玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.93-13.93-13.1610.113.133.09N/A-
2024/91.08-0.3323.169.185.133.191.09-
2024/81.085.210.458.13.123.091.13-
2024/71.034.9212.867.023.543.011.16-
2024/60.98-2.25-8.445.992.093.01.1-
2024/51.0-1.73-7.195.014.453.051.08-
2024/41.02-1.013.234.017.592.861.15-
2024/31.0326.93-4.872.985.782.981.07-
2024/20.81-28.9-15.351.9512.432.931.09-
2024/11.1416.8446.671.1446.673.141.02-
2023/120.98-4.03-10.3211.79-7.123.061.05-
2023/111.02-4.7-2.0610.82-6.822.961.08-
2023/101.0722.0814.829.8-7.293.021.06-
2023/90.88-18.72-16.358.73-9.422.861.12-
2023/81.0818.21-8.247.85-8.583.061.05-
2023/70.91-14.88-12.96.78-8.633.061.05-
2023/61.07-0.910.015.87-7.933.051.05-
2023/51.0819.880.944.79-9.543.071.04-
2023/40.9-16.82-8.153.72-11.992.941.09-
2023/31.0812.95-5.682.82-13.152.821.13-
2023/20.9623.197.511.74-17.232.831.13-
2023/10.78-28.55-35.520.78-35.522.911.1-
2022/121.094.79-7.4912.7-1.383.061.06-
2022/111.0411.73-15.0811.61-0.773.021.07-
2022/100.93-11.07-16.0210.570.893.151.02-
2022/91.05-10.83-6.229.642.93.271.04-
2022/81.1712.212.618.594.133.291.03-
2022/71.05-2.25-10.847.424.383.191.07-
2022/61.070.01.516.377.393.121.14-
2022/51.079.0714.685.38.663.21.11-
2022/40.98-14.58-0.224.237.243.021.18-
2022/31.1528.75-11.533.259.723.251.04-
2022/20.89-26.1243.082.126.333.281.03-
2022/11.212.516.271.2116.273.610.94-
2021/121.18-3.815.4112.889.323.510.97-
2021/111.2210.529.9611.79.733.450.99-
2021/101.11-0.698.1110.477.773.371.02-
2021/91.12-2.429.599.377.733.431.08-
2021/81.14-2.519.738.257.493.371.1-
2021/71.1711.2915.567.115.743.161.18-
2021/61.0512.979.865.934.02.971.26-
2021/50.93-5.13.084.882.813.221.17-
2021/40.98-24.26-14.73.942.752.911.29-
2021/31.3108.2423.262.9610.242.961.18-
2021/20.62-39.96-21.651.661.842.781.26-
2021/11.04-7.0624.211.0424.213.11.13-
2020/121.1218.58-5.1611.78-10.623.091.18-
2020/110.94-8.08-9.2710.66-11.162.991.22-
2020/101.030.66-8.639.72-11.343.01.22-
2020/91.026.6-2.668.69-11.652.991.24-
2020/80.96-5.9-6.337.67-12.712.931.26-
2020/71.025.81-15.846.72-13.552.881.28-
2020/60.965.999.175.7-13.133.021.22-
2020/50.91-21.48-23.744.74-16.583.111.18-
2020/41.159.45-3.533.84-14.693.01.23-
2020/31.0532.35-9.032.69-18.732.691.32-
2020/20.8-4.82-11.611.63-23.962.811.26-
2020/10.84-29.04-32.890.84-32.893.051.16-
2019/121.1813.4513.4613.184.30.0N/A-
2019/111.04-7.43-4.7512.03.480.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.142023/10.782022/11.212021/11.042020/10.84
2024/20.812023/20.962022/20.892021/20.622020/20.8
2024/31.032023/31.082022/31.152021/31.32020/31.05
2024/41.022023/40.92022/40.982021/40.982020/41.15
2024/51.02023/51.082022/51.072021/50.932020/50.91
2024/60.982023/61.072022/61.072021/61.052020/60.96
2024/71.032023/70.912022/71.052021/71.172020/71.02
2024/81.082023/81.082022/81.172021/81.142020/80.96
2024/91.082023/90.882022/91.052021/91.122020/91.02
2024/100.932023/101.072022/100.932021/101.112020/101.03
N/AN/A2023/111.022022/111.042021/111.222020/110.94
N/AN/A2023/120.982022/121.092021/121.182020/121.12
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.93%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.27-15.62107.69
24Q2 (19)0.3268.42128.57
24Q1 (18)0.19137.5-5.0
23Q4 (17)0.08-38.46-20.0
23Q3 (16)0.13-7.140.0
23Q2 (15)0.14-30.0-30.0
23Q1 (14)0.2100.017.65
22Q4 (13)0.1-23.08-54.55
22Q3 (12)0.13-35.0-43.48
22Q2 (11)0.217.6581.82
22Q1 (10)0.17-22.73750.0
21Q4 (9)0.22-4.3537.5
21Q3 (8)0.23109.0991.67
21Q2 (7)0.11450.010.0
21Q1 (6)0.02-87.5-60.0
20Q4 (5)0.1633.33100.0
20Q3 (4)0.1220.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.1100.00.0
20Q1 (2)0.05-37.50.0
19Q4 (1)0.080.00.0

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