玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/116725.85-16.433.4762050.628.8722104.57N/A-
2024/108048.489.798.5855324.779.5620861.84N/A-
2024/97330.2433.6810.9347276.299.7318536.880.48-
2024/85483.12-4.232.8139946.059.5116113.890.55-
2024/75723.5216.6321.9734462.936.5416132.340.55-
2024/64907.25-10.816.0728739.423.9215517.790.52-
2024/55501.577.6822.0623832.161.7315085.940.54-
2024/45108.9614.1519.0218330.59-3.1113109.180.62-
2024/34475.4126.9611.813221.63-9.613221.630.57-
2024/23524.81-32.49-12.328746.22-17.6713347.470.56-
2024/15221.4113.47-20.935221.41-20.9316322.870.46-
2023/124601.25-29.21-26.8861595.71-6.9818513.460.39-
2023/116500.21-12.317.9556994.47-4.8920519.620.36-
2023/107412.012.17-4.5550494.25-7.218147.80.4-
2023/96607.460.04-19.6443082.25-7.6415428.140.5-
2023/84128.39-12.01-8.0336474.85-5.0713048.480.59-
2023/74692.3410.98-1.2332346.46-4.6813427.350.58-
2023/64227.75-6.2-19.6527654.11-5.2413027.20.58-
2023/54507.265.01-9.4523426.36-2.0812802.380.59-
2023/44292.197.22-11.7618919.11-0.1412315.480.62-
2023/34002.93-0.43-21.114626.923.8714626.920.56-
2023/24020.35-39.11-11.6410623.9917.9416917.380.48-
2023/16603.634.9248.146603.6348.1418407.950.44-
2022/126293.3914.19-12.2966219.4210.4619570.080.48-
2022/115510.92-29.03-11.3559926.0213.5621499.920.44-
2022/107765.77-5.5640.9654415.116.8920478.060.46對本季原為審慎樂觀,因疫情影響,公司將下調第四季展望。河南省也表示一如既往全力支持鴻海,盡快撲滅疫情,並恢復滿產能生產。
2022/98223.2383.1840.3946649.3413.6617463.290.5-
2022/84489.06-5.5112.2138426.19.2114502.010.61-
2022/74750.99-9.7113.6533937.048.8214990.690.59-
2022/65261.965.731.0129186.058.0715104.340.5-
2022/54977.752.329.3923924.094.0614916.330.5-
2022/44864.64-4.12-2.818946.352.7514488.840.52-
2022/35073.9511.514.9914081.714.8214081.710.54-
2022/24550.252.0813.229007.76-0.1416183.590.47-
2022/14457.5-37.88-10.884457.5-10.8817850.470.42-
2021/127175.8315.420.5359944.5311.9118901.870.36-
2021/116217.1312.85-8.7552768.6913.6617583.350.38-
2021/105508.91-5.94-10.0646551.5617.5215366.710.44-
2021/95857.3146.4125.5941042.6522.5714037.950.47-
2021/84000.49-4.29-4.8735185.3422.0812196.810.54-
2021/74180.154.083.6431184.8626.6912746.660.52-
2021/64016.17-11.7311.3927004.7131.2113571.420.39-
2021/54550.34-9.0817.5822988.5435.4113967.420.38-
2021/45004.9113.4331.3818438.1940.6813436.010.4-
2021/34412.179.7826.9113433.2844.4913433.280.47-
2021/24018.93-19.6584.819021.1154.9916158.920.39受疫情影響
2021/15002.18-29.9137.25002.1837.218953.740.34-
2020/127137.84.7532.353560.610.320077.10.29-
2020/116813.7511.2313.0646422.81-3.2817602.920.33-
2020/106125.5431.342.7939609.06-5.6314994.620.39-
2020/94663.6310.89-20.6533483.52-7.0212902.340.55-
2020/84205.464.265.4428819.89-4.3711844.030.6-
2020/74033.2611.861.3324614.43-5.8611508.380.62-
2020/63605.32-6.83-9.0720581.18-7.1611284.380.45-
2020/53869.811.580.7116975.86-6.7411155.60.45-
2020/43809.259.570.2913106.05-8.739460.40.53-
2020/33476.5459.87-7.689296.8-11.989296.80.57-
2020/22174.6-40.35-18.135820.26-14.3711215.330.47-
2020/13645.66-32.42-11.963645.66-11.960.0N/A-
2019/125395.07-10.47-12.8853395.260.810.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/15221.412023/16603.632022/14457.52021/15002.182020/13645.66
2024/23524.812023/24020.352022/24550.252021/24018.932020/22174.6
2024/34475.412023/34002.932022/35073.952021/34412.172020/33476.54
2024/45108.962023/44292.192022/44864.642021/45004.912020/43809.25
2024/55501.572023/54507.262022/54977.752021/54550.342020/53869.81
2024/64907.252023/64227.752022/65261.962021/64016.172020/63605.32
2024/75723.522023/74692.342022/74750.992021/74180.152020/74033.26
2024/85483.122023/84128.392022/84489.062021/84000.492020/84205.46
2024/97330.242023/96607.42022/98223.232021/95857.312020/94663.63
2024/108048.482023/107412.02022/107765.772021/105508.912020/106125.54
2024/116725.852023/116500.212022/115510.922021/116217.132020/116813.75
N/AN/A2023/124601.252022/126293.392021/127175.832020/127137.8
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 22.37%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)310.12-58.517.21
24Q2 (19)747.215.8727.38
24Q1 (18)705.766.5313.87
23Q4 (17)662.51150.45.72
23Q3 (16)264.58-54.9-51.49
23Q2 (15)586.6-5.3512.58
23Q1 (14)619.78-1.123.8
22Q4 (13)626.6614.8950.3
22Q3 (12)545.434.6821.28
22Q2 (11)521.044.0736.48
22Q1 (10)500.6520.0829.24
21Q4 (9)416.93-7.29-2.41
21Q3 (8)449.7317.81.52
21Q2 (7)381.77-1.450
21Q1 (6)387.37-9.330
20Q4 (5)427.23-3.5628.02
20Q3 (4)443.000.0

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