玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1156.0334.9369.57533.112.47152.38N/A本月新車交車數量成長
2024/1041.53-24.2416.93477.068.2132.02N/A-
2024/954.8253.6425.08435.547.43143.350.38-
2024/835.68-32.49-14.41380.725.29147.440.36-
2024/752.85-10.2714.95345.047.86172.850.31-
2024/658.91-3.575.27292.196.67157.50.28-
2024/561.0962.896.15233.287.03147.570.3-
2024/437.5-23.44-3.79172.197.35108.760.4-
2024/348.98119.953.99134.6910.93134.690.31-
2024/222.27-64.89-26.1185.7115.32120.250.35-
2024/163.4483.6243.663.4443.6131.020.32-
2023/1234.554.55-0.81508.4915.39103.10.46-
2023/1133.04-6.95-13.72473.9516.78112.380.42-
2023/1035.51-18.969.29440.9119.96121.020.39-
2023/943.825.1210.45405.3921.0131.490.31-
2023/841.69-9.3312.27361.5722.42143.620.28-
2023/745.98-17.8238.13319.8823.88159.480.25-
2023/655.95-2.7723.52273.921.77152.480.29-
2023/557.5547.6354.76217.9521.32143.640.3本月新車到港數量增加,交車數量成長
2023/438.98-17.24-16.02160.412.6116.230.38-
2023/347.156.2737.06121.4226.44121.420.24-
2023/230.14-31.7691.3174.3120.52109.140.27本月新車交車數量成長
2023/144.1726.82-3.7744.17-3.77117.30.25-
2022/1234.83-9.056.58440.644.61105.620.39-
2022/1138.317.8711.88405.814.44110.460.37-
2022/1032.49-18.11.88367.513.72109.30.38-
2022/939.676.8511.16335.023.9110.090.25-
2022/837.1311.5531.97295.353.0115.710.23-
2022/733.28-26.52-5.9258.22-0.14115.770.23-
2022/645.321.8119.86224.930.76128.90.22-
2022/537.18-19.89-10.56179.64-3.12117.970.24-
2022/446.4235.0713.95142.45-0.9796.540.29-
2022/334.37118.13-10.9296.03-6.8796.030.18-
2022/215.75-65.68-26.1561.66-4.4594.340.19-
2022/145.9140.476.2545.916.25112.820.16-
2021/1232.68-4.53-27.6421.226.4798.80.27-
2021/1134.237.332.35388.5410.86101.810.26-
2021/1031.89-10.643.82354.3111.7595.720.28-
2021/935.6926.85-11.3322.4212.699.20.31-
2021/828.14-20.46-15.8286.7316.51101.30.3-
2021/735.37-6.419.39258.621.59114.740.27-
2021/637.79-9.113.84223.2221.95120.10.34-
2021/541.582.0610.58185.4323.75120.890.34-
2021/440.745.5830.88143.8628.16100.650.4-
2021/338.5880.8317.06103.1227.11103.120.3-
2021/221.33-50.620.8564.5433.99109.680.28-
2021/143.21-4.2859.9543.2159.95121.790.25本月新車交車數量成長
2020/1245.1434.9714.67395.6217.23109.30.36-
2020/1133.448.885.28350.4817.57104.40.38-
2020/1030.71-23.676.5317.0419.03104.370.38-
2020/940.2420.4263.36286.3220.55103.280.27本月交車數量成長
2020/833.4212.7852.13246.0815.696.240.29本月交車數量成長
2020/729.63-10.75-8.99212.6711.4100.420.28-
2020/633.2-11.722.54183.0415.59101.920.3-
2020/537.620.819.46149.8414.16101.680.3-
2020/431.12-5.5610.45112.2412.4885.230.35-
2020/332.9655.7950.2481.1213.2881.120.38本月新車交車數量成長
2020/221.15-21.6853.3348.17-3.0387.530.35本月新車交車數量成長
2020/127.01-31.38-24.7127.01-24.710.0N/A-
2019/1239.3623.9235.72337.464.290.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/163.442023/144.172022/145.912021/143.212020/127.01
2024/222.272023/230.142022/215.752021/221.332020/221.15
2024/348.982023/347.12022/334.372021/338.582020/332.96
2024/437.52023/438.982022/446.422021/440.742020/431.12
2024/561.092023/557.552022/537.182021/541.582020/537.6
2024/658.912023/655.952022/645.32021/637.792020/633.2
2024/752.852023/745.982022/733.282021/735.372020/729.63
2024/835.682023/841.692022/837.132021/828.142020/833.42
2024/954.822023/943.822022/939.672021/935.692020/940.24
2024/1041.532023/1035.512022/1032.492021/1031.892020/1030.71
2024/1156.032023/1133.042022/1138.32021/1134.232020/1133.44
N/AN/A2023/1234.552022/1234.832021/1232.682020/1245.14
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 470.95%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)38.01-8.912.59
24Q2 (19)41.73-0.199.87
24Q1 (18)41.81-2.06-1.32
23Q4 (17)42.6915.22-4.67
23Q3 (16)37.05-2.459.1
23Q2 (15)37.98-10.3622.4
23Q1 (14)42.37-5.3827.47
22Q4 (13)44.7831.8659.59
22Q3 (12)33.969.4478.17
22Q2 (11)31.03-6.6564.79
22Q1 (10)33.2418.4642.23
21Q4 (9)28.0647.2221.58
21Q3 (8)19.061.2253.46
21Q2 (7)18.83-19.4360.26
21Q1 (6)23.371.2660.95
20Q4 (5)23.0885.8333.41
20Q3 (4)12.425.70.0
20Q2 (3)11.75-19.080.0
20Q1 (2)14.52-16.070.0
19Q4 (1)17.30.00.0

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