玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1023.2410.3815.85209.8314.6366.25N/A-
2024/921.05-4.1223.14186.5914.4863.861.55-
2024/821.965.2818.69165.5413.4664.441.53-
2024/720.85-3.555.98143.5812.7163.071.57-
2024/621.625.0331.83122.7313.9361.341.55-
2024/520.597.6410.79101.110.7263.061.51-
2024/419.13-18.0833.680.5110.761.081.56-
2024/323.3525.4712.0961.395.0961.391.46-
2024/218.61-4.22-6.1338.041.258.21.54-
2024/119.43-3.619.419.439.457.841.55-
2023/1220.1610.4428.09221.4519.3558.471.5-
2023/1118.25-9.014.12201.2918.5455.41.59-
2023/1020.0617.3222.85183.0419.055.651.58-
2023/917.09-7.593.66162.9818.5555.271.53-
2023/818.5-5.9824.45145.8920.5854.581.55-
2023/719.6819.9631.32127.3920.0354.661.54-
2023/616.4-11.729.13107.7118.1849.31.53-
2023/518.5829.832.0591.3119.9653.731.4-
2023/414.32-31.27-2.2772.7317.2254.971.37-
2023/320.835.075.3658.4123.2558.411.16-
2023/219.8211.6238.1337.5836.0553.321.27-
2023/117.7612.8533.7917.7633.7949.491.36-
2022/1215.74-1.59-19.97185.532.9148.061.38-
2022/1115.99-2.0422.98169.85.7248.811.35-
2022/1016.33-0.99-13.91153.84.247.681.39-
2022/916.4910.9417.31137.486.8746.341.36-
2022/814.86-0.81.33120.995.5944.881.41-
2022/714.98-0.320.15106.126.2144.081.43-
2022/615.036.8112.1991.144.2343.751.31-
2022/514.07-3.9434.8476.112.7948.491.18-
2022/414.65-25.89-12.7262.04-2.4648.771.17-
2022/319.7737.75-10.3347.391.247.391.2-
2022/214.358.1147.4227.6211.4747.291.2-
2022/113.27-32.5-11.7713.27-11.7745.941.24-
2021/1219.6651.23-38.48180.2717.1251.631.11-
2021/1113.0-31.442.51160.631.746.031.25-
2021/1018.9734.9389.93147.635.0947.691.21本月較去年同期增加,主要係業務成長營收增加 所致。
2021/914.06-4.1724.15128.6429.5841.191.44-
2021/814.6717.6310.78114.5830.2740.531.47-
2021/712.47-6.9114.6199.9133.7336.31.64-
2021/613.428.3730.1687.4436.9940.611.54-
2021/510.43-37.82-5.0874.0538.349.271.27-
2021/416.78-23.8738.5863.6149.5248.571.28-
2021/322.05126.4989.9346.8353.8746.831.38本月較去年同期增加,主要係因出貨量增加所致。
2021/29.73-35.311.8924.7831.6456.751.14-
2021/115.05-52.9348.6115.0548.6159.71.08-
2020/1231.97152.01104.55153.9124.3454.641.28本月(12月)合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係增加都更房地銷售所致
2020/1112.6827.0215.9121.9412.7533.992.06-
2020/109.99-11.7914.99109.2612.434.552.02-
2020/911.32-14.49-3.7399.2712.1435.442.6-
2020/813.2421.758.9387.9514.5834.412.68本月合併營收較去年同期增加,主要係設備投入工程增加 ,依工進認列收入致營收增加‧
2020/710.885.71-6.1174.719.1832.162.87-
2020/610.29-6.391.6963.8312.333.41.98-
2020/510.99-9.22-3.0953.5414.5934.711.91-
2020/412.114.3340.7742.5420.2732.422.04-
2020/311.6133.4233.7730.4313.6830.432.07-
2020/28.7-14.0618.3818.824.0434.451.83-
2020/110.12-35.21-5.7610.12-5.7636.691.71-
2019/1215.6342.832.48123.771.120.0N/A-
2019/1110.9426.023.26108.14-2.220.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/119.432023/117.762022/113.272021/115.052020/110.12
2024/218.612023/219.822022/214.352021/29.732020/28.7
2024/323.352023/320.832022/319.772021/322.052020/311.61
2024/419.132023/414.322022/414.652021/416.782020/412.11
2024/520.592023/518.582022/514.072021/510.432020/510.99
2024/621.622023/616.42022/615.032021/613.42020/610.29
2024/720.852023/719.682022/714.982021/712.472020/710.88
2024/821.962023/818.52022/814.862021/814.672020/813.24
2024/921.052023/917.092022/916.492021/914.062020/911.32
2024/1023.242023/1020.062022/1016.332021/1018.972020/109.99
N/AN/A2023/1118.252022/1115.992021/1113.02020/1112.68
N/AN/A2023/1220.162022/1215.742021/1219.662020/1231.97
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 142.23%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)71.5612.7140.31
24Q2 (19)63.4915.3331.78
24Q1 (18)55.05-0.1147.39
23Q4 (17)55.118.0645.06
23Q3 (16)51.05.8547.78
23Q2 (15)48.1829.056.89
23Q1 (14)37.35-1.6817.79
22Q4 (13)37.9910.0840.44
22Q3 (12)34.5112.3720.29
22Q2 (11)30.71-3.157.68
22Q1 (10)31.7117.238.6
21Q4 (9)27.05-5.72-2.98
21Q3 (8)28.690.6-17.82
21Q2 (7)28.52-2.33-3.52
21Q1 (6)29.24.734.17
20Q4 (5)27.88-20.14-11.01
20Q3 (4)34.9118.10.0
20Q2 (3)29.565.460.0
20Q1 (2)28.03-10.530.0
19Q4 (1)31.330.00.0

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