玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1020.9318.49-4.88177.53-19.0556.73N/A-
2024/917.66-2.65-24.07156.6-20.6353.510.97-
2024/818.142.47-18.26138.94-20.1853.310.98-
2024/717.71.36-22.95120.8-20.4652.121.0-
2024/617.463.02-27.2103.09-20.0151.981.03-
2024/516.95-3.47-28.8785.63-18.3751.871.03-
2024/417.561.2-16.5968.67-15.2850.31.07-
2024/317.3512.77-23.751.11-14.8251.111.11-
2024/215.39-16.24-16.1733.76-9.452.541.08-
2024/118.37-2.19-2.8318.37-2.8357.540.98-
2023/1218.78-7.84-19.47258.5-12.6561.170.99-
2023/1120.38-7.35-2.57239.71-12.0665.650.92-
2023/1022.0-5.41-9.36219.33-12.8567.460.9-
2023/923.264.79-7.46197.33-13.2368.441.01-
2023/822.2-3.4-15.05174.07-13.9469.171.0-
2023/722.98-4.22-6.05151.87-13.7870.810.97-
2023/623.990.65-14.26128.89-15.0268.881.11-
2023/523.8413.19-3.78104.9-15.267.641.13-
2023/421.06-7.42-15.0281.07-18.0662.161.23-
2023/322.7523.91-17.3660.01-19.0760.011.35-
2023/218.36-2.91-12.0337.26-20.0860.821.34-
2023/118.91-19.73-26.618.91-26.663.381.28-
2022/1223.5612.58-6.91296.175.5868.751.21-
2022/1120.92-13.81-22.45272.616.8270.331.18-
2022/1024.27-3.424.42251.6910.2975.541.1-
2022/925.14-3.7911.93227.4110.9575.721.14-
2022/826.136.8115.4202.2810.8378.571.1-
2022/724.46-12.58-0.27176.1510.1977.211.12-
2022/627.9812.957.9151.6912.0877.531.14-
2022/524.77-0.032.61123.7113.0777.081.15-
2022/424.78-9.96-1.8898.9316.0473.171.21-
2022/327.5231.925.6674.1523.5874.151.2-
2022/220.87-19.020.7146.6322.3971.321.25-
2022/125.764.3223.7925.7623.7977.441.15-
2021/1224.69-8.4714.28279.8825.1374.921.14-
2021/1126.9816.0626.67255.1826.2972.681.17-
2021/1023.253.519.37228.226.2568.341.25-
2021/922.46-0.89.0204.9528.569.621.1-
2021/822.64-7.6912.09182.531.3973.11.04-
2021/724.53-5.4120.75159.8634.6874.61.02-
2021/625.937.4132.32135.3337.5575.330.85-
2021/524.14-4.4123.47109.438.8571.30.89-
2021/425.2615.3139.4185.2643.9364.450.99-
2021/321.926.732.3560.045.9260.00.87-
2021/217.29-16.9360.5238.155.0659.70.87疫情帶動遠距會議/教學等對鍵盤需求所致
2021/120.81-3.6850.820.8150.863.720.82併購新事業部及疫情帶動遠距會議/教學等對鍵盤需求所致
2020/1221.611.4425.2223.6516.7964.160.68-
2020/1121.30.2126.85202.0515.9663.160.69-
2020/1021.253.1621.22180.7514.862.050.7-
2020/920.62.022.33159.4914.061.110.62-
2020/820.2-0.5727.94138.8912.8660.110.63-
2020/720.313.6519.87118.6910.6459.460.64-
2020/619.60.2313.798.388.957.270.6-
2020/519.557.9115.4178.797.7754.220.63-
2020/418.129.4713.7459.235.4745.430.76-
2020/316.5553.6718.1441.122.241.120.75-
2020/210.77-21.96-0.7924.57-6.3141.830.74-
2020/113.8-20.03-10.213.8-10.247.850.65-
2019/1217.262.775.42191.49-4.790.0N/A-
2019/1116.79-4.22-5.26174.23-5.70.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/118.372023/118.912022/125.762021/120.812020/113.8
2024/215.392023/218.362022/220.872021/217.292020/210.77
2024/317.352023/322.752022/327.522021/321.92020/316.55
2024/417.562023/421.062022/424.782021/425.262020/418.12
2024/516.952023/523.842022/524.772021/524.142020/519.55
2024/617.462023/623.992022/627.982021/625.932020/619.6
2024/717.72023/722.982022/724.462021/724.532020/720.31
2024/818.142023/822.22022/826.132021/822.642020/820.2
2024/917.662023/923.262022/925.142021/922.462020/920.6
2024/1020.932023/1022.02022/1024.272021/1023.252020/1021.25
N/AN/A2023/1120.382022/1120.922021/1126.982020/1121.3
N/AN/A2023/1218.782022/1223.562021/1224.692020/1221.61
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.5%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.986.52-34.23
24Q2 (19)0.92-35.66-95.33
24Q1 (18)1.4310.85-86.42
23Q4 (17)1.29-13.4246.59
23Q3 (16)1.49-92.44-64.78
23Q2 (15)19.7287.27162.58
23Q1 (14)10.531096.5915.97
22Q4 (13)0.88-79.2-79.39
22Q3 (12)4.23-43.6852.16
22Q2 (11)7.51-17.29339.18
22Q1 (10)9.08112.651521.43
21Q4 (9)4.2753.6636.21
21Q3 (8)2.7862.57826.67
21Q2 (7)1.71205.360
21Q1 (6)0.56-3.4512.0
20Q4 (5)0.5893.330
20Q3 (4)0.300.0

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