玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/102.8-3.8-3.225.386.628.45N/A-
2024/92.915.51.9322.587.988.470.94-
2024/82.75-2.19-5.9819.688.938.130.98-
2024/72.829.7915.5216.9311.827.91.01-
2024/62.561.730.7714.1111.117.460.88-
2024/52.526.166.811.5513.77.20.91-
2024/42.372.978.699.0215.796.411.03-
2024/32.3133.353.646.6518.556.651.03-
2024/21.73-33.89-2.854.3428.356.591.04-
2024/12.6216.2462.962.6262.967.670.9客戶需求量增加
2023/122.25-19.725.1228.86-0.087.940.99-
2023/112.8-2.9221.8726.61-0.58.540.92-
2023/102.891.327.3423.8-2.618.670.91-
2023/92.85-2.6929.4320.92-5.678.221.17-
2023/82.9320.1850.9518.06-9.547.911.22客戶需求量增加
2023/72.44-4.2226.8515.14-16.057.341.31-
2023/62.547.8222.4812.7-21.177.091.7-
2023/52.368.056.0110.15-27.646.771.78-
2023/42.18-1.81-6.367.79-33.986.191.95-
2023/32.2224.99-31.465.61-40.785.612.55-
2023/21.7810.89-37.243.38-45.655.532.58-
2023/11.6-25.01-52.671.6-52.676.052.36年假工作天數少
2022/122.14-6.93-34.0928.88-19.816.712.37-
2022/112.31.42-28.3426.74-18.46.772.35-
2022/102.272.96-30.2824.44-17.326.412.48-
2022/92.213.48-30.3622.17-15.726.062.9-
2022/81.940.99-39.0619.97-13.725.942.96-
2022/71.92-7.52-43.518.03-9.676.232.82-
2022/62.08-6.68-37.6916.11-2.726.641.98-
2022/52.23-4.56-25.5914.036.087.81.68-
2022/42.33-28.13-13.911.8115.348.411.56-
2022/33.2514.458.949.4725.879.471.02-
2022/22.84-16.3846.146.2336.979.481.02-
2022/13.394.4330.143.3930.149.850.98-
2021/123.251.1821.6336.0237.489.710.78-
2021/113.21-1.3123.5532.7739.279.620.79-
2021/103.252.8440.8829.5641.239.60.79-
2021/93.16-0.6923.5326.3141.279.750.54-
2021/83.18-6.3630.1523.1544.19.920.53-
2021/73.41.9954.7819.9646.69.730.54客戶需求量增加
2021/63.3311.4453.1416.5645.039.040.53客戶需求量增加
2021/52.9910.4440.1413.2343.128.680.55-
2021/42.71-9.0614.8710.2444.027.630.63-
2021/32.9853.5239.557.5358.497.530.48客戶需求量增加
2021/21.94-25.5335.414.5573.977.220.5客戶需求量增加
2021/12.61-2.39120.792.61120.797.870.46客戶需求量增加
2020/122.672.7734.6226.212.827.580.53-
2020/112.612.5229.8123.5310.797.470.54-
2020/102.31-9.8214.6420.938.817.320.55-
2020/92.564.6223.4818.628.137.20.7-
2020/82.4511.3519.4616.066.026.820.74-
2020/72.20.91-1.3613.623.926.510.78-
2020/62.181.986.5811.425.016.670.68-
2020/52.14-9.476.519.244.646.630.68-
2020/42.3610.4729.427.114.15.930.76-
2020/32.1348.9720.324.75-5.114.750.83-
2020/21.4321.4113.062.61-19.094.60.86-
2020/11.18-40.48-39.861.18-39.865.160.76-
2019/121.98-0.884.1823.22-9.440.0N/A-
2019/112.0-0.62-5.121.24-10.540.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/12.622023/11.62022/13.392021/12.612020/11.18
2024/21.732023/21.782022/22.842021/21.942020/21.43
2024/32.312023/32.222022/33.252021/32.982020/32.13
2024/42.372023/42.182022/42.332021/42.712020/42.36
2024/52.522023/52.362022/52.232021/52.992020/52.14
2024/62.562023/62.542022/62.082021/63.332020/62.18
2024/72.822023/72.442022/71.922021/73.42020/72.2
2024/82.752023/82.932022/81.942021/83.182020/82.45
2024/92.912023/92.852022/92.22021/93.162020/92.56
2024/102.82023/102.892022/102.272021/103.252020/102.31
N/AN/A2023/112.82022/112.32021/113.212020/112.6
N/AN/A2023/122.252022/122.142021/123.252020/122.67
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.45%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.0860.060.0
24Q2 (19)0.05400.0150.0
24Q1 (18)0.01-66.67-50.0
23Q4 (17)0.03-40.00.0
23Q3 (16)0.05150.0-16.67
23Q2 (15)0.020.0-60.0
23Q1 (14)0.02-33.330.0
22Q4 (13)0.03-50.0200.0
22Q3 (12)0.0620.0200.0
22Q2 (11)0.05150.066.67
22Q1 (10)0.02100.0-33.33
21Q4 (9)0.01-50.00
21Q3 (8)0.02-33.330.0
21Q2 (7)0.030.050.0
21Q1 (6)0.0300

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