玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.00.0-100.01.35-84.030.0N/A亞鑫不列入合併營收
2024/90.00.0-100.01.35-82.40.00.0亞鑫不列入合併營收
2024/80.0-100.0-100.01.35-81.470.010.0亞鑫不列入合併營收
2024/70.0-79.31-99.761.35-80.050.010.0亞鑫不列入合併營收
2024/60.010.0-97.971.35-78.470.440.0亞鑫不列入合併營收
2024/50.0-100.0-100.01.34-77.530.720.0亞鑫不列入合併營收
2024/40.4457.85-84.031.34-75.120.940.0下游客戶減少
2024/30.2824.01-68.480.91-65.890.910.0下游客戶需求減少
2024/20.22-44.33-73.260.63-64.590.840.0下游客戶需求減少
2024/10.492.72-56.790.4-56.791.050.0下游客戶需求減少
2023/120.21-52.66-97.239.11-60.951.430.0下游客戶需求減少
2023/110.44-43.65-55.38.9-43.561.610.0下游客戶需求減少
2023/100.78104.75-18.668.46-42.771.690.0-
2023/90.38-26.58-54.537.68-44.451.4112.5下游客戶需求減少
2023/80.523.57-53.127.3-43.81.3113.41下游客戶需求減少
2023/70.575.48-56.56.77-42.931.3712.84下游客戶需求減少
2023/60.29-50.47-84.296.27-41.463.624.77下游客戶需求減少
2023/50.58-78.94-67.585.98-32.664.214.1下游客戶需求減少
2023/42.75211.727.535.4-23.864.473.86-
2023/30.885.19-59.382.65-46.32.656.78下游客戶需求減少
2023/20.84-10.04-23.991.77-36.037.122.53-
2023/10.93-82.57-44.010.93-44.017.272.47-
2022/125.35441.4639.8121.13-16.247.32.26-
2022/110.992.54-58.2815.78-26.272.795.9下游客戶需求減少
2022/100.9614.46-57.7814.79-22.292.925.65下游客戶需求減少
2022/90.84-24.31-64.3113.83-17.453.116.46下游客戶需求減少
2022/81.11-3.89-56.112.98-9.774.14.91下游客戶需求減少
2022/71.16-36.65-48.8411.870.134.774.21-
2022/61.832.23-34.6610.7111.685.773.38-
2022/51.79-17.1430.598.8930.756.123.19-
2022/42.16-0.7332.487.130.795.433.59-
2022/32.1796.8532.284.9430.074.943.79-
2022/21.1-33.7485.812.7728.396.62.84下游需求增加
2022/11.67-56.476.571.676.577.862.38-
2021/123.8361.55-4.4625.2331.338.481.99-
2021/112.373.7740.421.440.777.012.41-
2021/102.28-3.2221.3219.0340.817.182.35-
2021/92.36-6.921.0716.7543.967.162.45-
2021/82.5311.9970.9914.3948.577.592.31本月銷售量較去年同月增加,致營業收入增加。
2021/72.26-19.0792.0511.8644.526.432.73本月銷售量較去年同月增加,致營業收入增加。
2021/62.8104.34121.849.5936.555.792.68本月銷售量較去年同月增加,致營業收入增加。
2021/51.37-15.9419.236.817.94.643.34-
2021/41.63-0.88-3.235.4317.563.864.01-
2021/31.64176.5231.963.829.493.83.26-
2021/20.59-61.99-36.082.1627.686.162.01-
2021/11.56-60.98105.631.56105.637.261.71客戶需求增加
2020/124.01137.44-11.4619.21-5.27.581.22-
2020/111.69-10.32-14.1815.2-3.45.521.67-
2020/101.88-3.4210.0913.52-1.865.311.74-
2020/91.9531.46-0.7811.63-3.554.612.77-
2020/81.4825.78-24.559.69-4.093.923.26-
2020/71.18-6.523.748.20.843.593.56-
2020/61.269.833.437.020.374.093.1-
2020/51.15-31.79-13.425.76-0.274.073.11-
2020/41.6835.1739.794.623.643.863.29-
2020/31.2433.92-19.522.93-9.742.934.14-
2020/20.9322.2637.421.69-0.866.211.96-
2020/10.76-83.2-26.050.76-26.057.251.68-
2019/124.52130.14-0.1720.26-13.090.0N/A-
2019/111.9715.04-8.0715.74-16.210.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.42023/10.932022/11.672021/11.562020/10.76
2024/20.222023/20.842022/21.12021/20.592020/20.93
2024/30.282023/30.882022/32.172021/31.642020/31.24
2024/40.442023/42.752022/42.162021/41.632020/41.68
2024/50.02023/50.582022/51.792021/51.372020/51.15
2024/60.012023/60.292022/61.832021/62.82020/61.26
2024/70.02023/70.52022/71.162021/72.262020/71.18
2024/80.02023/80.522022/81.112021/82.532020/81.48
2024/90.02023/90.382022/90.842021/92.362020/91.95
2024/100.02023/100.782022/100.962021/102.282020/101.88
N/AN/A2023/110.442022/110.992021/112.372020/111.69
N/AN/A2023/120.212022/125.352021/123.832020/124.01
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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