玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/114.8810.3120.3253.5621.2414.5N/A-
2024/104.42-14.959.7848.6821.3314.33N/A-
2024/95.210.426.7244.2622.6214.310.12-
2024/84.717.017.9939.0622.113.960.12-
2024/74.4-9.3412.6534.3522.6813.70.12-
2024/64.859.3332.3829.9524.3113.160.12-
2024/54.4414.9216.3525.122.8613.180.12-
2024/43.86-20.75.7320.6624.3615.10.11-
2024/34.87-23.4339.5216.7929.6116.790.1-
2024/26.3614.5574.5411.9225.9516.930.1南港漢來飯店餐廳營運及年節效益
2024/15.5610.92-4.55.56-4.514.620.11-
2023/125.0123.5714.0449.1930.9213.090.14-
2023/114.050.6415.5544.1833.1512.180.15-
2023/104.03-1.8214.0840.1235.2312.120.15-
2023/94.12.795.6936.0938.0912.00.14-
2023/83.992.1615.1331.9943.7411.560.14-
2023/73.916.5228.1528.049.0111.390.15-
2023/63.67-3.992.224.0953.0511.140.14本月及本年營收均較去年同期增加,主要係去年受疫情影響。
2023/53.824.43166.320.4347.6610.960.14本月營收較去年同月增加,主要係去年受疫情影響。
2023/43.654.6279.5716.6133.9510.790.14因疫情常態化發展,節慶假期人潮回流,故本月營收較去年同月增加。
2023/33.49-4.2111.9212.9624.9912.960.13-
2023/23.65-37.3216.799.4630.6213.860.12-
2023/15.8232.4641.095.8241.0913.720.12-
2022/124.3925.2115.7937.5728.2211.430.15-
2022/113.51-0.6412.2533.1830.0710.920.16-
2022/103.53-9.0423.8929.6732.5610.880.16-
2022/93.8811.9873.026.1433.8310.40.13因疫情常態化發展,並受惠活動及展店效益,故本月營收較去年同期增加。
2022/83.4713.71154.5422.2628.748.420.17因疫情常態化發展,人潮回流,故本月營收較去年同月增加。
2022/73.0559.76475.518.7917.996.390.22去年同期因受Covid-19疫情三級警戒並禁止餐廳內用影響
2022/61.9133.14254.0515.742.245.380.23去年同期因受Covid-19疫情三級警戒並禁止餐廳內用影響
2022/51.43-29.57-16.3513.83-6.886.590.19-
2022/42.03-34.79-29.1912.4-5.648.280.15-
2022/33.12-0.048.2910.370.9410.370.13-
2022/23.12-24.29-22.467.25-1.9211.040.12-
2022/14.128.7122.674.1222.6711.040.12-
2021/123.7921.386.3229.3-15.39.770.15-
2021/113.129.650.6425.51-17.798.220.18-
2021/102.8527.01-14.1422.38-19.846.460.23-
2021/92.2464.75-33.3919.53-20.614.140.3-
2021/81.36157.09-62.6517.29-18.582.430.51受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少
2021/70.53-1.7-83.0515.93-9.442.780.45受新冠肺炎疫情影響,致營收減少
2021/60.54-68.54-79.8715.46.475.130.26受新冠肺炎本土疫情嚴峻影響,致營收減少
2021/51.71-40.39-23.7914.8626.097.470.18-
2021/42.87-0.26151.7913.1437.869.780.13去年受新冠肺炎影響
2021/32.88-28.43105.310.2722.3710.270.1本月較去年同期增加係因去年受肺炎疫情影響
2021/24.0319.7883.147.395.7110.960.1主要係疫情趨緩及本月為農曆新年聚餐旺季
2021/13.36-5.77-29.823.36-29.8210.030.11-
2020/123.5714.93.1334.59-8.369.990.12-
2020/113.1-6.451.4231.03-9.529.790.12-
2020/103.32-1.4715.3927.92-10.610.330.11-
2020/93.37-7.67.0624.6-13.2410.140.11-
2020/83.6516.6116.4821.23-15.779.450.12-
2020/73.1316.730.7417.59-20.348.050.14-
2020/62.6819.13-13.6514.46-23.796.070.16-
2020/52.2596.96-27.0611.78-25.774.790.21-
2020/41.14-18.67-54.189.53-25.464.740.21本月較去年同期減少係受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/31.4-36.16-51.768.39-18.528.390.12本月較去年同期減少係受新冠肺炎疫情影響
2020/22.2-54.1-41.996.99-5.4310.450.1單月及累計營收均已排除停業單位營收。
2020/14.7938.4833.054.7933.050.0N/A單月及累計營收均已排除停業單位營收。
2019/123.4612.994.4637.759.140.0N/A單月及累計營收均已排除停業單位營收。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15.562023/15.822022/14.122021/13.362020/14.79
2024/26.362023/23.652022/23.122021/24.032020/22.2
2024/34.872023/33.492022/33.122021/32.882020/31.4
2024/43.862023/43.652022/42.032021/42.872020/41.14
2024/54.442023/53.822022/51.432021/51.712020/52.25
2024/64.852023/63.672022/61.912021/60.542020/62.68
2024/74.42023/73.912022/73.052021/70.532020/73.13
2024/84.712023/83.992022/83.472021/81.362020/83.65
2024/95.22023/94.12022/93.882021/92.242020/93.37
2024/104.422023/104.032022/103.532021/102.852020/103.32
2024/114.882023/114.052022/113.512021/113.122020/113.1
N/AN/A2023/125.012022/124.392021/123.792020/123.57
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 179.28%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)7.572.0210.03
24Q2 (19)7.420.07.69
24Q1 (18)7.42-5.487.07
23Q4 (17)7.8514.16.51
23Q3 (16)6.88-0.151.47
23Q2 (15)6.89-0.584.08
23Q1 (14)6.93-5.975.0
22Q4 (13)7.378.77.28
22Q3 (12)6.782.429.35
22Q2 (11)6.620.38.52
22Q1 (10)6.6-3.937.32
21Q4 (9)6.8710.819.74
21Q3 (8)6.21.644.73
21Q2 (7)6.1-0.815.54
21Q1 (6)6.15-1.764.06
20Q4 (5)6.265.74-1.73
20Q3 (4)5.922.420.0
20Q2 (3)5.78-2.20.0
20Q1 (2)5.91-7.220.0
19Q4 (1)6.370.00.0

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