玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.9815.1615.2660.0615.8217.14N/A-
2024/105.19-13.0213.1954.0815.8817.23N/A-
2024/95.97-1.5910.9648.8916.1717.70.5-
2024/86.077.1318.2442.9216.9416.760.52-
2024/75.6612.3825.2636.8516.7316.080.55-
2024/65.04-6.3914.1231.1915.315.750.57-
2024/55.381.0314.5826.1515.5315.930.56-
2024/45.332.0316.7320.7715.7813.970.64-
2024/35.2252.61-1.9415.4515.4615.450.46-
2024/23.42-49.73-10.8410.2326.9716.180.44-
2024/16.814.2961.376.861.3717.940.39主要係農曆春節落點差異所致,元月份四大市場工作天數皆較多所致。其中中國大陸市場約成長235.51%,而台灣市場約成長26.63%
2023/125.9514.78-1.5257.89.0615.730.53-
2023/115.1913.095.3651.8510.4215.150.55-
2023/104.59-14.744.9246.6611.0115.090.56-
2023/95.384.8618.2342.0811.7215.030.57-
2023/85.1313.4812.436.710.8314.060.61-
2023/74.522.396.7831.5710.5813.630.62-
2023/64.41-6.0114.5827.0511.2413.670.56-
2023/54.72.9322.9222.6410.6114.580.53-
2023/44.56-14.281.7417.947.7813.720.56-
2023/35.3238.7625.0213.3810.0113.380.49-
2023/23.84-9.0242.798.051.9114.10.46-
2023/14.22-30.25-19.144.22-19.1415.180.43-
2022/126.0522.815.7553.07.3515.340.46-
2022/114.9212.622.8546.957.5513.840.52-
2022/104.37-3.9216.1842.038.1313.480.53-
2022/94.55-0.34.237.667.2713.340.56-
2022/84.567.8113.3933.117.7112.650.59-
2022/74.239.868.8728.556.8511.910.63-
2022/63.850.8316.7824.326.5112.160.66-
2022/53.82-14.88.6720.464.7712.560.64-
2022/44.485.329.4716.643.9211.430.7-
2022/34.2658.470.9812.162.0112.160.46-
2022/22.69-48.481.67.92.5713.620.41-
2022/15.21-8.773.085.213.0815.720.35-
2021/125.7219.4412.7249.3712.6514.260.36-
2021/114.7927.2119.7343.6512.6412.910.4-
2021/103.76-13.839.3738.8711.8212.150.42-
2021/94.378.48-4.1135.1112.0912.280.46-
2021/84.023.512.8830.7414.8511.210.5-
2021/73.8917.843.3426.7216.8910.70.53-
2021/63.3-6.16-2.5722.8319.5610.910.58-
2021/53.52-14.178.3819.5324.3411.830.53-
2021/44.1-2.8419.6516.0228.4910.960.57-
2021/34.2259.4424.2711.9231.8411.920.39-
2021/22.64-47.7223.077.736.3912.770.37-
2021/15.06-0.2444.575.0644.5714.130.33-
2020/125.0726.8720.0243.837.4412.510.37-
2020/114.016.214.0538.765.9911.990.39-
2020/103.44-24.454.1534.765.1411.90.39-
2020/94.5516.435.1631.325.2512.230.38-
2020/83.913.9711.4826.771.4311.060.42-
2020/73.7611.0914.3822.85-0.110.390.45-
2020/63.394.3813.8619.09-2.5410.050.55-
2020/53.24-5.25-10.3215.71-5.4710.060.55-
2020/43.420.9-3.712.46-4.128.960.61-
2020/33.3957.96.889.04-4.289.040.59-
2020/22.15-38.5914.375.65-9.949.870.54-
2020/13.5-17.17-20.343.5-20.340.0N/A-
2019/124.2220.5612.6740.792.990.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.82023/14.222022/15.212021/15.062020/13.5
2024/23.422023/23.842022/22.692021/22.642020/22.15
2024/35.222023/35.322022/34.262021/34.222020/33.39
2024/45.332023/44.562022/44.482021/44.12020/43.42
2024/55.382023/54.72022/53.822021/53.522020/53.24
2024/65.042023/64.412022/63.852021/63.32020/63.39
2024/75.662023/74.522022/74.232021/73.892020/73.76
2024/86.072023/85.132022/84.562021/84.022020/83.91
2024/95.972023/95.382022/94.552021/94.372020/94.55
2024/105.192023/104.592022/104.372021/103.762020/103.44
2024/115.982023/115.192022/114.922021/114.792020/114.0
N/AN/A2023/125.952022/126.052021/125.722020/125.07
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.67%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.210.0-22.22
24Q2 (19)0.215.00.0
24Q1 (18)0.2-4.76-31.03
23Q4 (17)0.21-22.22-30.0
23Q3 (16)0.2728.5728.57
23Q2 (15)0.21-27.5990.91
23Q1 (14)0.29-3.3326.09
22Q4 (13)0.342.8687.5
22Q3 (12)0.2190.91-8.7
22Q2 (11)0.11-52.17-38.89
22Q1 (10)0.2343.7543.75
21Q4 (9)0.16-30.436.67
21Q3 (8)0.2327.7827.78
21Q2 (7)0.1812.55.88
21Q1 (6)0.166.670.0
20Q4 (5)0.15-16.67-28.57
20Q3 (4)0.185.880.0
20Q2 (3)0.176.250.0
20Q1 (2)0.16-23.810.0
19Q4 (1)0.210.00.0

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