. 愛玩股

   玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看、自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.72-0.83-6.5619.411.915.22N/A-
2024/91.73-2.283.8917.72.825.120.48-
2024/81.779.936.6815.962.715.130.48-
2024/71.61-7.42-6.4214.192.235.260.47-
2024/61.74-8.733.9412.583.465.650.41-
2024/51.91-4.51-1.2510.843.386.210.37-
2024/42.0-13.41.298.934.436.410.36-
2024/32.319.688.266.935.376.930.34-
2024/22.1-16.520.174.623.996.750.35-
2024/12.5218.447.42.527.46.370.37-
2023/122.1323.866.6422.892.365.680.41-
2023/111.72-6.534.2120.771.945.220.45-
2023/101.8410.274.9619.051.745.170.45-
2023/91.670.341.217.211.415.050.45-
2023/81.66-3.575.3715.541.435.060.44-
2023/71.722.834.1813.880.985.330.42-
2023/61.68-13.31.212.160.555.580.37-
2023/51.93-2.05-4.6710.480.446.040.34-
2023/41.97-7.441.138.551.686.20.34-
2023/32.131.48-0.696.581.856.580.31-
2023/22.1-10.491.354.453.116.440.32-
2023/12.3517.594.752.354.755.990.34-
2022/122.021.045.3522.374.45.40.37-
2022/111.65-5.86-10.2820.374.315.050.4-
2022/101.756.316.6918.725.834.970.4-
2022/91.654.480.2616.975.744.880.38-
2022/81.58-4.670.5815.326.364.890.37-
2022/71.65-0.16.8313.757.075.340.34-
2022/61.66-18.337.3812.097.15.630.29-
2022/52.033.9120.2110.447.066.120.27-
2022/41.95-9.123.528.414.316.170.27-
2022/32.153.588.16.464.556.460.25-
2022/22.07-7.499.124.312.876.210.26-
2022/12.2418.27-2.32.24-2.35.970.27-
2021/121.893.073.121.42-2.535.370.31-
2021/111.8411.9623.5519.53-3.045.120.32-
2021/101.64-0.095.5117.69-5.164.850.34-
2021/91.644.82-6.5816.05-6.134.760.33-
2021/81.571.254.1114.41-6.084.660.34-
2021/71.550.417.6212.84-7.194.780.33-
2021/61.54-8.582.4411.29-8.915.110.29-
2021/51.69-10.51-8.939.75-10.485.560.26-
2021/41.88-5.1-13.978.06-10.85.770.25-
2021/31.994.56-12.046.18-9.796.180.23-
2021/21.9-17.19-19.224.19-8.686.030.23-
2021/12.2924.822.372.292.375.620.25-
2020/121.8423.51-9.7321.98-8.14.880.29-
2020/111.49-4.38-16.7620.14-7.954.80.3-
2020/101.56-11.54-8.8418.65-7.174.820.3-
2020/91.7616.82-5.6217.1-7.014.70.27-
2020/81.514.67-7.1915.34-7.174.450.29-
2020/71.44-4.42-16.8113.83-7.174.790.26-
2020/61.5-18.73-21.4412.4-5.95.550.21-
2020/51.85-15.46-15.6910.89-3.266.30.19-
2020/42.19-2.98-4.149.04-0.246.80.17-
2020/32.26-3.96-2.456.851.066.850.18-
2020/22.354.9514.684.592.896.630.19-
2020/12.2410.05-7.122.24-7.126.060.21-
2019/122.0413.9-7.5623.924.650.0N/A-
2019/111.794.71-8.9121.885.950.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.522023/12.352022/12.242021/12.292020/12.24
2024/22.12023/22.12022/22.072021/21.92020/22.35
2024/32.312023/32.132022/32.152021/31.992020/32.26
2024/42.02023/41.972022/41.952021/41.882020/42.19
2024/51.912023/51.932022/52.032021/51.692020/51.85
2024/61.742023/61.682022/61.662021/61.542020/61.5
2024/71.612023/71.722022/71.652021/71.552020/71.44
2024/81.772023/81.662022/81.582021/81.572020/81.51
2024/91.732023/91.672022/91.652021/91.642020/91.76
2024/101.722023/101.842022/101.752021/101.642020/101.56
N/AN/A2023/111.722022/111.652021/111.842020/111.49
N/AN/A2023/122.132022/122.02021/121.892020/121.84
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 99.61%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)17.888.832.64
24Q2 (19)16.43-2.20.92
24Q1 (18)16.8-5.146.73
23Q4 (17)17.711.6617.13
23Q3 (16)17.427.026.14
23Q2 (15)16.283.4333.01
23Q1 (14)15.744.130.19
22Q4 (13)15.129.4921.25
22Q3 (12)13.8112.8310.83
22Q2 (11)12.241.2415.8
22Q1 (10)12.09-3.0523.75
21Q4 (9)12.470.0818.99
21Q3 (8)12.4617.8831.16
21Q2 (7)10.578.1943.03
21Q1 (6)9.77-6.7747.81
20Q4 (5)10.4810.3258.55
20Q3 (4)9.528.550.0
20Q2 (3)7.3911.80.0
20Q1 (2)6.610.00.0
19Q4 (1)6.610.00.0

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