玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 理想的成長型公司, 本業EPS的成長幅度會大於營收的成長幅度
  • 營收到某個數字後, 本業EPS呈現不成比例的增加, 有可能是規模經濟的效應
  • 如果是有淡旺季的公司, 是否有淡季不淡, 旺季更旺的情況
  • 漲很多的股票要留意 EPS 較上季是否有大幅衰退的情況
  • 如果EPS衰退,要觀察同業是不是有一樣的狀況
  • 要留意增資減資和公司債對股本及EPS的影響
成長能力-近20季
加權平均股數 QoQ YoYEPS QoQ YoY本業EPS QoQ YoY累計EPS QoQ YoY營收 QoQ YoY毛利率(%) QoQ YoY營業利益率 QoQ YoY稅後淨利率 QoQ YoY營業利益 QoQ YoY稅後淨利 QoQ YoY稅前淨利率(%) QoQ YoY稅後淨利率(%) QoQ YoY兩季平均(YOY)營收成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)EPS成長率(%)兩季平均(YOY)本業EPS成長率(%)
24Q3 (20)360.00.00.615.17-48.310.5389.2920.452.0542.36-10.091.8148.364.0224.59-4.5-6.0713.5231.39-11.2912.16-28.17-49.960.2484.62-7.690.224.76-47.6215.21-21.44-49.7712.16-28.17-49.9620.75-14.08169.65
24Q2 (19)360.00.00.58-33.33-34.830.28250.027.271.4465.5229.731.22-6.87-10.9525.7519.8216.7310.2917.6-28.0416.93-28.54-27.930.1318.18-35.00.21-32.26-34.3819.36-34.95-38.6616.93-28.54-27.93-14.21244.0582.55
24Q1 (18)360.00.00.87521.43314.290.08-84.91-68.00.87-64.05314.291.31-21.5620.1821.49-6.48-18.388.75-26.28-14.2223.69705.78239.890.11-45.00.00.31520.0287.529.76687.3227.3923.69705.78239.89-12.79216.64-32.23
23Q4 (17)360.00.00.14-88.14120.290.5320.45378.952.426.14-47.281.67-4.0230.4722.98-12.2257.411.87-22.11223.262.94-87.9115.150.2-23.08266.670.05-88.1120.03.78-87.52115.722.94-87.9115.1511.50-27.7860.23
23Q3 (16)360.00.01.1832.58-54.260.44100.0-41.332.28105.41-56.821.7427.01-21.2726.1818.68-14.6415.246.57-33.1624.303.45-42.060.2630.0-48.00.4231.25-54.8430.28-4.06-42.524.303.45-42.0626.35178.1944.00
23Q2 (15)360.00.00.89323.81-36.880.22-12.0-60.711.11428.57-58.891.3725.69-27.1322.06-16.22-23.3214.3040.2-17.5823.49237.02-12.810.281.82-39.390.32300.0-37.2531.56247.19-6.7923.49237.02-12.815.43227.12109.79
23Q1 (14)360.00.00.21130.43-83.720.25231.58-40.480.21-95.42-83.721.09-14.84-41.426.3380.345.5710.20205.92-30.756.97135.93-72.00.11191.67-59.260.08132.0-82.619.09137.81-70.976.97135.93-72.0-28.461.8553.13
22Q4 (13)360.00.0-0.69-126.74-315.62-0.19-125.33-145.244.59-13.07223.241.28-42.08-36.3214.60-52.4-32.06-9.63-142.24-206.17-19.40-146.26-440.95-0.12-124.0-166.67-0.25-126.88-327.27-24.04-145.65-441.48-19.40-146.26-440.95-12.26-21.88-45.70
22Q3 (12)360.00.02.5882.98352.630.7533.9350.05.2895.56380.02.2117.5516.9330.676.628.0622.8031.4183.4341.9455.68287.260.551.52117.390.9382.35365.052.6655.52289.541.9455.68287.269.3246.1433.63
22Q2 (11)360.00.01.419.3540.910.5633.3327.272.70109.3409.431.881.086.2128.7715.3629.8317.3517.7975.2526.948.24513.670.3322.2294.120.5110.87537.533.868.14500.3526.948.24513.67-3.19156.2116.66
22Q1 (10)360.00.01.29303.12303.120.420.068.01.29-9.15303.121.86-7.4634.7824.9416.0514.4614.7362.466.8224.89337.43200.60.2750.0125.00.46318.18318.1831.31344.74201.9324.89337.43200.6-0.56129.63-8.00
21Q4 (9)360.00.00.32-43.86-20.00.42-16.0-20.751.4229.09-29.352.016.35-4.7421.49-10.27-4.289.07-27.03-16.15.69-47.46-16.930.18-21.74-21.740.11-45.0-21.437.04-47.93-16.595.69-47.46-16.936.5657.62-1.18
21Q3 (8)360.00.00.57159.09-14.930.5013.64-25.371.10107.55-31.681.896.78-10.8523.958.081.1412.4325.56-10.1910.83146.7-5.250.2335.29-20.690.2150.0-16.6713.52139.72-3.7710.83146.7-5.2517.5263.9244.82
21Q2 (7)360.00.00.22-31.25-24.140.4476.0450.00.5365.62-43.011.7728.2662.3922.161.7-1.299.9012.12153.24.39-46.98-54.510.1741.67325.00.08-27.27-27.275.64-45.61-49.824.39-46.98-54.51-3.17-25.6211.59
21Q1 (6)360.00.00.32-20.0-50.00.25-52.83-30.560.32-84.08-50.01.38-34.6-21.5921.79-2.94-6.768.83-18.32-18.248.2820.88-36.450.12-47.83-36.840.11-21.43-52.1710.3722.87-36.348.2820.88-36.45-17.54-30.15-36.86
20Q4 (5)360.00.00.40-40.360.00.53-20.935.92.0124.84-34.952.11-0.4725.622.45-5.19-9.1110.81-21.898.976.85-40.0726.850.23-20.6935.290.14-41.6755.568.44-39.9322.676.85-40.0726.85--0.00
20Q3 (4)360.00.00.67131.030.00.67737.50.01.6173.120.02.1294.50.023.685.480.013.84253.960.011.4318.450.00.29625.00.00.24118.180.014.0525.00.011.4318.450.0--0.00
20Q2 (3)360.00.00.29-54.690.00.08-77.780.00.9345.310.01.09-38.070.022.45-3.940.03.91-63.80.09.65-25.940.00.04-78.950.00.11-52.170.011.24-31.00.09.65-25.940.0--0.00
20Q1 (2)360.00.00.64156.00.00.36-7.690.00.64-79.290.01.764.760.023.37-5.380.010.808.870.013.03141.30.00.1911.760.00.23155.560.016.29136.770.013.03141.30.0--0.00
19Q4 (1)360.00.00.250.00.00.390.00.03.090.00.01.680.00.024.700.00.09.920.00.05.400.00.00.170.00.00.090.00.06.880.00.05.400.00.0--0.00
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.6-1.63-0.924.942.991.84N/A-
2024/90.61-2.941.284.343.561.810.85-
2024/80.6311.1227.593.733.941.580.97-
2024/70.5747.96-11.43.10.171.331.15-
2024/60.381.2-30.352.533.191.221.37-
2024/50.38-17.41-23.52.1512.881.361.23-
2024/40.46-11.6342.181.7725.651.331.25-
2024/30.5245.3619.01.3120.751.311.24-
2024/20.36-18.5312.710.7921.921.331.22-
2024/10.44-18.7830.610.4430.611.511.08-
2023/120.542.0569.435.86-18.881.670.94111年客戶錯估市場需求延付貨款,於112/3要求客戶將庫存退回, 依IFRS15會計師出具調整分錄, 沖減營收,並認列退款負債
2023/110.53-12.9312.545.33-22.951.740.9-
2023/100.610.5522.714.8-25.531.70.92-
2023/90.622.25-14.734.19-29.541.741.03-
2023/80.49-22.83-39.563.59-31.541.681.06-
2023/70.6416.31-6.843.09-30.061.681.06-
2023/60.5511.16-21.842.45-34.331.371.43-
2023/50.4953.49-3.331.9-37.221.251.56-
2023/40.32-26.03-51.231.41-44.11.071.82客戶庫存尚待去化
2023/30.4437.68-44.61.09-41.571.091.8-
2023/20.32-5.59-21.370.65-39.361.161.69-
2023/10.34-33.99-50.130.34-50.131.311.491月適逢過年,工作天數減少
2022/120.518.2-16.717.425.261.471.17-
2022/110.47-5.07-30.46.917.341.671.03-
2022/100.49-30.13-32.126.4411.762.020.85-
2022/90.71-13.3330.065.9518.12.210.76-
2022/80.8218.9312.225.2416.652.210.77-
2022/70.69-2.411.274.4217.511.90.89-
2022/60.737.496.553.7418.741.880.94-
2022/50.51-22.56-12.53.0321.971.960.9-
2022/40.66-15.9726.822.5232.571.850.96-
2022/30.7995.474.21.8634.741.860.952月年假及缺櫃遞延出貨
2022/20.4-40.1222.311.0715.581.681.05-
2022/10.6710.2311.890.6711.891.960.9-
2021/120.61-9.58-3.027.05-0.332.010.82-
2021/110.67-7.42-10.756.44-0.071.950.85-
2021/100.7333.880.535.761.342.00.83-
2021/90.54-25.22-34.335.041.461.891.02-
2021/80.7317.92-8.634.498.632.00.96-
2021/70.62-6.5425.173.7612.751.861.03-
2021/60.6612.89119.833.1510.61.771.12去年新冠肺炎爆發影響客戶需求
2021/50.5812.2369.32.49-2.281.561.26客戶需求受新冠肺炎影響
2021/40.5215.4217.411.9-13.521.31.51-
2021/30.4537.18-40.611.38-21.341.381.35-
2021/20.33-45.21-40.360.93-6.631.561.19-
2021/10.6-4.4635.270.635.271.990.94-
2020/120.63-16.7820.317.07-10.752.110.73-
2020/110.764.2942.426.44-12.942.310.67-
2020/100.72-12.5516.095.69-17.222.350.66-
2020/90.834.0424.914.96-20.552.120.81-
2020/80.861.556.444.13-25.951.591.08-
2020/70.4964.12-25.233.34-30.961.141.51-
2020/60.3-13.05-54.922.85-31.871.091.82受新冠肺炎影響, 客戶訂單減少
2020/50.35-22.16-52.162.55-27.491.551.28受新冠肺炎影響, 客戶訂單減少
2020/40.44-41.62-30.322.2-21.11.761.13-
2020/30.7637.77-14.341.76-18.371.761.03-
2020/20.5524.253.081.0-21.21.521.19-
2020/10.44-15.02-39.050.44-39.051.51.2過年期間:109/1 及 108/2
2019/120.52-1.5-17.857.921.440.0N/A-
2019/110.53-14.98-30.47.43.150.0N/A-
成長能力-近10年
加權平均股數 YoYEPS YoY本業EPS YoY營收 YoY毛利率(%) YoY營業利益率 YoY稅後淨利率 YoY營業利益 YoY稅前淨利 YoY稅後淨利 YoY
2023 (10)360.02.42-47.161.44-7.695.86-18.9524.34-5.8413.12-3.2414.80-35.030.77-21.431.12-45.890.87-47.27
2022 (9)360.04.58222.541.56-3.117.232.5525.8515.513.5633.8622.78214.210.9838.032.07223.441.65223.53
2021 (8)360.01.42-29.351.61-1.837.05-0.2822.38-2.9110.13-4.887.25-28.780.71-5.330.64-27.270.51-29.17
2020 (7)360.02.01-34.741.64-41.017.07-10.7323.05-15.4110.65-34.110.18-27.130.75-41.410.88-36.690.72-35.14
2019 (6)360.03.082.672.7843.37.921.4127.2517.1516.1629.913.971.671.2831.961.393.731.113.74
2018 (5)3612.53.00-13.791.94-39.187.81-3.8223.26-20.5612.44-30.0713.740.590.97-32.641.34-4.291.07-3.6
2017 (4)320.03.48-38.33.19-29.118.12-9.7829.28-8.8417.79-21.4913.66-31.71.44-29.411.4-36.651.11-38.33
2016 (3)320.05.64-9.324.50-4.669.02.8632.12-0.422.66-1.8220.00-11.822.040.992.21-3.911.8-9.09
2015 (2)3214.296.2214.554.7234.868.753.4332.2513.2823.0820.7722.6825.512.0224.692.322.341.9829.41
2014 (1)280.05.4342.153.5046.448.4622.2528.47019.11018.0701.6248.621.8845.741.5342.99

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