玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/114.11-4.52-35.6643.1-5.6611.86N/A-
2024/104.3125.0934.0238.99-0.7811.14N/A-
2024/93.441.51-3.7834.68-3.8910.220.64-
2024/83.390.13-13.3931.23-3.9111.240.58-
2024/73.39-24.03-6.327.84-2.6212.830.51-
2024/64.46-10.6427.0124.45-2.0913.330.36-
2024/54.9928.3916.3919.99-6.8713.30.36-
2024/43.89-12.090.3715.01-12.6510.880.44-
2024/34.4271.86-10.2711.12-16.4411.120.45-
2024/22.57-37.69-41.746.7-20.0510.140.49-
2024/14.1320.024.134.134.1313.960.36-
2023/123.44-46.17-26.4449.13-24.4713.040.35-
2023/116.3998.8850.0845.69-24.3213.180.34實現投資性不動產
2023/103.21-10.19-24.9539.3-29.9710.710.42-
2023/93.58-8.62-18.0636.08-30.411.110.46-
2023/83.928.33-28.9132.51-31.5311.040.47-
2023/73.612.97-23.8228.59-31.8711.410.45-
2023/63.51-18.11-46.0924.98-32.8911.670.35-
2023/54.2910.71-35.921.47-30.0813.090.31-
2023/43.87-21.42-38.6317.18-28.4713.210.31-
2023/34.9311.58-26.9213.31-24.8813.310.42-
2023/24.4211.37-11.788.38-23.6313.060.43-
2023/13.96-15.22-33.583.96-33.5812.90.44-
2022/124.689.83-11.8965.050.2313.220.4-
2022/114.26-0.55-9.4260.371.3212.910.41-
2022/104.28-1.95-35.3956.122.2414.160.38-
2022/94.37-20.71-26.9151.847.4214.620.42-
2022/85.5116.071.0247.4712.2616.770.37-
2022/74.75-27.12-4.6341.9713.9317.950.35-
2022/66.51-2.6437.3337.2216.8219.510.37-
2022/56.696.015.4630.7113.2319.740.36-
2022/46.31-6.4315.9424.0215.5418.060.4-
2022/36.7434.76.4517.7215.4417.720.31-
2022/25.01-16.1414.5110.9821.7616.280.34-
2022/15.9712.4528.575.9728.5715.980.34-
2021/125.3112.9110.6964.930.0516.640.58-
2021/114.7-29.06-0.2759.5932.117.30.56-
2021/106.6310.945.9154.8935.8718.060.54-
2021/95.989.5917.4148.2634.5916.40.39-
2021/85.459.5721.7942.2937.4415.170.42-
2021/74.984.9510.5636.8340.1316.060.4-
2021/64.74-25.2316.5631.8646.2916.520.46-
2021/56.3416.5474.4327.1253.1818.120.42銷售單價上漲及訂單增加
2021/45.44-14.0975.0820.7947.7416.150.47銷售單價上漲及訂單增加
2021/36.3344.9160.4415.3540.0315.350.4因售價調漲客戶提早下單
2021/24.37-5.8527.279.0128.6413.810.45-
2021/14.64-3.1730.084.6430.0814.150.44-
2020/124.81.728.9249.96.3214.050.36-
2020/114.713.7826.1345.116.0714.350.36-
2020/104.54-10.7517.4940.44.1614.110.36-
2020/95.0913.6725.9935.862.714.070.3-
2020/84.48-0.524.330.77-0.3213.050.33-
2020/74.510.647.8926.28-1.0812.20.35-
2020/64.0711.886.9821.78-2.7810.810.4-
2020/53.6416.97-12.7717.7-4.8110.690.4-
2020/43.11-21.27-22.2714.07-2.4910.490.41-
2020/33.9514.9510.0610.965.0510.950.45-
2020/23.43-3.7837.867.012.3311.410.44-
2020/13.57-18.92-18.043.57-18.040.0N/A-
2019/124.417.78-0.0646.93-1.60.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.132023/13.962022/15.972021/14.642020/13.57
2024/22.572023/24.422022/25.012021/24.372020/23.43
2024/34.422023/34.932022/36.742021/36.332020/33.95
2024/43.892023/43.872022/46.312021/45.442020/43.11
2024/54.992023/54.292022/56.692021/56.342020/53.64
2024/64.462023/63.512022/66.512021/64.742020/64.07
2024/73.392023/73.612022/74.752021/74.982020/74.5
2024/83.392023/83.922022/85.512021/85.452020/84.48
2024/93.442023/93.582022/94.372021/95.982020/95.09
2024/104.312023/103.212022/104.282021/106.632020/104.54
2024/114.112023/116.392022/114.262021/114.72020/114.71
N/AN/A2023/123.442022/124.682021/125.312020/124.8
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.7%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.1660.0-20.0
24Q2 (19)0.1-62.96-9.09
24Q1 (18)0.2728.57125.0
23Q4 (17)0.215.05.0
23Q3 (16)0.281.8233.33
23Q2 (15)0.11-8.33-54.17
23Q1 (14)0.12-40.0-45.45
22Q4 (13)0.233.3311.11
22Q3 (12)0.15-37.536.36
22Q2 (11)0.249.090.0
22Q1 (10)0.2222.22175.0
21Q4 (9)0.1863.6412.5
21Q3 (8)0.11-54.17-42.11
21Q2 (7)0.24200.0-4.0
21Q1 (6)0.08-50.014.29
20Q4 (5)0.16-15.790.0
20Q3 (4)0.19-24.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.25257.140.0
20Q1 (2)0.07-56.250.0
19Q4 (1)0.160.00.0

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