玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.15-22.78-42.062.15-18.240.58N/A-
2024/90.2-12.321.232.0-15.570.642.05-
2024/80.235.45-2.831.8-17.090.721.84-
2024/70.22-20.93-10.881.63-15.760.711.86-
2024/60.2723.853.371.41-16.460.691.83-
2024/50.2212.75-14.681.14-20.130.671.89-
2024/40.2-21.5-18.760.92-21.340.661.9-
2024/30.2513.85-18.560.73-22.010.731.31-
2024/20.22-14.74-19.710.48-23.70.761.24-
2024/10.26-10.81-26.80.26-26.80.821.16-
2023/120.295.03-25.63.2-20.110.831.0-
2023/110.272.99-18.472.91-19.520.741.13-
2023/100.2734.91-16.512.63-19.630.71.19-
2023/90.2-15.85-39.722.37-19.960.671.75-
2023/80.23-3.28-20.942.17-17.510.741.59-
2023/70.24-8.27-32.411.94-17.070.771.54-
2023/60.262.2-16.731.69-14.290.761.57-
2023/50.267.35-10.231.43-13.820.811.49-
2023/40.24-21.3-24.931.17-14.570.821.46-
2023/30.3112.254.670.93-11.410.931.25-
2023/20.27-22.28-29.220.62-17.621.011.15-
2023/10.35-9.34-5.60.35-5.61.071.08-
2022/120.3915.09-8.454.0-6.531.041.01-
2022/110.345.47-4.653.61-6.320.981.07-
2022/100.32-2.58-15.793.28-6.480.941.11-
2022/90.3310.371.322.96-5.360.981.02-
2022/80.3-17.32-6.062.63-6.130.971.03-
2022/70.3613.05.532.33-6.140.961.04-
2022/60.3210.17-11.961.98-7.980.931.11-
2022/50.29-10.22-13.841.66-7.180.91.14-
2022/40.329.73-15.311.37-5.651.01.03-
2022/30.29-24.1-17.511.05-2.241.051.11-
2022/20.393.6522.670.765.281.180.98-
2022/10.37-12.08-8.20.37-8.21.151.01-
2021/120.4219.8712.044.28-7.861.151.25-
2021/110.35-6.846.873.86-9.621.051.37-
2021/100.3817.21-15.073.5-11.011.021.42-
2021/90.322.32-5.73.13-10.490.982.37-
2021/80.32-7.1-22.142.8-11.011.022.28-
2021/70.34-5.73-5.02.49-9.361.032.24-
2021/60.367.82-2.832.15-10.021.072.12-
2021/50.33-11.74-12.91.79-11.341.072.14-
2021/40.386.8712.71.45-10.971.052.18-
2021/30.3512.87-10.551.07-17.121.072.33-
2021/20.31-22.43-21.930.72-20.011.12.28-
2021/10.47.3-18.460.4-18.461.112.25-
2020/120.3814.33-11.394.65-21.881.152.09-
2020/110.33-25.97-33.564.27-22.681.122.15-
2020/100.4530.14-3.783.94-21.611.192.02-
2020/90.34-15.51-22.113.49-23.421.112.52-
2020/80.4113.33-24.523.15-23.561.132.46-
2020/70.36-3.58-27.122.74-23.421.112.51-
2020/60.37-3.35-22.352.39-22.831.092.67-
2020/50.3814.2-22.52.02-22.921.122.61-
2020/40.34-15.17-32.691.63-23.011.132.56-
2020/30.4-1.48-34.591.3-20.031.31.93-
2020/20.4-18.99-27.230.9-11.331.321.89-
2020/10.516.67.730.57.731.421.76-
2019/120.43-14.26-29.525.95-10.670.0N/A-
2019/110.57.2-5.995.52-8.790.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.262023/10.352022/10.372021/10.42020/10.5
2024/20.222023/20.272022/20.392021/20.312020/20.4
2024/30.252023/30.312022/30.292021/30.352020/30.4
2024/40.22023/40.242022/40.322021/40.382020/40.34
2024/50.222023/50.262022/50.292021/50.332020/50.38
2024/60.272023/60.262022/60.322021/60.362020/60.37
2024/70.222023/70.242022/70.362021/70.342020/70.36
2024/80.232023/80.232022/80.32021/80.322020/80.41
2024/90.22023/90.22022/90.332021/90.322020/90.34
2024/100.152023/100.272022/100.322021/100.382020/100.45
N/AN/A2023/110.272022/110.342021/110.352020/110.33
N/AN/A2023/120.292022/120.392021/120.422020/120.38
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 9.55%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.49-14.04-22.22
24Q2 (19)0.573.64-8.06
24Q1 (18)0.55-15.38-11.29
23Q4 (17)0.653.1710.17
23Q3 (16)0.631.6121.15
23Q2 (15)0.620.034.78
23Q1 (14)0.625.0831.91
22Q4 (13)0.5913.4643.9
22Q3 (12)0.5213.0440.54
22Q2 (11)0.46-2.1315.0
22Q1 (10)0.4714.63-2.08
21Q4 (9)0.4110.81-8.89
21Q3 (8)0.37-7.5-30.19
21Q2 (7)0.4-16.6714.29
21Q1 (6)0.486.676.67
20Q4 (5)0.45-15.09-25.0
20Q3 (4)0.5351.430.0
20Q2 (3)0.35-22.220.0
20Q1 (2)0.45-25.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.60.00.0

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