玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/115.9510.832.2862.498.8817.09N/A-
2024/105.37-7.05.3656.549.6217.07N/A-
2024/95.77-2.5616.4951.1710.0917.440.93-
2024/85.933.291.1345.399.3317.290.94-
2024/75.742.021.7239.4710.6717.320.94-
2024/65.62-5.713.2633.7312.3517.60.95-
2024/55.96-0.7815.3828.1112.1817.240.97-
2024/46.0114.1821.2422.1411.3415.721.06-
2024/35.2618.37-3.3416.138.0516.131.04-
2024/24.45-30.75-2.2310.8714.615.91.05-
2024/16.4227.6430.136.4230.1317.270.97-
2023/125.03-13.52-3.7162.426.6715.951.01-
2023/115.8214.188.2357.397.6915.871.02-
2023/105.12.82-2.6751.577.6315.911.02-
2023/94.96-15.41-14.1446.478.8916.450.92-
2023/85.863.8915.0941.5212.4916.460.92-
2023/75.6413.5821.8335.6612.0815.770.96-
2023/64.96-3.93-8.930.0210.4215.091.02-
2023/55.174.252.2425.0615.2615.570.99-
2023/44.96-8.9815.0619.8919.2114.951.03-
2023/35.4519.7325.5714.9320.6614.930.98-
2023/24.55-7.8240.949.4818.014.711.0-
2023/14.94-5.552.614.942.6115.540.95-
2022/125.23-2.88.8258.5227.0915.840.88-
2022/115.382.6736.7253.2929.2216.380.85-
2022/105.24-9.2845.5947.9128.4316.10.86-
2022/95.7713.3950.7542.6826.615.490.85本公司產品受疫情影響銷量增加;子公司外銷產品集中出貨,且新品及新客戶出貨增加。另去年底併入生泰為子公司,致合併營收增加。
2022/85.099.9834.1536.9123.515.170.87-
2022/74.63-15.0729.0931.8121.9515.130.87-
2022/65.457.8272.7727.1920.8114.810.9受疫情影響,本公司產品銷量增加,及子公司新品及新客戶出貨量增加所致。另因自去年底併入生泰為子公司,致合併營收增加。
2022/55.0517.3313.9621.7412.3413.70.97-
2022/44.31-0.6610.4216.6811.8611.871.12-
2022/34.3434.389.812.3712.3712.371.01-
2022/23.23-32.893.148.0413.8112.840.98-
2022/14.810.1522.34.8122.313.540.93-
2021/124.822.1116.3246.046.7812.330.99-
2021/113.939.3315.3741.245.7711.361.07-
2021/103.6-6.07-2.8537.314.8511.221.09-
2021/93.830.916.5433.715.7411.210.86-
2021/83.795.839.7929.885.6410.530.92-
2021/73.5913.655.3226.095.0611.170.87-
2021/63.15-28.88-11.9122.55.0211.490.82-
2021/54.4413.6816.8419.358.4312.290.77-
2021/43.9-1.225.3414.916.1510.980.86-
2021/33.9526.220.4611.016.4411.010.89-
2021/23.13-20.42-4.137.0610.1111.190.88-
2021/13.93-4.7324.883.9324.8811.470.86-
2020/124.1321.1224.2243.129.5211.240.8-
2020/113.41-7.94-1.4238.998.1610.70.84-
2020/103.73.014.8635.589.1810.750.83-
2020/93.593.99-2.7731.889.710.450.87-
2020/83.461.524.3428.2811.5210.440.87-
2020/73.4-4.95-2.1424.8312.610.780.84-
2020/63.58-5.652.5421.4215.3711.080.77-
2020/53.82.4911.7617.8418.3411.430.75-
2020/43.7-5.7915.0314.0520.2510.90.78-
2020/33.9320.4452.9610.3422.2410.340.85因疫情影響營收較去年同期增加
2020/23.263.6652.26.418.849.740.9因2019年2月適逢春節,以致2020年本月營收較2019年成長52.2%。
2020/13.15-5.23-15.963.15-15.960.0N/A-
2019/123.32-3.884.4739.3710.170.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.422023/14.942022/14.812021/13.932020/13.15
2024/24.452023/24.552022/23.232021/23.132020/23.26
2024/35.262023/35.452022/34.342021/33.952020/33.93
2024/46.012023/44.962022/44.312021/43.92020/43.7
2024/55.962023/55.172022/55.052021/54.442020/53.8
2024/65.622023/64.962022/65.452021/63.152020/63.58
2024/75.742023/75.642022/74.632021/73.592020/73.4
2024/85.932023/85.862022/85.092021/83.792020/83.46
2024/95.772023/94.962022/95.772021/93.832020/93.59
2024/105.372023/105.12022/105.242021/103.62020/103.7
2024/115.952023/115.822022/115.382021/113.932020/113.41
N/AN/A2023/125.032022/125.232021/124.82020/124.13
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 5.6%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.0-9.916.38
24Q2 (19)1.1123.3313.27
24Q1 (18)0.97.147.14
23Q4 (17)0.84-10.64-1.18
23Q3 (16)0.94-4.08-7.84
23Q2 (15)0.9816.67-24.62
23Q1 (14)0.84-1.182.44
22Q4 (13)0.85-16.676.25
22Q3 (12)1.02-21.5418.6
22Q2 (11)1.358.549.24
22Q1 (10)0.822.5-33.33
21Q4 (9)0.8-6.98-41.18
21Q3 (8)0.86-27.73-18.1
21Q2 (7)1.19-3.2536.78
21Q1 (6)1.23-9.5638.2
20Q4 (5)1.3629.5244.68
20Q3 (4)1.0520.690.0
20Q2 (3)0.87-2.250.0
20Q1 (2)0.89-5.320.0
19Q4 (1)0.940.00.0

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