玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)870.0-9.38-0.0196.67-103.57-0.1166.67-147.83-0.210.0-261.545.0446.94-6.8425.2220.21-9.64-1.6880.87-147.19-0.1098.68-102.0-0.0873.33-142.11-0.0196.15-103.70.02100.25-99.59-0.1098.68-102.03.35-168.33-346.67
24Q2 (19)870.0-19.44-0.30-433.33-87.5-0.33-760.0-13.79-0.21-333.33-61.543.43-40.24-12.2820.98-22.07-15.03-8.78-876.99-35.49-7.58-645.32-75.46-0.3-600.0-20.0-0.26-425.0-52.94-7.88-550.29-80.32-7.58-645.32-75.46-13.62-41.66-246.66
24Q1 (18)87-13.0-19.440.09350.0200.00.05266.67400.00.09-43.75200.05.7412.9917.1426.92-0.88-13.191.13176.87-79.31.39215.91110.610.06185.71-77.780.08300.0166.671.75430.19-69.831.39215.91110.613.45128.5776.81
23Q4 (17)1004.17-7.410.02-92.86-90.91-0.03-113.04-112.00.1623.08-95.915.08-6.1-21.627.16-2.69-9.25-1.47-141.29-137.120.44-91.22-88.11-0.07-136.84-126.920.02-92.59-91.67-0.53-110.79-112.440.44-91.22-88.1116.1391.0733.13
23Q3 (16)96-11.11-11.110.28275.0100.00.23179.3153.330.13200.0-96.485.4138.361.527.9113.043.453.56154.9455.465.01215.9778.930.19176.058.330.27258.8280.04.91212.3678.555.01215.9778.939.08-179.17-1410.35
23Q2 (15)1080.00.0-0.16-633.3352.94-0.29-3000.034.09-0.13-533.33-103.653.91-20.21.8224.69-20.3815.59-6.48-218.6834.55-4.32-754.5554.72-0.25-192.5934.21-0.17-666.6754.05-4.37-175.3455.13-4.32-754.5554.72-22.29-359.85-1548.00
23Q1 (14)1080.00.00.03-86.36-99.230.01-96.0102.50.03-99.23-99.234.9-24.38-10.0931.013.6113.135.4637.88557.830.66-82.16-99.150.273.85440.00.03-87.5-99.295.8036.15-93.160.66-82.16-99.15-1.40-14.61-14.66
22Q4 (13)1080.00.00.2257.142300.00.2566.67600.03.915.961664.06.4821.5822.529.9310.9311.683.9672.93582.933.7032.141375.860.26116.67750.00.2460.01300.04.2654.911283.333.7032.141375.8630.1999.16100.38
22Q3 (12)1080.00.00.14141.18216.670.15134.09175.03.693.651637.55.3338.831.9326.9826.3113.792.29123.13149.572.80129.35184.340.12131.58163.160.15140.54215.382.75128.23178.352.80129.35184.344.6316.2262.05
22Q2 (11)1080.00.0-0.34-108.7450.0-0.44-10.051.113.56-8.483336.363.84-29.5436.1721.36-22.0740.43-9.90-1292.7764.82-9.54-112.3263.46-0.38-860.051.9-0.37-108.7750.0-9.74-111.4863.56-9.54-112.3263.46-13.2619445.63-355.00
22Q1 (10)1080.00.03.8939000.0582.46-0.40-700.0-164.523.891656.0582.465.453.020.7427.412.28-13.830.83201.22-91.6577.4626810.34583.670.05225.0-90.744.2221200.0591.884.8123658.33651.277.4626810.34583.6716.9819545.83-312.50
21Q4 (9)1080.00.0-0.0191.67-107.14-0.0575.0-133.33-0.25-4.1705.2930.948.6226.8013.03-16.61-0.8282.25-128.28-0.2991.27-109.18-0.0478.95-128.57-0.0284.62-113.33-0.3689.74-110.91-0.2991.27-109.1837.1087.0176.39
21Q3 (8)1080.00.0-0.1282.35-154.55-0.2077.78-186.96-0.24-118.18-71.434.0443.26-12.7423.7155.88-20.7-4.6283.58-207.94-3.3287.28-164.47-0.1975.95-195.0-0.1382.43-154.17-3.5186.87-168.29-3.3287.28-164.47-2.30-68.48-83.69
21Q2 (7)1080.00.0-0.68-219.3-38.78-0.90-245.16-40.62-0.11-119.369.442.82-47.8712.815.21-52.18-17.83-28.14-383.1-26.02-26.11-330.45-23.04-0.79-246.3-41.07-0.74-221.31-39.62-26.73-336.76-26.56-26.11-330.45-23.04-18.3943.9234.08
21Q1 (6)1080.00.00.57307.14338.460.62313.33376.920.570338.465.4111.0923.831.81-1.039.439.94242.76321.1911.33258.54256.290.54285.71440.00.61306.67335.7111.29242.12278.8611.33258.54256.298.13135.39139.27
20Q4 (5)1080.00.00.14-36.36-68.890.15-34.78-70.590.00100.0-100.04.875.18-16.8932.147.496.072.90-32.24-56.263.16-38.64-61.60.14-30.0-64.10.15-37.5-68.753.30-35.8-54.673.16-38.64-61.6--0.00
20Q3 (4)1080.00.00.22144.90.00.23135.940.0-0.1461.110.04.6385.20.029.9061.530.04.28119.170.05.15124.270.00.2135.710.00.24145.280.05.14124.340.05.15124.270.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)1080.00.0-0.49-476.920.0-0.64-592.310.0-0.36-376.920.02.5-42.790.018.51-36.330.0-22.33-1046.190.0-21.22-767.30.0-0.56-660.00.0-0.53-478.570.0-21.12-808.720.0-21.22-767.30.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)1080.00.00.13-71.110.00.13-74.510.00.13-13.330.04.37-25.430.029.07-4.060.02.36-64.40.03.18-61.360.00.1-74.360.00.14-70.830.02.98-59.070.03.18-61.360.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)1080.00.00.450.00.00.510.00.00.150.00.05.860.00.030.300.00.06.630.00.08.230.00.00.390.00.00.480.00.07.280.00.08.230.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/111.5818.38-4.0617.120.054.74N/A-
2024/101.34-26.826.4515.540.494.75N/A-
2024/91.8214.83-17.8614.21-0.035.040.49-
2024/81.59-2.48-7.7612.383.264.220.59-
2024/71.6361.8410.9410.85.113.940.63-
2024/61.01-22.89-19.679.174.143.430.77-
2024/51.3116.76-0.958.168.13.730.71-
2024/41.12-14.22-16.26.8510.013.410.78-
2024/31.332.16-17.795.7417.165.740.38-
2024/20.99-71.37-10.484.4333.916.610.33-
2024/13.4557.9156.073.4556.077.280.3本年度業績大幅成長主因:節慶挪移影響,使得今年度大量出貨落點在1月份,去年度則落在111年12月份。
2023/122.1832.45-31.8119.3-8.485.080.53-
2023/111.6531.37-13.3317.12-4.35.120.53-
2023/101.25-43.54-8.7315.47-3.235.20.52-
2023/92.2228.9457.4314.21-2.715.410.39本年度中秋節在九月底,月餅大量出貨落點會在九月份,而去年中秋節是九月初,出貨落點會在八月份;故九月份收入成長
2023/81.7217.29-22.2111.99-9.144.440.47-
2023/71.4717.17-13.7810.27-6.514.040.52-
2023/61.25-4.929.258.8-5.173.910.62-
2023/51.32-1.21-5.07.55-7.214.240.57-
2023/41.33-15.852.616.23-7.664.020.6-
2023/31.5943.92-3.274.9-10.124.90.42-
2023/21.1-50.0913.63.31-13.076.510.31-
2023/12.21-31.0-22.182.21-22.187.310.28-
2022/123.268.3421.4321.0920.146.480.36-
2022/111.938.3328.6217.8919.914.690.5-
2022/101.37-2.614.815.9918.955.00.47-
2022/91.41-36.28-19.0714.6119.365.330.46-
2022/82.2130.01105.3613.225.745.070.48主因節慶挪移使中秋業績落點在110年9月及111年8月,造成兩期差異比例較大。
2022/71.748.4842.910.9916.634.240.58-
2022/61.15-17.3336.699.2812.823.840.67-
2022/51.396.7141.548.1410.114.330.59-
2022/41.3-20.6829.846.755.33.910.66-
2022/31.6469.0442.25.450.755.450.37-
2022/20.97-65.811.233.81-10.486.440.31-
2022/12.847.67-13.882.84-13.886.950.29-
2021/122.6478.313.9917.557.195.310.48-
2021/111.4823.483.114.926.074.420.57-
2021/101.2-31.355.9513.446.414.020.63-
2021/91.7461.68-9.6812.246.464.010.57-
2021/81.08-9.53-26.6310.59.723.110.73-
2021/71.1942.03-2.859.4216.323.010.76-
2021/60.84-14.43.958.2319.742.820.83-
2021/50.98-2.147.217.3921.843.130.74-
2021/41.0-13.12-2.146.4118.713.110.75-
2021/31.1520.34-19.35.4123.595.410.42-
2021/20.96-70.9211.354.2544.416.560.34-
2021/13.342.5458.053.358.057.040.32本年度業績大幅成長主因:節慶挪移影響,使得今年度大量出貨落點在1月份,去年度則落在108年12月份。
2020/122.3161.27-15.3916.37-12.164.870.61-
2020/111.4326.88-13.2514.06-11.64.490.67-
2020/101.13-41.48-24.4312.63-11.414.530.66-
2020/91.9331.3338.2111.5-9.894.630.49-
2020/81.4719.79-13.729.57-15.83.50.64-
2020/71.2352.0-15.688.1-16.172.70.84-
2020/60.8121.2-17.036.87-16.252.50.92-
2020/50.67-34.93-33.396.06-16.153.120.73-
2020/41.02-28.35-16.935.4-13.383.310.69-
2020/31.4366.0551.844.37-12.514.370.45本月增減百分比達51.84%,主係疫情影響造成食物屯積效應,及新品上市促銷活動提升業績。
2020/20.86-58.739.022.95-27.435.680.35-
2020/12.08-23.69-36.232.08-36.230.0N/A-
2019/122.7365.356.7418.64-5.50.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)100-7.410.16-95.91-0.07019.3-8.4927.853.260.68223.810.81-95.970.13225.00.35-92.510.16-96.23
2022 (9)1080.03.910-0.44021.0920.1726.974.660.21020.1200.0404.6704.240
2021 (8)1080.0-0.250-0.52017.557.2125.77-9.93-2.770-1.560-0.490-0.30-0.270
2020 (7)1080.00.000-0.14016.37-12.2328.616.16-0.7000.01-98.82-0.1100000
2019 (6)1080.00.1525.0-0.01018.65-5.4726.950.90.05-85.290.8526.870.01-85.710.180.00.1623.08
2018 (5)1080.00.12140.00.02019.735.026.71-0.190.343300.00.67148.150.0700.18100.00.13160.0
2017 (4)1080.00.05-92.75-0.05018.79-11.7826.76-1.360.01-99.430.27-92.33000.09-89.770.05-93.33
2016 (3)1080.00.69-26.60.28-72.2821.3-8.0727.13-6.771.75-62.123.52-19.820.37-65.420.88-27.270.75-26.47
2015 (2)1080.00.94-39.351.01124.4423.17-2.3229.108.744.62101.754.39-37.821.0798.151.21-33.521.02-38.92
2014 (1)1080.01.5523.020.45-77.523.72-11.6626.7602.2907.0600.54-72.161.8216.671.6722.79

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