玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1033.013.4915.53305.5821.51101.98N/A-
2024/931.89-13.9733.89272.5822.27100.320.54-
2024/837.0818.2737.1240.6820.88102.410.53-
2024/731.35-7.778.6203.6118.3498.590.55-
2024/633.992.2226.68172.2620.395.930.54-
2024/533.2515.8827.81138.2718.8390.160.57-
2024/428.691.6813.11105.0216.2478.730.65-
2024/328.2229.3417.9276.3317.4676.330.66-
2024/221.82-17.029.0348.1117.274.920.67-
2024/126.29-1.9424.9726.2924.9782.710.61-
2023/1226.82-9.421.5307.9-22.5184.990.52-
2023/1129.613.628.32281.09-24.2282.00.54-
2023/1028.5719.9226.65251.48-26.8179.430.55-
2023/923.82-11.9-17.82222.92-30.5679.730.59-
2023/827.04-6.31-30.9199.09-31.8382.750.57-
2023/728.877.55-25.97172.05-31.9781.720.57-
2023/626.843.17-33.87143.18-33.0678.220.56-
2023/526.012.55-24.68116.35-32.8875.30.58-
2023/425.376.04-31.4990.33-34.9269.290.63-
2023/323.9219.54-35.7864.97-36.1664.970.72-
2023/220.01-4.89-27.8241.05-36.3967.450.69-
2023/121.04-20.3-42.8421.04-42.8474.770.63-
2022/1226.4-3.4-36.96397.3510.6276.280.61-
2022/1127.3321.16-12.66370.9516.9178.890.59-
2022/1022.56-22.21-11.01343.6220.1490.70.51-
2022/929.0-25.941.48321.0623.17107.140.47-
2022/839.140.3653.81292.0621.61118.720.42去年生產基地因受疫情隔離政策影響,縮減部分產能造成營收萎縮,致基期較低,今年已恢復正常生產及出口。
2022/739.0-3.9112.55252.9217.79114.120.44-
2022/640.5917.525.88213.9318.8112.150.58-
2022/534.54-6.711.44173.3417.26108.810.6-
2022/437.03-0.5917.24138.821.99101.990.64-
2022/337.2534.3619.69101.7823.82101.780.76-
2022/227.72-24.6919.2564.5326.34106.410.73-
2022/136.81-12.132.2636.8132.26109.980.7-
2021/1241.8833.8213.11359.1727.4798.520.84-
2021/1131.2923.4525.45317.2929.6477.141.07-
2021/1025.3523.66-18.98286.030.1271.291.16-
2021/920.5-19.44-21.17260.6538.2780.591.03-
2021/825.45-26.5524.68240.1547.7992.330.9-
2021/734.657.4526.74214.7151.11100.930.82主係全球經濟逐漸復甦,致業績成長。
2021/632.24-5.2966.7180.0656.9197.870.72主係全球經濟逐漸復甦,致業績成長。
2021/534.057.866.94147.8254.9296.740.73主係全球經濟逐漸復甦,致業績成長。
2021/431.581.48111.81113.7851.6685.940.82主係全球經濟逐漸復甦,致業績成長。
2021/331.1233.8763.5682.1936.7482.190.77主係全球經濟逐漸復甦,出口需求增溫所致。
2021/223.24-16.4828.651.0824.3288.10.72-
2021/127.83-24.8220.9527.8320.9589.80.71-
2020/1237.0248.4335.61281.750.1793.260.56-
2020/1124.94-20.285.72244.73-3.6382.380.63-
2020/1031.2919.6618.07219.79-4.5877.840.67-
2020/926.1528.1115.86188.5-7.5373.890.65-
2020/820.41-25.33-17.84162.35-10.4466.920.72-
2020/727.3342.511.02141.94-9.2766.910.72-
2020/619.18-5.94-17.67114.61-13.0654.480.77-
2020/520.3936.78-20.695.43-12.0754.340.77-
2020/414.91-21.7-26.9475.03-9.4352.030.81-
2020/319.045.34-14.1460.13-3.7160.130.73-
2020/218.07-21.4412.1741.082.0368.520.64-
2020/123.01-16.13-4.7323.01-4.7374.040.59-
2019/1227.4416.297.59281.372.020.0N/A-
2019/1123.59-10.962.56253.941.450.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/126.292023/121.042022/136.812021/127.832020/123.01
2024/221.822023/220.012022/227.722021/223.242020/218.07
2024/328.222023/323.922022/337.252021/331.122020/319.04
2024/428.692023/425.372022/437.032021/431.582020/414.91
2024/533.252023/526.012022/534.542021/534.052020/520.39
2024/633.992023/626.842022/640.592021/632.242020/619.18
2024/731.352023/728.872022/739.02021/734.652020/727.33
2024/837.082023/827.042022/839.142021/825.452020/820.41
2024/931.892023/923.822022/929.02021/920.52020/926.15
2024/1033.012023/1028.572022/1022.562021/1025.352020/1031.29
N/AN/A2023/1129.612022/1127.332021/1131.292020/1124.94
N/AN/A2023/1226.822022/1226.42021/1241.882020/1237.02
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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