玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.0-0.5-0.6111.275.123.01N/A-
2024/91.010.03-0.5410.275.723.00.38-
2024/81.011.765.229.266.453.310.34-
2024/70.99-24.62-4.688.256.63.380.34-
2024/61.3121.52-8.267.268.353.360.32-
2024/51.0811.5735.845.9512.853.640.3-
2024/40.97-39.19-27.924.878.783.280.33-
2024/31.59120.1316.923.9124.483.910.24-
2024/20.72-54.58-15.032.3130.284.680.2-
2024/11.59-32.7471.921.5971.925.340.18接獲大廠大單,營業額增加
2023/122.3770.986.2614.473.774.760.33-
2023/111.3837.3414.5112.13.293.40.46-
2023/101.01-0.43-13.0410.722.02.980.52-
2023/91.015.836.019.713.873.010.25-
2023/80.96-7.81-0.198.73.633.420.22-
2023/71.04-27.4515.477.744.123.260.23-
2023/61.4379.964.676.72.563.570.22-
2023/50.79-40.8-13.325.272.03.50.22-
2023/41.34-1.3628.284.485.33.550.22-
2023/31.3659.97-3.913.14-2.183.140.22-
2023/20.85-8.116.491.78-0.814.00.17-
2023/10.93-58.43-12.730.93-12.734.360.16-
2022/122.2384.24-11.5513.940.924.590.13-
2022/111.214.298.1111.723.73.320.18-
2022/101.1621.3925.0310.513.213.070.2-
2022/90.95-0.36-5.769.351.032.810.2-
2022/80.966.65-13.918.391.863.220.17-
2022/70.9-34.24-13.917.444.333.180.17-
2022/61.3749.027.496.547.463.330.11-
2022/50.92-12.39-10.355.177.453.380.11-
2022/41.05-26.110.554.2512.263.190.11-
2022/31.4293.9623.83.2116.693.210.11-
2022/20.73-31.166.011.7911.624.310.08-
2022/11.06-57.8615.841.0615.844.70.07-
2021/122.52125.2112.3613.827.074.560.08-
2021/111.1220.6-1.4711.35.963.060.12-
2021/100.93-8.5-4.5710.186.853.050.12-
2021/91.01-8.97-5.179.258.143.170.12-
2021/81.116.6414.598.2410.053.430.11-
2021/71.04-17.8912.347.139.373.340.11-
2021/61.2724.2828.376.088.873.330.11-
2021/51.02-1.7319.394.814.673.210.11-
2021/41.04-9.0220.813.791.32.870.13-
2021/31.1466.0818.422.75-4.522.750.15-
2021/20.69-24.78-19.551.6-16.113.850.1-
2021/10.92-59.13-13.330.92-13.334.290.09-
2020/122.2497.4718.2712.94.994.350.1-
2020/111.1316.810.1110.662.573.170.14-
2020/100.97-9.088.389.532.873.010.15-
2020/91.0710.028.778.562.282.970.17-
2020/80.974.55-9.027.49-0.622.890.18-
2020/70.93-6.17-12.426.520.752.780.18-
2020/60.9915.59-8.475.593.342.710.16-
2020/50.86-0.56-5.514.66.292.680.16-
2020/40.86-10.82-0.153.749.432.680.16-
2020/30.9712.81-0.842.8812.672.880.16-
2020/20.86-18.9619.231.9121.03.810.12-
2020/11.06-44.2222.461.0622.464.080.12-
2019/121.8967.1512.3112.293.290.0N/A-
2019/111.1326.4615.1910.391.80.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.592023/10.932022/11.062021/10.922020/11.06
2024/20.722023/20.852022/20.732021/20.692020/20.86
2024/31.592023/31.362022/31.422021/31.142020/30.97
2024/40.972023/41.342022/41.052021/41.042020/40.86
2024/51.082023/50.792022/50.922021/51.022020/50.86
2024/61.312023/61.432022/61.372021/61.272020/60.99
2024/70.992023/71.042022/70.92021/71.042020/70.93
2024/81.012023/80.962022/80.962021/81.112020/80.97
2024/91.012023/91.012022/90.952021/91.012020/91.07
2024/101.02023/101.012022/101.162021/100.932020/100.97
N/AN/A2023/111.382022/111.212021/111.122020/111.13
N/AN/A2023/122.372022/122.232021/122.522020/122.24
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 2.13%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0620.0-53.85
24Q2 (19)0.05-37.5-70.59
24Q1 (18)0.0860.0-71.43
23Q4 (17)0.05-61.54-83.33
23Q3 (16)0.13-23.53-61.76
23Q2 (15)0.17-39.29-48.48
23Q1 (14)0.28-6.67-12.5
22Q4 (13)0.3-11.7620.0
22Q3 (12)0.343.0361.9
22Q2 (11)0.333.1273.68
22Q1 (10)0.3228.060.0
21Q4 (9)0.2519.0538.89
21Q3 (8)0.2110.53-4.55
21Q2 (7)0.19-5.0-5.0
21Q1 (6)0.211.1111.11
20Q4 (5)0.18-18.1812.5
20Q3 (4)0.2210.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.211.110.0
20Q1 (2)0.1812.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.160.00.0

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