玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q1 (20)0.97-24.2221.251.71-13.64-23.6694.1332.73-17.2953.1815.8431.1186.4840.4120.1360.8310.14-26.17
23Q4 (19)1.2829.29-1.541.981.02-47.0670.92-23.191.3145.91-0.8688.5461.59-0.0636.8455.23-28.2811.94
23Q3 (18)0.99-9.176.451.96-12.11-32.6592.3310.11-5.7246.3113.5648.2961.634.442.6177.0117.3611.45
23Q2 (17)1.0936.2512.372.23-0.45-48.8583.85-26.32-11.0240.780.5495.3159.01-18.032.0965.62-20.3514.5
23Q1 (16)0.80-38.462.562.24-40.11-45.37113.8162.59-2.7440.5666.5782.6271.9959.94-9.1682.3966.9837.34
22Q4 (15)1.3039.7812.073.7428.52-36.1870.00-28.52-11.0724.35-22.0356.7945.01-25.06-8.2949.34-28.69.26
22Q3 (14)0.93-4.12-3.122.91-33.26-28.1597.933.933.331.2349.5739.0560.063.913.8469.1020.5716.29
22Q2 (13)0.9724.36-6.734.366.347.1394.23-19.488.1120.88-5.99-6.6657.80-27.076.3357.31-4.473.88
22Q1 (12)0.78-32.764.04.10-30.0333.12117.0248.67-4.1222.2143.01-24.9279.2561.475.2359.9932.84-21.4
21Q4 (11)1.1620.83-2.525.8644.6932.8878.71-16.972.9715.53-30.85-24.6549.08-15.151.4545.16-24.0-7.21
21Q3 (10)0.96-7.69-8.574.05-0.4943.1194.808.779.6722.460.4-30.2157.846.4-3.2659.427.71.02
21Q2 (9)1.0438.679.474.0732.1445.8887.16-28.59-9.2122.37-24.37-31.3254.36-27.821.4755.17-27.71-26.44
21Q1 (8)0.75-36.97-11.763.08-30.1635.68122.0559.6713.3729.5843.52-26.0975.3155.6636.6576.3256.81-17.55
20Q4 (7)1.1913.331.714.4155.8354.276.44-11.57-1.3720.61-35.95-35.3348.38-19.0812.9848.67-17.26-26.88
20Q3 (6)1.0510.535.02.831.4315.0486.44-9.96-5.0432.18-1.2-12.8959.7911.6110.7658.82-21.57-20.5
20Q2 (5)0.9511.76-2.062.7922.917.3196.00-10.832.3832.57-18.62-6.9753.57-2.79-16.1475.00-18.9815.58
20Q1 (4)0.85-27.350.02.27-20.630.0107.6638.920.040.0225.570.055.1128.70.092.5739.080.0
19Q4 (3)1.1717.00.02.8616.260.077.50-14.860.031.87-13.720.042.82-20.670.066.56-10.040.0
19Q3 (2)1.003.090.02.46-5.380.091.03-2.920.036.945.510.053.98-15.50.073.9914.020.0
19Q2 (1)0.970.00.02.600.00.093.770.00.035.010.00.063.880.00.064.890.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)3.348.096.42-52.09109.29-7.4156.83108.5589.5417.2176.5811.16
2022 (9)3.09-0.3213.40-17.08118.040.1827.2520.6376.39-1.268.899.18
2021 (8)3.10-4.6216.1662.9117.835.0422.59-38.6177.329.0163.10-19.15
2020 (7)3.25-3.279.929.49112.183.2836.80-8.6470.9311.6378.05-8.56
2019 (6)3.36-0.889.06-27.75108.620.9440.2838.3763.546.1585.3611.06
2018 (5)3.396.612.540.72107.61-6.2829.11-0.7559.86-16.3776.865.93
2017 (4)3.185.6512.456.87114.82-5.3929.33-6.3871.58-6.0672.56-5.14
2016 (3)3.01-9.3411.6539.52121.3610.4831.33-28.3276.20-2.0276.490.92
2015 (2)3.32-14.438.3518.27109.8516.8143.71-15.577.7711.075.790.09
2014 (1)3.886.017.06-8.1994.04-5.7451.738.9770.0614.175.72-11.79

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