玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1021.35-19.51-1.42221.06-7.8274.84N/A-
2024/926.53-1.596.07199.71-8.4577.551.72-
2024/826.9612.053.65173.18-10.3472.791.83-
2024/724.0610.4710.28146.22-12.5167.431.98-
2024/621.780.81.77122.16-15.9464.562.09-
2024/521.61.99-5.29100.38-18.9963.912.12-
2024/421.180.21-29.5978.78-22.0859.642.27-
2024/321.1321.93-25.1557.6-18.9157.62.28-
2024/217.33-9.46-16.2236.47-14.7954.82.4-
2024/119.144.44-13.4519.14-13.4555.562.37-
2023/1218.331.31-29.02276.24-36.4758.082.3-
2023/1118.09-16.49-34.58257.91-36.9464.762.06-
2023/1021.66-13.39-41.93239.82-37.1272.681.84-
2023/925.01-3.83-39.58218.16-36.5972.831.84-
2023/826.0119.23-30.23193.15-36.1969.221.94-
2023/721.811.94-39.47167.14-37.0266.022.03-
2023/621.4-6.19-45.31145.33-36.6474.291.91-
2023/522.81-24.17-35.71123.93-34.8681.131.75-
2023/430.086.54-22.45101.12-34.6679.01.8-
2023/328.2336.48-33.6771.04-38.7471.042.11-
2023/220.69-6.47-42.9142.8-41.6968.632.18-
2023/122.12-14.34-40.522.12-40.575.591.98-
2022/1225.82-6.62-36.9434.87-14.0190.781.62-
2022/1127.65-25.87-41.62409.05-11.99106.351.38-
2022/1037.3-9.88-34.72381.4-8.63115.981.27-
2022/941.411.04-27.11344.1-4.49114.721.34-
2022/837.283.43-25.61302.7-0.25112.441.37-
2022/736.04-7.88-15.85265.424.75110.651.39-
2022/639.1210.258.4229.388.95113.41.34-
2022/535.48-8.52-11.43190.269.06116.841.3-
2022/438.79-8.861.79154.7715.17117.591.3-
2022/342.5717.4717.97115.9820.47115.981.17-
2022/236.23-2.5320.2773.4121.96114.341.19-
2022/137.18-9.1523.6637.1823.66125.481.08-
2021/1240.92-13.6123.76505.7327.06145.450.9-
2021/1147.38-17.157.41464.8127.36161.320.822021年11月較去年同期營收成長57.4%,主要係因客戶需求增加,而使銷貨較去年同期成長。
2021/1057.150.6248.77417.4324.66164.060.8-
2021/956.7913.3121.78360.2821.53149.740.89-
2021/850.1217.0158.89303.4921.49129.041.032021年8月較去年同期營收成長58.9%,主要係因客戶需求增加,而使銷貨較去年同期成長。
2021/742.8318.6736.43253.3716.08118.991.12-
2021/636.09-9.9120.01210.5412.66114.261.23-
2021/540.065.1341.29174.4411.25114.251.23-
2021/438.115.6111.15134.384.62104.321.34-
2021/336.0819.76-7.0596.272.2596.271.38-
2021/230.130.218.4860.198.7893.251.42-
2021/130.06-9.079.0830.069.0893.221.42-
2020/1233.069.8624.18398.0113.73101.581.27-
2020/1130.1-21.65-7.45364.9412.87115.151.12-
2020/1038.41-17.624.78334.8515.14116.591.11-
2020/946.6347.85-8.2296.4316.63109.571.14-
2020/831.540.47-16.79249.822.8493.011.34-
2020/731.394.383.43218.2631.9389.821.39-
2020/630.076.0512.6186.8638.3392.711.24-
2020/528.36-17.294.11156.7944.67101.461.14-
2020/434.28-11.6864.4128.4458.28100.881.142020年四月較去年同期營收成長64.4%,主要係因客戶需求增加,而使銷貨較去年同期成長。
2020/338.8239.7997.6494.1556.1694.151.142020年三月較去年同期營收成長97.6%,主要係因客戶需求增加,而使銷貨較去年同期成長。
2020/227.770.7653.8755.3336.1281.961.312020年二月較去年同期營收成長54%,主要係因客戶需求增加,而使銷貨較去年同期成長。
2020/127.563.521.9427.5621.9486.711.24-
2019/1226.63-18.1230.3349.95-5.290.0N/A-
2019/1132.52-11.296.84323.33-7.380.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/119.142023/122.122022/137.182021/130.062020/127.56
2024/217.332023/220.692022/236.232021/230.132020/227.77
2024/321.132023/328.232022/342.572021/336.082020/338.82
2024/421.182023/430.082022/438.792021/438.112020/434.28
2024/521.62023/522.812022/535.482021/540.062020/528.36
2024/621.782023/621.42022/639.122021/636.092020/630.07
2024/724.062023/721.812022/736.042021/742.832020/731.39
2024/826.962023/826.012022/837.282021/850.122020/831.54
2024/926.532023/925.012022/941.42021/956.792020/946.63
2024/1021.352023/1021.662022/1037.32021/1057.152020/1038.41
N/AN/A2023/1118.092022/1127.652021/1147.382020/1130.1
N/AN/A2023/1218.332022/1225.822021/1240.922020/1233.06
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.32%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.597.270.0
24Q2 (19)0.55-33.73-48.11
24Q1 (18)0.83102.4445.61
23Q4 (17)0.41-30.5132.26
23Q3 (16)0.59-44.3420.41
23Q2 (15)1.0685.9611.58
23Q1 (14)0.5783.8721.28
22Q4 (13)0.31-36.73-13.89
22Q3 (12)0.49-48.42-34.67
22Q2 (11)0.95102.13-5.94
22Q1 (10)0.4730.56-42.68
21Q4 (9)0.36-52.0-60.87
21Q3 (8)0.75-25.7419.05
21Q2 (7)1.0123.17260.71
21Q1 (6)0.82-10.87256.52
20Q4 (5)0.9246.03-7.07
20Q3 (4)0.63125.00.0
20Q2 (3)0.2821.740.0
20Q1 (2)0.23-76.770.0
19Q4 (1)0.990.00.0

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