.00
21Q1 (6)0.0650.050.0
20Q4 (5)0.04-42.860.0
20Q3 (4)0.0700.0

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