玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1010.84-2.780.73107.447.1733.88N/A-
2024/911.15-6.22-7.6496.67.9534.030.54-
2024/811.898.18-0.2785.4510.3833.170.55-
2024/710.996.72-0.3273.5612.3231.920.57-
2024/610.3-3.133.5962.5714.8831.510.63-
2024/510.630.47.2452.2817.432.390.61-
2024/410.59-5.230.2341.6520.3131.680.63-
2024/311.1712.6439.4631.0629.1331.060.64-
2024/29.92-0.525.6319.8923.9729.460.67-
2024/19.974.1322.379.9722.3730.310.65-
2023/129.57-11.1161.47120.59-7.4531.10.68主要原因是筆電庫存去化已經告一段落,客戶重啟拉貨以及急單增加
2023/1110.770.158.38111.01-10.7433.60.63主要原因是筆電庫存去化已經告一段落,客戶重啟拉貨以及急單增加
2023/1010.76-10.8855.61100.24-14.7434.750.61主要原因是筆電庫存去化已經告一段落,客戶重啟拉貨以及急單增加
2023/912.071.2634.2689.48-19.1335.020.68-
2023/811.928.1341.2877.41-23.8632.890.72-
2023/711.0310.922.4465.49-29.7530.880.77-
2023/69.940.26-31.3454.47-33.9530.410.93-
2023/59.91-6.15-31.3444.53-34.5128.491.0-
2023/410.5631.85-15.9734.61-35.3626.471.07-
2023/38.011.47-51.3224.05-41.3124.051.37消費性電子市場買氣薄弱,導致需求明顯減少
2023/27.89-3.08-29.3216.04-34.621.971.5-
2023/18.1537.41-39.028.15-39.0220.871.58-
2022/125.93-12.81-56.84130.3-28.919.641.9消費性電子市場買氣薄弱,導致需求明顯減少
2022/116.8-1.64-50.96124.38-26.6422.71.64消費性電子市場買氣薄弱,導致需求明顯減少
2022/106.91-23.11-50.66117.58-24.4724.341.53消費性電子市場買氣薄弱,導致需求明顯減少
2022/98.996.55-45.6110.66-21.8828.191.29-
2022/88.44-21.59-49.09101.67-18.7533.681.08-
2022/710.76-25.66-35.3193.23-14.1139.680.92-
2022/614.480.27-12.9382.47-10.2741.490.81-
2022/514.4414.85-13.0867.99-9.6943.460.78-
2022/412.57-23.61-26.5853.56-8.7340.20.84-
2022/316.4647.32-3.8740.99-1.3740.990.7-
2022/211.17-16.380.7424.530.3738.260.75-
2022/113.36-2.730.0613.360.0640.960.7-
2021/1213.74-0.94-18.45183.2821.3741.620.56-
2021/1113.87-1.04-9.42169.5426.3844.410.52-
2021/1014.01-15.22-2.12155.6830.9947.120.49-
2021/916.53-0.29-3.78141.6635.5249.750.41-
2021/816.58-0.368.81125.1443.2649.840.41-
2021/716.640.0613.5108.5650.5349.880.41居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2021/616.630.130.3991.9259.9850.360.38居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2021/516.61-2.9835.5975.2968.4250.850.38居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2021/417.120.0164.7958.6880.8145.330.42居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2021/317.1254.3976.2141.5688.3641.560.44居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2021/211.09-16.94123.4924.4497.9341.280.44居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2021/113.35-20.7380.7613.3580.7645.50.4居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2020/1216.8410.0298.77151.059.1446.470.38居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2020/1115.316.9374.84134.1555.2546.810.38居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2020/1014.32-16.6644.61118.8453.0546.730.38居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2020/917.1812.7669.49104.5354.2847.070.38居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2020/815.233.9269.4287.3551.642.640.42居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2020/714.6614.9483.2272.1148.3139.660.45因受疫情影響,居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2020/612.754.0973.9657.4641.4335.390.53因受疫情影響,居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2020/512.2517.962.9244.734.2732.360.58因受疫情影響,居家辦公及授課市場需求增加
2020/410.396.9449.1332.4525.9125.070.75-
2020/39.7295.8259.3222.0617.3122.060.7(1)市場需求:居家辦公及授課 (2)大陸復工率提升
2020/24.96-32.82-2.5112.35-2.8420.820.74-
2020/17.39-12.83-3.057.39-3.0524.620.62-
2019/128.47-3.2221.4194.889.670.0N/A-
2019/118.76-11.5515.0686.418.640.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/19.972023/18.152022/113.362021/113.352020/17.39
2024/29.922023/27.892022/211.172021/211.092020/24.96
2024/311.172023/38.012022/316.462021/317.122020/39.72
2024/410.592023/410.562022/412.572021/417.122020/410.39
2024/510.632023/59.912022/514.442021/516.612020/512.25
2024/610.32023/69.942022/614.482021/616.632020/612.75
2024/710.992023/711.032022/710.762021/716.642020/714.66
2024/811.892023/811.922022/88.442021/816.582020/815.23
2024/911.152023/912.072022/98.992021/916.532020/917.18
2024/1010.842023/1010.762022/106.912021/1014.012020/1014.32
N/AN/A2023/1110.772022/116.82021/1113.872020/1115.31
N/AN/A2023/129.572022/125.932021/1213.742020/1216.84
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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