玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1120.491.4126.95185.520.8557.94N/A-
2024/1020.217.0812.16165.03-1.6555.14N/A-
2024/917.25-2.47-11.14144.83-3.3150.440.47-
2024/817.6914.113.84127.58-2.1448.090.49-
2024/715.54.04-2.74109.89-4.3147.350.5-
2024/614.9-12.05-4.9494.39-4.5648.310.56-
2024/516.942.9213.5579.49-4.4851.390.52-
2024/416.46-8.46-4.3662.54-8.4345.480.59-
2024/317.9863.03-7.1646.08-9.846.080.58-
2024/211.03-35.35-30.5928.1-11.4146.660.57-
2024/117.06-8.087.8517.067.8551.770.51-
2023/1218.5715.064.69202.5-10.1252.710.43-
2023/1116.14-10.4-13.25183.94-11.3853.560.42-
2023/1018.01-7.25-1.14167.8-11.252.960.42-
2023/919.4224.95-6.71149.79-12.2750.90.5-
2023/815.54-2.51-23.94130.38-13.0447.160.54-
2023/715.941.68-31.84114.84-11.3246.540.55-
2023/615.685.06-14.7898.9-6.847.810.57-
2023/514.92-13.31-20.5683.22-5.1351.510.53-
2023/417.21-11.14-11.668.3-0.9352.480.52-
2023/319.3721.870.451.093.2651.090.54-
2023/215.890.456.5931.725.0949.450.56-
2023/115.82-10.773.6315.823.6352.160.53-
2022/1217.73-4.66-1.61225.3112.1754.550.46-
2022/1118.62.113.09207.5713.5357.630.44-
2022/1018.22-12.475.28188.9713.5859.460.42-
2022/920.811.8712.98170.7614.5464.630.4-
2022/820.43-12.6422.11149.9414.7662.210.41-
2022/723.3927.1342.4129.5113.6860.570.42-
2022/618.4-2.0619.01106.128.8556.650.6-
2022/518.78-3.5315.7887.736.9357.550.59-
2022/419.470.9312.3968.944.7553.680.63-
2022/319.2929.395.049.472.0249.470.56-
2022/214.91-2.3323.1130.180.248.20.57-
2022/115.27-15.29-15.215.27-15.249.740.56-
2021/1218.029.58-5.9200.85-22.4351.770.49-
2021/1116.45-4.94-15.15182.82-23.7552.170.48-
2021/1017.3-6.06-5.33166.37-24.552.450.48-
2021/918.4210.1-2.1149.07-26.2451.580.43-
2021/816.731.86-6.76130.65-28.7148.610.46-
2021/716.426.25-13.02113.92-31.148.10.46-
2021/615.46-4.72-68.7197.49-33.4349.00.58與去年同期減少主係去年子公司出售土地存貨29.5億所致
2021/516.22-6.36-22.6982.04-15.4751.920.54-
2021/417.32-5.7-18.6565.82-13.4847.810.59-
2021/318.3751.7-18.948.49-11.4748.490.55-
2021/212.11-32.72-13.2730.12-6.2349.270.54-
2021/118.0-6.0-0.8218.0-0.8256.540.47-
2020/1219.15-1.1910.04258.93-4.8356.820.42-
2020/1119.396.06-13.37239.77-5.8556.480.42-
2020/1018.28-2.87-16.85220.39-5.1355.040.43-
2020/918.824.87-28.62202.11-3.955.640.38-
2020/817.94-4.97-12.96183.29-0.3686.230.25-
2020/718.88-61.77-30.51165.351.2289.270.24-
2020/649.4135.4196.78146.467.5691.690.23主因子公司出售土地存貨所致
2020/520.99-1.464.0197.06-12.664.940.33-
2020/421.3-5.99-15.7476.07-16.2957.920.37-
2020/322.6662.23-13.0554.78-16.554.780.7-
2020/213.97-23.07-3.1932.12-18.7849.530.77-
2020/118.154.29-27.7318.15-27.730.0N/A-
2019/1217.41-22.21-27.91272.09-10.190.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/117.062023/115.822022/115.272021/118.02020/118.15
2024/211.032023/215.892022/214.912021/212.112020/213.97
2024/317.982023/319.372022/319.292021/318.372020/322.66
2024/416.462023/417.212022/419.472021/417.322020/421.3
2024/516.942023/514.922022/518.782021/516.222020/520.99
2024/614.92023/615.682022/618.42021/615.462020/649.4
2024/715.52023/715.942022/723.392021/716.422020/718.88
2024/817.692023/815.542022/820.432021/816.732020/817.94
2024/917.252023/919.422022/920.812021/918.422020/918.82
2024/1020.22023/1018.012022/1018.222021/1017.32020/1018.28
2024/1120.492023/1116.142022/1118.62021/1116.452020/1119.39
N/AN/A2023/1218.572022/1217.732021/1218.022020/1219.15
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 4.24%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)4.3129.4325.29
24Q2 (19)3.33-25.67-13.51
24Q1 (18)4.4849.8396.49
23Q4 (17)2.99-13.0850.25
23Q3 (16)3.44-10.65-5.23
23Q2 (15)3.8568.8620.31
23Q1 (14)2.2814.576.54
22Q4 (13)1.99-45.18-0.5
22Q3 (12)3.6313.4410.33
22Q2 (11)3.249.5332.78
22Q1 (10)2.147.0-5.31
21Q4 (9)2.0-39.21-40.48
21Q3 (8)3.2936.51-12.96
21Q2 (7)2.416.64-14.23
21Q1 (6)2.26-32.7424.18
20Q4 (5)3.36-11.1110.89
20Q3 (4)3.7834.520.0
20Q2 (3)2.8154.40.0
20Q1 (2)1.82-39.930.0
19Q4 (1)3.030.00.0

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