玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/10257.72-3.653.722252.92108.34771.7N/AAI訂單需求暢旺
2024/9267.368.464.311995.2118.36704.350.63AI訂單需求暢旺,PC產品需求回溫
2024/8246.6329.56106.61727.84130.07666.310.66AI訂單需求暢旺
2024/7190.36-16.99119.01481.21134.51644.450.69AI訂單需求暢旺
2024/6229.322.02137.771290.85136.99739.330.59AI訂單需求暢旺,PC產品需求回溫
2024/5224.77-21.19137.151061.53136.82752.540.58AI訂單需求暢旺,PC產品需求回溫
2024/4285.2417.6290.53836.76136.73667.460.66AI訂單需求暢旺,PC產品需求回溫
2024/3242.5373.62149.17551.5296.67551.520.92AI訂單需求暢旺,PC產品需求回溫
2024/2139.69-17.4938.45308.9968.76437.451.15AI訂單需求暢旺,PC產品需求回溫
2024/1169.331.79105.97169.3105.97456.921.11AI訂單需求暢旺,PC產品需求回溫
2023/12128.46-19.2846.431368.9527.68455.270.65-
2023/11159.16-5.0646.531240.526.01489.520.61-
2023/10167.653.03104.081081.3423.47449.740.66AI訂單需求暢旺,PC產品需求回溫
2023/9162.7136.385.58913.6915.12369.00.78AI訂單需求暢旺
2023/8119.3737.3451.16750.986.37302.740.95AI訂單需求暢旺
2023/786.92-9.8716.89631.60.73278.141.03-
2023/696.451.7517.58544.68-1.45264.260.84-
2023/594.7829.7638.54448.24-4.77265.150.84-
2023/473.04-24.96-4.23353.46-12.15271.260.82-
2023/397.34-3.522.36280.42-14.0280.420.88-
2023/2100.8922.7413.4183.09-20.74270.810.91-
2023/182.2-6.3-42.1382.2-42.13278.530.89-
2022/1287.72-19.2314.051072.12-12.05278.480.78-
2022/11108.6132.21-8.27984.39-13.81278.430.78-
2022/1082.15-6.3-24.8875.78-14.45248.790.88-
2022/987.6811.02-31.18793.64-13.21241.00.95-
2022/878.976.2-23.59705.96-10.3235.270.97-
2022/774.35-9.26-9.52626.99-8.29224.711.02-
2022/681.9419.78-10.33552.64-8.12226.621.32-
2022/568.41-10.3-41.02470.69-7.73239.681.25-
2022/476.26-19.72-30.96402.292.06260.231.15-
2022/395.016.79-13.71326.0214.92326.021.01-
2022/288.96-37.3727.64231.0133.1307.971.07-
2022/1142.0584.5836.76142.0536.76337.360.98-
2021/1276.96-34.9714.771219.144.09304.550.87-
2021/11118.358.3325.981142.1446.61355.070.75-
2021/10109.24-14.2948.451023.7949.44340.120.78-
2021/9127.4723.2760.57914.5549.56313.050.72本年/本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係板卡及網通產品銷售成長所致。
2021/8103.425.8348.43787.0747.92276.930.81-
2021/782.18-10.031.46683.6747.85289.540.77-
2021/691.34-21.2628.5601.4957.7317.840.7本年/本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係板卡及網通產品銷售成長所致。
2021/5116.025.0151.96510.1564.38336.590.66本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係板卡及網通產品銷售成長所致。
2021/4110.470.3479.17394.1368.43290.270.77本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係板卡及網通產品銷售成長所致。
2021/3110.157.9774.48283.6564.59283.650.71本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係板卡及網通產品銷售成長所致。
2021/269.69-32.8949.28173.5658.88240.50.83本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係板卡及網通產品銷售成長所致。
2021/1103.8655.1566.05103.8666.05264.810.76本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係板卡及網通產品銷售成長所致。
2020/1266.94-28.7941.82845.9236.92234.540.65-
2020/1194.0127.7478.32778.9836.51246.920.62本月營收較去年同期增加,要主係板卡產品銷售成長所致。
2020/1073.59-7.2227.3684.9732.26222.550.68-
2020/979.3213.8839.98611.3932.88229.950.65-
2020/869.65-14.013.36532.0731.88221.730.67-
2020/780.9913.9138.29462.4235.21228.430.65-
2020/671.1-6.8692.68381.4334.57209.090.63本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係板卡及網通產品銷售成長所致。
2020/576.3423.880.12310.3325.89201.10.65本月營收較去年同期增加,主要係板卡及網通產品銷售成長所致。
2020/461.66-2.2940.56234.014.63171.450.76-
2020/363.1135.17-7.83172.347.54172.340.81-
2020/246.68-25.3622.35109.2319.01156.770.89-
2020/162.5531.5716.6462.5516.64162.820.86-
2019/1247.54-9.8648.27618.151.430.0N/A-
2019/1152.74-8.7611.06570.61-1.160.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/1169.32023/182.22022/1142.052021/1103.862020/162.55
2024/2139.692023/2100.892022/288.962021/269.692020/246.68
2024/3242.532023/397.342022/395.012021/3110.12020/363.11
2024/4285.242023/473.042022/476.262021/4110.472020/461.66
2024/5224.772023/594.782022/568.412021/5116.022020/576.34
2024/6229.322023/696.452022/681.942021/691.342020/671.1
2024/7190.362023/786.922022/774.352021/782.182020/780.99
2024/8246.632023/8119.372022/878.972021/8103.42020/869.65
2024/9267.362023/9162.712022/987.682021/9127.472020/979.32
2024/10257.722023/10167.652022/1082.152021/10109.242020/1073.59
N/AN/A2023/11159.162022/11108.612021/11118.352020/1194.01
N/AN/A2023/12128.462022/1287.722021/1276.962020/1266.94
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 40.57%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)27.18-31.91-66.82
24Q2 (19)39.92-52.29-14.52
24Q1 (18)83.6792.08218.26
23Q4 (17)43.56-46.8356.24
23Q3 (16)81.9275.42522.02
23Q2 (15)46.777.63224.08
23Q1 (14)26.29-5.7158.76
22Q4 (13)27.88111.69132.92
22Q3 (12)13.17-8.6122.63
22Q2 (11)14.4141.8399.58
22Q1 (10)10.16-15.12-69.87
21Q4 (9)11.9711.45-69.98
21Q3 (8)10.7448.75-76.98
21Q2 (7)7.22-78.59108.07
21Q1 (6)33.72-15.45960.38
20Q4 (5)39.88-14.511514.57
20Q3 (4)46.651244.380.0
20Q2 (3)3.479.120.0
20Q1 (2)3.1828.740.0
19Q4 (1)2.470.00.0

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