玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.9367.83-4.461.4731.25-15.0347.15-40.324.7161.88-23.6517.8235.99-31.21-10.1173.04-32.2127.0
24Q2 (19)1.15-26.75-12.881.12-34.88-15.1579.0136.614.7781.0553.117.4852.3223.7514.61107.7457.3116.88
24Q1 (18)1.572.6129.751.7211.6911.6957.84-2.86-22.8652.94-10.2-10.6242.28-15.46-14.168.490.0-19.41
23Q4 (17)1.53-24.26-14.041.54-10.98-18.9559.5432.2216.5258.9512.2422.9750.0124.929.7668.4919.0913.21
23Q3 (16)2.0253.03-4.721.7331.0611.6145.03-34.594.9252.52-23.87-10.4240.04-12.298.2757.51-37.61-10.95
23Q2 (15)1.329.09-7.041.32-14.290.068.84-8.197.2168.9916.48-0.0145.65-7.25-1.4592.188.466.1
23Q1 (14)1.21-32.02-23.421.54-18.95-11.4974.9846.7330.3159.2323.5513.3249.2227.7119.4784.9940.4823.86
22Q4 (13)1.78-16.04-1.111.9022.5818.0151.1019.060.9547.94-18.23-15.3238.544.22-7.3660.50-6.32-7.82
22Q3 (12)2.1249.310.991.5517.4215.6742.92-33.16-9.9158.63-15.03-13.9236.98-20.16-1.4964.58-25.67-17.43
22Q2 (11)1.42-10.1326.791.32-24.1426.9264.2111.59-20.7369.0032.01-20.846.3212.430.0686.8826.61-28.68
22Q1 (10)1.58-12.22-11.241.748.0723.457.5413.6712.6552.27-7.67-19.2241.20-0.96-7.2568.624.56-3.85
21Q4 (9)1.80-5.768.431.6120.1527.7850.626.26-7.6856.61-16.88-21.7141.6010.82-22.4965.63-16.08-10.67
21Q3 (8)1.9170.54-2.551.3428.85-6.2947.64-41.192.6968.11-21.826.7137.54-18.93.9378.21-35.85.56
21Q2 (7)1.12-37.0830.231.04-26.248.3381.0058.57-23.7987.1234.63-8.4446.294.210.26121.8270.69-21.54
21Q1 (6)1.787.2374.511.4111.9-1.451.08-6.84-42.9164.71-10.511.3944.42-17.23-11.6271.37-2.86-30.73
20Q4 (5)1.66-15.3113.71.26-11.89-31.1554.8318.19-12.372.3113.2945.4153.6748.5915.1273.47-0.8411.96
20Q3 (4)1.96127.910.01.4348.960.046.39-56.360.063.83-32.920.036.12-21.770.074.09-52.280.0
20Q2 (3)0.86-15.690.00.96-32.870.0106.2918.790.095.1549.090.046.17-8.140.0155.2750.70.0
20Q1 (2)1.02-30.140.01.43-21.860.089.4843.120.063.8228.330.050.267.810.0103.0357.010.0
19Q4 (1)1.460.00.01.830.00.062.520.00.049.730.00.046.620.00.065.620.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)4.76-7.575.52-12.5276.698.1466.0914.2660.0413.3382.739.17
2022 (9)5.15-0.196.3133.9770.920.1857.84-25.3652.98-15.2275.78-11.66
2021 (8)5.1624.044.718.2870.79-19.2677.49-7.7262.49-14.1985.78-13.2
2020 (7)4.16-2.584.35-17.7787.682.6183.9721.6172.8215.1798.838.27
2019 (6)4.27-17.255.299.7585.4520.8169.05-8.7663.2311.0391.282.05
2018 (5)5.167.724.828.870.73-7.1775.68-8.1156.95-2.789.45-10.57
2017 (4)4.79-13.224.43-11.2276.1915.1482.3612.5958.534.13100.0220.35
2016 (3)5.52-19.34.99-4.4166.1723.9673.154.7156.214.9783.1119.26
2015 (2)6.848.065.22-11.0753.38-7.4969.8612.2653.55-4.2469.698.89
2014 (1)6.33-9.575.87-5.1757.7010.6662.235.5355.924.6264.0011.0

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