玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.07-18.7148.5922.572.026.97N/A-
2024/92.558.722.120.49-1.117.360.89-
2024/82.35-4.8813.2817.94-3.717.010.94-
2024/72.4712.1420.9215.6-5.847.10.92-
2024/62.2-9.737.4813.13-9.67.00.88-
2024/52.442.9113.810.93-12.46.510.94-
2024/42.3739.065.418.5-17.825.81.06-
2024/31.7-1.68-42.456.13-24.276.131.05-
2024/21.73-35.72-28.764.43-13.86.221.04-
2024/12.6950.0-0.352.69-0.356.860.94-
2023/121.8-24.07-46.3826.28-34.65.561.11-
2023/112.3769.58-34.2624.49-33.535.851.05-
2023/101.4-33.2-48.7922.12-33.455.551.11-
2023/92.090.85-30.4820.73-32.086.20.96-
2023/82.071.53-50.0318.64-32.256.160.96主要係去年同期配合客戶建廠需求積極投入,工程收入基期較高所致。
2023/72.04-0.32-50.2316.57-29.16.230.95主要係去年同期配合客戶建廠需求積極投入,工程收入基期較高所致。
2023/62.05-4.43-40.9714.53-24.66.430.95-
2023/52.14-4.67-42.7912.48-21.017.350.84-
2023/42.25-24.08-22.2710.34-14.257.640.8-
2023/32.9621.7-14.538.09-11.728.090.84-
2023/22.43-10.09-13.935.13-10.028.480.8-
2023/12.7-19.29-6.182.7-6.189.650.71-
2022/123.35-6.928.2540.1914.729.670.72-
2022/113.632.0812.9936.8413.639.330.75-
2022/102.72-9.3112.4633.2413.79.870.7-
2022/93.0-27.51-17.9830.5213.8111.250.65-
2022/84.141.1215.2327.5118.8411.710.62-
2022/74.118.2210.2423.3719.5111.310.65-
2022/63.47-7.3830.0319.2721.6810.10.76-
2022/53.7429.527.8515.820.010.090.76-
2022/42.89-16.5111.812.0624.349.180.84-
2022/33.4622.5528.579.1728.99.170.81-
2022/22.82-2.076.555.7129.18.320.9本月營業收入較去年同期增加76.56%,主要係精密零組件收入增加。
2022/12.8810.342.182.882.188.680.86-
2021/122.61-17.9818.735.0312.368.220.79-
2021/113.1831.4621.9232.4211.889.270.7-
2021/102.42-33.868.8129.2310.889.680.67-
2021/93.661.8485.226.8111.0810.980.51本月營業收入較去年同期增加85.20%,主要係精密零組件收入及工程收入增加。
2021/83.6-3.2543.3723.154.469.980.56-
2021/73.7239.4444.419.55-0.59.850.57-
2021/62.67-23.17-10.0815.83-7.278.720.73-
2021/53.4734.2629.113.17-6.688.750.73-
2021/42.58-3.994.529.7-15.16.880.93-
2021/32.6968.28-21.457.11-20.527.110.87-
2021/21.6-43.28-46.654.42-19.956.620.94-
2021/12.8228.1811.772.8211.777.630.81-
2020/122.2-15.75-28.7331.18-14.377.040.65-
2020/112.6117.32-9.0428.97-13.046.820.68-
2020/102.2312.56-17.2126.36-13.426.710.69-
2020/91.98-21.15-35.6924.14-13.067.060.77-
2020/82.51-2.567.3222.16-10.238.050.67-
2020/72.57-13.171.6819.65-12.078.230.66-
2020/62.9710.352.6317.08-13.838.130.7本月營業收入較去年同期增加52.63%,主要係精密零組件收入及工程收入增加。
2020/52.698.69-12.2214.11-21.058.590.66-
2020/42.47-27.84-35.2311.42-22.888.90.63-
2020/33.4314.291.58.95-18.598.950.74-
2020/23.018.83-3.835.52-27.58.610.77-
2020/12.52-18.26-43.912.52-43.918.480.78-
2019/123.097.5-42.0636.417.060.0N/A-
2019/112.876.78-18.9633.3216.180.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.692023/12.72022/12.882021/12.822020/12.52
2024/21.732023/22.432022/22.822021/21.62020/23.0
2024/31.72023/32.962022/33.462021/32.692020/33.43
2024/42.372023/42.252022/42.892021/42.582020/42.47
2024/52.442023/52.142022/53.742021/53.472020/52.69
2024/62.22023/62.052022/63.472021/62.672020/62.97
2024/72.472023/72.042022/74.12021/73.722020/72.57
2024/82.352023/82.072022/84.142021/83.62020/82.51
2024/92.552023/92.092022/93.02021/93.662020/91.98
2024/102.072023/101.42022/102.722021/102.422020/102.23
N/AN/A2023/112.372022/113.62021/113.182020/112.61
N/AN/A2023/121.82022/123.352021/122.612020/122.2
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 14.24%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.62-4.71-14.74
24Q2 (19)1.7-0.58-17.07
24Q1 (18)1.71-10.94-2.29
23Q4 (17)1.921.059.71
23Q3 (16)1.9-7.32-16.3
23Q2 (15)2.0517.14-15.64
23Q1 (14)1.750.019.05
22Q4 (13)1.75-22.91-6.91
22Q3 (12)2.27-6.58-24.33
22Q2 (11)2.4365.31-37.53
22Q1 (10)1.47-21.81-61.01
21Q4 (9)1.88-37.33-48.77
21Q3 (8)3.0-22.88-5.96
21Q2 (7)3.893.1822.71
21Q1 (6)3.772.725.9
20Q4 (5)3.6715.054.26
20Q3 (4)3.190.630.0
20Q2 (3)3.17-10.960.0
20Q1 (2)3.561.140.0
19Q4 (1)3.520.00.0

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