玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1080.4916.28-5.0770.93-12.54224.71N/A-
2024/969.22-7.7-14.05690.44-13.34217.122.41-
2024/875.02.87-15.35621.22-13.26224.632.33-
2024/772.9-4.98-0.37546.22-12.97230.32.27-
2024/676.73-4.89-13.63473.32-14.63241.462.24-
2024/580.68-4.02-11.01396.59-14.82240.722.25-
2024/484.0610.62-0.49315.92-15.74238.22.27-
2024/375.98-2.78-25.66231.86-20.18231.862.4-
2024/278.160.56-12.42155.87-17.2217.652.55-
2024/177.7225.8-21.5177.72-21.51209.862.65-
2023/1261.78-12.2-14.661013.67-11.25216.882.61-
2023/1170.36-16.96-6.43951.89-11.02235.652.4-
2023/1084.745.2-8.15881.53-11.37253.882.23-
2023/980.54-9.09-13.56796.79-11.69242.322.57-
2023/888.621.07-7.54716.25-11.48250.612.49-
2023/773.18-17.62-17.35627.65-12.01252.682.47-
2023/688.84-2.01-12.81554.47-11.25263.982.49-
2023/590.677.32-15.71465.63-10.95277.372.37-
2023/484.48-17.35-25.5374.96-9.72275.952.38-
2023/3102.2214.53-15.88290.49-3.79290.492.31-
2023/289.25-9.86-0.77188.274.34260.662.58-
2023/199.0236.769.4499.029.44246.622.73-
2022/1272.4-3.73-0.61142.2317.68239.863.01-
2022/1175.2-18.49-10.211069.8319.16260.652.77-
2022/1092.26-0.983.81994.6322.19281.272.56-
2022/993.18-2.766.89902.3724.44277.552.58-
2022/895.838.228.08809.1826.84286.262.5-
2022/788.54-13.14.9713.3629.87298.02.41-
2022/6101.89-5.2715.33624.8134.4322.871.94-
2022/5107.57-5.1532.35522.9238.87342.51.83-
2022/4113.41-6.6833.34415.3540.67324.881.93-
2022/3121.5335.149.86301.9443.63301.941.85-
2022/289.95-0.5735.86180.4239.72253.262.2-
2022/190.4724.243.7790.4743.77247.072.26-
2021/1272.84-13.0321.77970.5863.69245.472.03因美國市場需求暢旺所致
2021/1183.76-5.7562.78897.7568.39259.81.92因美國市場需求暢旺所致
2021/1088.871.9467.92813.9968.99264.71.89因美國市場需求暢旺所致
2021/987.17-1.6774.16725.1269.12260.231.73因美國市場需求暢旺所致
2021/888.665.0483.0637.9468.46261.41.72因美國市場需求暢旺所致
2021/784.4-4.4678.77549.2866.33254.021.77因美國市場需求暢旺所致
2021/688.348.794.88464.8864.25254.671.65因美國市場需求暢旺所致
2021/581.27-4.44113.13376.5458.41247.411.7因美國市場需求暢旺所致
2021/485.054.88127.44295.2747.95232.341.81因美國市場需求暢旺所致
2021/381.0922.4854.33210.2229.62210.222.15因美國市場需求暢旺所致
2021/266.25.2128.01129.1317.78188.942.39-
2021/162.925.198.6562.928.65174.192.59-
2020/1259.8116.2436.06592.93-23.93164.193.0-
2020/1151.45-2.773.35533.11-27.51154.433.19-
2020/1052.925.73-19.11481.66-29.76151.423.26-
2020/950.053.31-19.39428.73-30.88145.713.55-
2020/848.452.61-27.96378.68-32.16140.993.67-
2020/747.214.14-33.05330.24-32.73130.673.96-
2020/645.3318.87-28.44283.03-32.68120.864.39-
2020/538.131.97-47.8237.7-33.43128.074.14-
2020/437.39-28.82-47.1199.56-29.74141.653.75-
2020/352.541.59-25.83162.17-23.98162.173.29-
2020/251.72-10.7-20.93109.63-23.06153.593.47-
2020/157.9131.73-24.8757.91-24.87151.663.52-
2019/1243.96-11.69-22.5779.48-7.120.0N/A-
2019/1149.78-23.91-18.88735.52-6.010.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/177.722023/199.022022/190.472021/162.922020/157.91
2024/278.162023/289.252022/289.952021/266.22020/251.72
2024/375.982023/3102.222022/3121.532021/381.092020/352.54
2024/484.062023/484.482022/4113.412021/485.052020/437.39
2024/580.682023/590.672022/5107.572021/581.272020/538.13
2024/676.732023/688.842022/6101.892021/688.342020/645.33
2024/772.92023/773.182022/788.542021/784.42020/747.21
2024/875.02023/888.62022/895.832021/888.662020/848.45
2024/969.222023/980.542022/993.182021/987.172020/950.05
2024/1080.492023/1084.742022/1092.262021/1088.872020/1052.92
N/AN/A2023/1170.362022/1175.22021/1183.762020/1151.45
N/AN/A2023/1261.782022/1272.42021/1272.842020/1259.81
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.6%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.47-1.34-11.98
24Q2 (19)1.492.05-5.1
24Q1 (18)1.460.0-0.68
23Q4 (17)1.46-12.57-16.09
23Q3 (16)1.676.37-57.4
23Q2 (15)1.576.8-4.27
23Q1 (14)1.47-15.52172.22
22Q4 (13)1.74-55.61255.1
22Q3 (12)3.92139.02668.63
22Q2 (11)1.64203.7412.5
22Q1 (10)0.5410.20
21Q4 (9)0.49-3.920
21Q3 (8)0.5159.380
21Q2 (7)0.3200

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