玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.1879.99-3.711.35-1.390.37N/A-
2024/90.12.64-2.131.17-1.020.335.24-
2024/80.1-26.03-19.491.07-0.920.384.45-
2024/70.13-16.8912.930.981.380.44.23-
2024/60.1635.1119.540.85-0.170.424.02-
2024/50.12-20.43-33.470.69-3.780.394.3-
2024/40.1512.2810.660.575.780.394.33-
2024/30.1314.23-0.530.433.880.433.94-
2024/20.11-37.27-10.920.35.950.523.23-
2024/10.18-19.1120.250.1820.250.592.87-
2023/120.2225.45-25.051.78-16.210.592.85-
2023/110.18-3.4-4.991.55-14.750.473.6-
2023/100.1982.95-34.31.37-15.880.414.13-
2023/90.1-15.56-41.491.19-12.020.345.22-
2023/80.123.75-24.221.08-7.680.374.79-
2023/70.12-12.02-34.250.96-5.10.424.17-
2023/60.13-24.81.370.850.990.443.85-
2023/50.1732.3556.610.720.930.443.86111年5月因受疫情影響,大陸封城斷鏈,工廠停工致供貨不足,影響營業收入。
2023/40.130.9114.440.54-9.450.394.32-
2023/30.132.29-3.180.41-15.160.414.22-
2023/20.13-15.31-17.680.28-19.810.582.99-
2023/10.15-49.59-21.530.15-21.530.642.7-
2022/120.359.03-4.172.124.040.772.26-
2022/110.19-33.2-17.911.825.530.642.7-
2022/100.2862.934.871.639.140.612.83-
2022/90.179.3539.311.3510.070.513.62-
2022/80.16-9.9617.161.176.770.463.96-
2022/70.1835.6421.931.025.310.424.41-
2022/60.1316.1530.170.842.390.365.15-
2022/50.11-3.2816.470.71-1.440.365.08-
2022/40.12-14.62-13.00.6-4.190.414.53-
2022/30.14-13.019.050.48-1.810.483.91-
2022/20.16-19.28-2.340.35-5.470.662.86-
2022/10.19-38.43-7.860.19-7.860.742.57-
2021/120.3136.2280.732.0414.140.812.33實體零售通路業績與線上電商通路業績同步成長,再加上委制訂單與團購訂單於本月份大量交貨,故本月份營業收入較去年同期增加。
2021/110.23-14.6514.081.726.990.623.03-
2021/100.27116.4416.891.495.970.533.57-
2021/90.12-8.03-3.841.223.840.44.93-
2021/80.14-6.29-4.511.14.790.385.25-
2021/70.1444.81-7.370.976.240.345.85-
2021/60.13.93-33.00.829.060.336.03-
2021/50.1-27.76-36.850.7219.430.355.61-
2021/40.137.0243.440.6338.350.424.76-
2021/30.12-22.121.770.4937.030.493.96-
2021/20.16-23.85102.080.3743.070.543.6本月營收較去年同期大幅增加,主要係去年同期受新冠肺炎疫情影響所致。
2021/10.2120.7617.050.2117.050.583.34-
2020/120.17-14.01-49.891.78-29.170.63.27-
2020/110.2-12.54-25.251.61-25.870.563.53-
2020/100.2378.040.811.41-25.960.53.95-
2020/90.13-8.67-11.341.18-29.610.434.78-
2020/80.14-9.11-6.521.05-31.350.454.57-
2020/70.164.74-11.260.91-34.080.464.47-
2020/60.15-2.04-34.340.75-37.410.395.16-
2020/50.1564.1-23.640.6-38.130.355.86-
2020/40.09-9.14-48.950.45-41.840.277.43-
2020/30.129.26-44.140.36-39.670.365.76-
2020/20.08-55.89-57.080.26-37.70.63.43本月營收較去年同期大幅減少,主要係受新冠肺炎疫情影響所致。
2020/10.18-48.31-22.190.18-22.190.792.61-
2019/120.3528.2828.912.52-8.260.0N/A-
2019/110.2717.950.482.17-12.290.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.182023/10.152022/10.192021/10.212020/10.18
2024/20.112023/20.132022/20.162021/20.162020/20.08
2024/30.132023/30.132022/30.142021/30.122020/30.1
2024/40.152023/40.132022/40.122021/40.132020/40.09
2024/50.122023/50.172022/50.112021/50.12020/50.15
2024/60.162023/60.132022/60.132021/60.12020/60.15
2024/70.132023/70.122022/70.182021/70.142020/70.16
2024/80.12023/80.122022/80.162021/80.142020/80.14
2024/90.12023/90.12022/90.172021/90.122020/90.13
2024/100.182023/100.192022/100.282021/100.272020/100.23
N/AN/A2023/110.182022/110.192021/110.232020/110.2
N/AN/A2023/120.222022/120.32021/120.312020/120.17
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 23.62%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.04700.0700.0
24Q2 (19)0.138.338.33
24Q1 (18)0.12-20.0-14.29
23Q4 (17)0.1515.387.14
23Q3 (16)0.138.33-7.14
23Q2 (15)0.12-14.29-7.69
23Q1 (14)0.140.016.67
22Q4 (13)0.140.07.69
22Q3 (12)0.147.697.69
22Q2 (11)0.138.330.0
22Q1 (10)0.12-7.69-20.0
21Q4 (9)0.130.0-13.33
21Q3 (8)0.130.0-7.14
21Q2 (7)0.13-13.330.0
21Q1 (6)0.150.025.0
20Q4 (5)0.157.1425.0
20Q3 (4)0.147.690.0
20Q2 (3)0.138.330.0
20Q1 (2)0.120.00.0
19Q4 (1)0.120.00.0

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