玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.449.031.022.765.447.06N/A-
2024/92.24-6.04-4.2620.326.06.940.0-
2024/82.382.41-0.7918.087.436.880.0-
2024/72.336.936.1815.78.86.750.0-
2024/62.17-3.33-1.6813.389.266.660.0-
2024/52.250.584.2211.211.686.790.0-
2024/42.24-2.7115.018.9513.736.540.0-
2024/32.314.737.376.7113.36.710.0-
2024/22.0-16.896.264.4216.666.760.0-
2024/12.412.9827.02.4127.07.290.0-
2023/122.34-7.652.7426.466.797.290.01-
2023/112.544.968.1624.127.27.290.01-
2023/102.423.3513.0721.587.097.150.01-
2023/92.34-2.6313.0719.176.386.930.01-
2023/82.49.6117.2616.835.516.80.01-
2023/72.19-0.999.1214.433.796.560.01-
2023/62.212.477.812.242.886.310.02-
2023/52.1610.985.8110.031.866.240.02-
2023/41.94-9.17-0.037.870.835.970.02-
2023/32.1413.540.755.931.125.930.02-
2023/21.89-0.6716.593.781.336.060.02-
2023/11.9-16.69-10.321.9-10.326.520.02-
2022/122.28-2.7712.8124.7812.326.760.01-
2022/112.349.739.0122.512.276.550.02-
2022/102.143.3512.6520.1512.666.250.02-
2022/92.070.961.2918.0212.676.120.02-
2022/82.052.016.6215.9514.336.110.02-
2022/72.01-2.1910.4613.915.566.10.02-
2022/62.050.587.3911.916.476.040.02-
2022/52.044.8518.259.8418.556.110.02-
2022/41.95-8.4613.267.8118.635.690.02-
2022/32.1331.3921.625.8620.535.860.02-
2022/21.62-23.6112.973.7319.925.760.02-
2022/12.124.825.842.1225.846.290.02-
2021/122.02-6.048.5422.0616.886.070.02-
2021/112.1513.3827.7720.0417.796.090.02-
2021/101.9-7.0615.8717.8916.695.860.02-
2021/92.046.2718.5815.9916.795.780.01-
2021/81.925.6928.7813.9516.535.650.01-
2021/71.82-4.918.0612.0314.795.450.01-
2021/61.9110.7516.5110.2116.085.350.01-
2021/51.720.4215.348.315.985.190.01-
2021/41.72-1.715.526.5816.154.90.01-
2021/31.7522.0422.834.8616.374.860.01-
2021/21.43-14.912.543.1113.044.980.01-
2021/11.68-9.613.471.6813.475.230.01-
2020/121.8610.618.9518.8712.835.180.0-
2020/111.682.826.3217.0112.25.040.0-
2020/101.64-4.894.3215.3312.894.850.0-
2020/91.7215.4219.4513.6914.014.890.0-
2020/81.49-11.37.0411.9713.264.810.0-
2020/71.682.5112.0210.4814.214.820.0-
2020/61.649.6519.988.814.644.620.0-
2020/51.50.575.637.1613.484.40.0-
2020/41.494.5117.35.6615.754.180.0-
2020/31.4211.8115.514.1815.214.180.0-
2020/21.27-14.1916.142.7515.064.320.0-
2020/11.48-5.2314.151.4814.154.630.0-
2019/121.56-1.1324.1916.7216.260.0N/A-
2019/111.580.89-0.8415.1615.50.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.412023/11.92022/12.122021/11.682020/11.48
2024/22.02023/21.892022/21.622021/21.432020/21.27
2024/32.32023/32.142022/32.132021/31.752020/31.42
2024/42.242023/41.942022/41.952021/41.722020/41.49
2024/52.252023/52.162022/52.042021/51.722020/51.5
2024/62.172023/62.212022/62.052021/61.912020/61.64
2024/72.332023/72.192022/72.012021/71.822020/71.68
2024/82.382023/82.42022/82.052021/81.922020/81.49
2024/92.242023/92.342022/92.072021/92.042020/91.72
2024/102.442023/102.422022/102.142021/101.92020/101.64
N/AN/A2023/112.542022/112.342021/112.152020/111.68
N/AN/A2023/122.342022/122.282021/122.022020/121.86
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 11.44%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.530.03.92
24Q2 (19)0.5310.42-28.38
24Q1 (18)0.48-30.43-23.81
23Q4 (17)0.6935.2913.11
23Q3 (16)0.51-31.082.0
23Q2 (15)0.7417.4660.87
23Q1 (14)0.633.2843.18
22Q4 (13)0.6122.019.61
22Q3 (12)0.58.725.0
22Q2 (11)0.464.5548.39
22Q1 (10)0.44-13.730.0
21Q4 (9)0.5127.550.0
21Q3 (8)0.429.0317.65
21Q2 (7)0.31-29.550.0
21Q1 (6)0.4429.412.33
20Q4 (5)0.340.0-20.93
20Q3 (4)0.349.680.0
20Q2 (3)0.31-27.910.0
20Q1 (2)0.430.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.430.00.0

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