玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)7.27-28.374.340.000012.5239.42-42.60.000041.99-3.4348.64-29.4714.58-358.32
24Q2 (19)10.14-5.5928.520.00008.986.02-22.180.000043.4811.2118.27-34.50-12.63-311.69
24Q1 (18)10.74108.54-16.290.00008.47-52.0419.460.000039.1021.58-19.75-30.63-111.2426.42
23Q4 (17)5.1523.5-97.930.000017.66-19.034672.970.000032.1613.8435.64-14.50-125.5137.87
23Q3 (16)4.17-47.15-96.330.000021.8188.992626.250.000028.2541.828.95-6.4323.2774.41
23Q2 (15)7.89-38.5-52.380.000011.5462.76110.20.000019.92-59.11-8.2-8.3879.8748.3
23Q1 (14)12.83-94.85128.290.00007.091816.22-56.230.000048.72105.4864.1-41.63-78.36-208.83
22Q4 (13)248.92118.913609.690.00000.37-53.75-97.270.000023.71-8.56-44.3-23.347.1219.54
22Q3 (12)113.71586.24974.760.000-100.00.80-85.43-90.70.000-100.025.9319.49-57.62-25.13-55.0349.37
22Q2 (11)16.57194.8432.670.000-100.05.49-66.11-24.590.000-100.021.70-26.91-36.48-16.21-20.2513.59
22Q1 (10)5.62-16.24538.640.000-100.016.2019.38-84.310.000-100.029.69-30.26-85.85-13.4853.5327.17
21Q4 (9)6.71-36.58156.110.00-100.0-100.013.5757.79-60.870.00-100.0-100.042.57-30.42-45.81-29.0141.55-9165.62
21Q3 (8)10.58-15.29209.3630.85175.22027.598.6018.13-67.662.95-63.67-95.361.1879.119.07-49.63-164.55-230.61
21Q2 (7)12.491319.32357.5111.21988.352391.117.28-92.95-78.148.12-90.79-96.0234.16-83.72-71.28-18.76-1.35-115.87
21Q1 (6)0.88-66.41-50.561.03-50.041.1103.25197.72102.2588.1399.39-29.21209.89167.17183.87-18.51-5884.38-118.22
20Q4 (5)2.62-23.3916.962.0642.07142.3534.6830.42-14.6744.20-29.62-58.9178.5652.918.470.32-99.16-99.61
20Q3 (4)3.4225.270.01.45222.220.026.59-20.150.062.80-69.190.051.38-56.810.038.00-67.850.0
20Q2 (3)2.7353.370.00.45-38.360.033.30-34.770.0203.8663.760.0118.9560.870.0118.2116.350.0
20Q1 (2)1.78-20.540.00.73-14.120.051.0525.620.0124.4915.720.073.9411.510.0101.6024.020.0
19Q4 (1)2.240.00.00.850.00.040.640.00.0107.580.00.066.310.00.081.920.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)53.65-4.30.0006.804.450.00038.522.75-31.720
2022 (9)56.06296.740.0006.51-74.810.00037.49-30.73-30.980
2021 (8)14.13117.3836.21794.0725.84-54.010.08-88.8254.12-41.01-18.200
2020 (7)6.50-19.354.05-6.6856.1824.0290.207.391.7555.6754.63-22.42
2019 (6)8.0641.164.34-44.6445.30-29.1984.0680.4658.94-8.5870.4252.79
2018 (5)5.713.827.84-7.2263.97-3.646.587.964.47-10.2146.0922.16
2017 (4)5.50-24.358.451.5666.3632.1643.17-1.5571.8038.5337.73-10.66
2016 (3)7.27-3.968.3230.050.214.1343.85-23.1551.8318.8242.23-31.51
2015 (2)7.57-17.816.40-0.9348.2221.6157.061.0343.627.8161.6610.76
2014 (1)9.2124.126.4649.1939.65-19.3856.48-33.040.46-32.4555.67-24.34

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