. 愛玩股

   玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看、自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.229.52-1.0521.79-7.016.38N/A-
2024/92.03-5.07-9.0619.57-7.646.250.03-
2024/82.142.16-5.9517.54-7.476.750.03-
2024/72.09-17.21-10.8515.4-7.676.570.03-
2024/62.5228.89.0113.31-7.166.430.03-
2024/51.960.68-3.6410.79-10.275.910.03-
2024/41.95-2.63-21.388.83-11.626.580.03-
2024/32.0-24.189.626.88-8.416.880.03-
2024/22.6417.3915.234.88-14.197.30.03-
2024/12.25-6.88-33.972.25-33.976.530.03-
2023/122.4128.69-6.0127.7216.596.530.03-
2023/111.87-16.45-10.2925.319.336.350.03-
2023/102.240.65-3.3923.4322.566.740.03-
2023/92.23-1.834.4521.1926.166.840.03-
2023/82.27-3.146.6418.9629.326.930.03-
2023/72.341.2218.5516.6933.176.690.03-
2023/62.3213.8445.1814.3435.916.830.03-
2023/52.03-17.84112.9312.0334.266.410.03111年4月開始新冠肺炎大爆發,致營收減少
2023/42.4830.4677.749.9924.866.660.03111年4月開始新冠肺炎大爆發致營收減少
2023/31.9-17.06-1.37.5914.847.590.03-
2023/22.29-32.74-0.065.6921.478.260.03-
2023/13.432.5642.053.442.058.060.03-
2022/122.5722.83-4.9523.7741.336.980.03-
2022/112.09-10.03-13.1721.250.196.550.04配合防疫政策暫停營業
2022/102.328.83122.9619.1263.216.590.03110年配合防疫政策5月15日起暫停營業
2022/92.130.224694.4516.7957.386.240.03110年5月15日起配合防疫政策，暫停營業
2022/82.137.664082.9414.6637.955.70.03110年5月15日起配合防疫政策，暫停營業
2022/71.9823.964436.7212.5318.484.530.04110年5月15日起配合防疫政策，暫停營業
2022/61.666.971613.2510.550.193.940.04因110年5月15日起配合防疫政策暫停營業
2022/50.96-31.422.388.96-14.194.270.04-
2022/41.39-27.55-38.668.0-15.815.610.03-
2022/31.92-16.02-9.516.61-8.646.610.03-
2022/22.29-4.39-17.114.69-8.277.380.03-
2022/12.4-11.142.132.42.137.50.03-
2021/122.712.017.6716.81-38.826.140.04-
2021/112.41131.047.1414.12-43.963.490.06-
2021/101.042240.35-57.5811.71-48.961.140.1910/5起各門市陸續營業，但不能飲食所造成的原故
2021/90.04-12.55-97.9310.67-47.930.141.22配合防疫政策5/15起暫停營業
2021/80.0516.76-97.8910.63-42.050.190.91配合防疫政策5/15起暫停營業
2021/70.04-53.18-98.1710.57-33.581.070.16配合防疫政策5/15起暫停營業
2021/60.09-90.02-96.1910.53-22.193.30.05配合防疫政策5/15起暫停營業
2021/50.93-58.91-57.5910.44-5.845.330.03全省門市配合防疫政策暫停營業
2021/42.276.8759.229.56.967.160.02去年營收受疫情影響大幅衰退,今年營收逐漸恢復往常水準
2021/32.13-23.0619.487.23-3.027.230.03-
2021/22.7617.8119.485.11-10.077.40.03-
2021/12.352.36-30.372.35-30.376.880.03-
2020/122.291.98-6.4927.49-8.086.990.03-
2020/112.25-8.54-0.1725.2-8.226.860.03-
2020/102.4613.864.9822.95-8.947.030.03-
2020/92.16-10.65-8.720.49-10.366.960.03-
2020/82.411.16-11.2418.34-10.557.250.03-
2020/72.39-2.57-2.2315.92-10.457.040.03-
2020/62.4511.31-8.1113.54-11.766.080.03-
2020/52.254.23-2.0211.09-12.525.410.03-
2020/41.43-19.8-35.558.89-14.785.520.03-
2020/31.78-23.07-23.737.46-9.197.460.02-
2020/22.31-31.34-24.215.68-3.428.130.02-
2020/13.3737.4618.983.3718.988.070.02-
2019/122.458.87-11.5329.9-0.530.0N/A-
2019/112.25-3.812.9427.450.580.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.252023/13.42022/12.42021/12.352020/13.37
2024/22.642023/22.292022/22.292021/22.762020/22.31
2024/32.02023/31.92022/31.922021/32.132020/31.78
2024/41.952023/42.482022/41.392021/42.272020/41.43
2024/51.962023/52.032022/50.962021/50.932020/52.2
2024/62.522023/62.322022/61.62021/60.092020/62.45
2024/72.092023/72.342022/71.982021/70.042020/72.39
2024/82.142023/82.272022/82.132021/80.052020/82.41
2024/92.032023/92.232022/92.132021/90.042020/92.16
2024/102.222023/102.242022/102.322021/101.042020/102.46
N/AN/A2023/111.872022/112.092021/112.412020/112.25
N/AN/A2023/122.412022/122.572021/122.72020/122.29
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.91%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.492.08-2.0
24Q2 (19)0.482.1314.29
24Q1 (18)0.47-2.0817.5
23Q4 (17)0.48-4.037.14
23Q3 (16)0.519.0561.29
23Q2 (15)0.425.055.56
23Q1 (14)0.414.2929.03
22Q4 (13)0.3512.90
22Q3 (12)0.3114.810
22Q2 (11)0.27-12.90
22Q1 (10)0.3100

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