玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/101.09-6.158.3117.2568.813.18N/A子公司認列售屋收入所致
2024/91.1624.7928.4216.1675.433.371.65子公司認列售屋收入所致
2024/80.93-26.991.3614.9980.553.841.45子公司認列售屋收入所致
2024/71.28-21.9841.4314.0690.45.581.0子公司認列售屋收入所致
2024/61.64-38.7269.4912.7997.226.190.92子公司認列售屋收入所致
2024/52.6741.17162.6311.15102.077.060.81子公司認列售屋收入所致
2024/41.89-24.3284.538.4888.47.370.78子公司認列售屋收入所致
2024/32.5-16.16112.566.5989.546.591.32子公司認列售屋收入所致
2024/22.98167.31146.024.0977.795.151.69子公司認列售屋收入所致
2024/11.115.442.11.112.13.182.74-
2023/121.064.94-3.9912.28-1.553.072.7-
2023/111.010.03-1.0111.22-1.322.922.84-
2023/101.0111.2610.5310.22-1.352.832.93-
2023/90.91-1.49-2.839.21-2.52.732.9-
2023/80.921.87-5.98.3-2.462.792.84-
2023/70.9-6.514.37.39-2.012.882.74-
2023/60.96-5.05-3.576.48-2.833.012.36-
2023/51.02-0.8-1.125.52-2.73.222.21-
2023/41.02-12.83-9.694.5-3.053.412.08-
2023/31.18-2.967.783.48-0.93.481.86-
2023/21.2110.932.32.3-4.823.41.9-
2023/11.09-0.85-11.651.09-11.653.212.02-
2022/121.18.26.2612.474.523.031.95-
2022/111.0211.72.6911.374.352.862.07-
2022/100.91-2.19-8.7610.364.522.822.1-
2022/90.93-4.6-0.619.456.012.772.08-
2022/80.9812.929.358.516.792.842.03-
2022/70.86-13.586.857.546.472.892.0-
2022/61.0-2.6311.646.676.423.161.61-
2022/51.03-9.49.375.675.553.251.56-
2022/41.134.049.494.644.743.411.49-
2022/31.09-7.90.353.513.293.511.34-
2022/21.18-4.2-4.812.424.673.461.36-
2022/11.2419.2515.721.2415.723.261.44-
2021/121.044.573.0111.93-3.163.031.57-
2021/110.99-0.753.7110.9-3.712.931.62-
2021/101.06.5312.79.91-4.42.831.68-
2021/90.944.952.788.91-5.992.641.77-
2021/80.8910.355.067.97-6.932.61.8-
2021/70.81-9.71-1.687.08-8.252.641.77-
2021/60.9-4.61-5.286.27-9.032.871.47-
2021/50.94-9.3-2.325.37-9.633.061.37-
2021/41.04-4.64-6.354.43-11.043.371.25-
2021/31.09-12.65-15.573.4-12.383.41.17-
2021/21.2416.47-5.82.31-10.83.321.2-
2021/11.076.15-15.991.07-15.993.031.31-
2020/121.015.28-18.9712.33-15.322.851.31-
2020/110.967.84-13.5311.32-14.982.751.36-
2020/100.89-2.83-19.0410.36-15.112.651.41-
2020/90.917.28-13.469.48-14.722.581.36-
2020/80.853.27-25.688.57-14.862.621.34-
2020/70.82-13.01-27.67.72-13.472.731.29-
2020/60.95-1.64-21.046.89-11.43.011.01-
2020/50.96-13.04-23.015.95-9.653.360.91-
2020/41.11-14.02-10.694.98-6.513.710.82-
2020/31.29-2.53-14.343.88-5.253.880.75-
2020/21.323.875.882.590.013.830.76-
2020/11.272.38-5.421.27-5.423.620.8-
2019/121.2412.343.9314.56-1.990.0N/A-
2019/111.110.976.7513.31-2.510.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/11.112023/11.092022/11.242021/11.072020/11.27
2024/22.982023/21.212022/21.182021/21.242020/21.32
2024/32.52023/31.182022/31.092021/31.092020/31.29
2024/41.892023/41.022022/41.132021/41.042020/41.11
2024/52.672023/51.022022/51.032021/50.942020/50.96
2024/61.642023/60.962022/61.02021/60.92020/60.95
2024/71.282023/70.92022/70.862021/70.812020/70.82
2024/80.932023/80.922022/80.982021/80.892020/80.85
2024/91.162023/90.912022/90.932021/90.942020/90.91
2024/101.092023/101.012022/100.912021/101.02020/100.89
N/AN/A2023/111.012022/111.022021/110.992020/110.96
N/AN/A2023/121.062022/121.12021/121.042020/121.01
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 129.35%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)15.574.434.71
24Q2 (19)14.910.68-0.67
24Q1 (18)14.814.662.63
23Q4 (17)14.15-4.842.69
23Q3 (16)14.87-0.938.78
23Q2 (15)15.014.0210.45
23Q1 (14)14.434.727.45
22Q4 (13)13.780.87.15
22Q3 (12)13.670.596.63
22Q2 (11)13.591.197.77
22Q1 (10)13.434.435.91
21Q4 (9)12.860.311.1
21Q3 (8)12.821.672.81
21Q2 (7)12.61-0.554.39
21Q1 (6)12.68-0.3110.17
20Q4 (5)12.722.013.67
20Q3 (4)12.473.230.0
20Q2 (3)12.084.950.0
20Q1 (2)11.512.860.0
19Q4 (1)11.190.00.0

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