玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1125.0431.1239.67209.021.7666.0N/A-
2024/1019.09-12.6822.47183.9619.6864.6N/A-
2024/921.87-7.5131.98164.8719.3663.594.52-
2024/823.6430.836.37143.017.6457.64.99-
2024/718.0813.8313.35119.3614.5253.645.36-
2024/615.88-19.32-2.71101.2814.7452.075.27-
2024/519.6819.215.8685.418.755.554.94-
2024/416.51-14.7121.7965.7223.1749.475.55-
2024/319.3642.3537.049.2123.6449.215.27-
2024/213.6-16.32-11.5929.8516.2848.185.38-
2024/116.25-11.3357.9916.2557.9952.514.94主要係112年春節在1月工作天數較113年1月少及112年新增工案增加營收貢獻所致。
2023/1218.332.259.87189.9725.8651.854.91-
2023/1117.9314.9820.42171.6427.8450.085.08-
2023/1015.59-5.915.46153.7128.7749.495.14-
2023/916.57-4.4213.69138.1230.4749.854.77-
2023/817.348.7124.06121.5533.1449.64.79-
2023/715.95-2.2930.8104.2234.7950.864.68-
2023/616.32-12.2162.7988.2735.5348.474.61主要係部分工案進入高峰期及111年下半年後新增工案增加營收貢獻所致;另本月房地產銷售移轉戶數亦較年同期增加。
2023/518.5937.15109.9371.9530.5746.284.83主要係部分工案進入高峰期及111年下半年後新增工案增加營收貢獻所致;另本月房地產銷售移轉戶數亦較年同期增加。
2023/413.56-4.0643.8353.3615.3843.075.19-
2023/314.13-8.1430.5139.88.0939.85.32-
2023/215.3849.5428.8725.67-1.2342.355.0-
2023/110.29-38.34-26.8110.29-26.8141.865.06-
2022/1216.6812.0819.66150.93-12.2345.074.43-
2022/1114.8810.23-10.32134.25-15.0442.964.64-
2022/1013.5-7.34-22.03119.37-15.5942.054.74-
2022/914.574.28-28.55105.86-14.6940.744.83-
2022/813.9714.62-1.091.29-11.9736.195.44-
2022/712.1921.59-1.0777.32-13.731.076.33-
2022/610.0313.2-18.0965.13-15.7128.317.91-
2022/58.86-6.03-33.3355.1-15.2629.117.69-
2022/49.42-12.94-29.2346.24-10.6332.196.95-
2022/310.83-9.29-12.1236.82-4.1836.825.85-
2022/211.94-15.076.9225.99-0.4339.935.4-
2022/114.060.81-5.9314.06-5.9344.64.83-
2021/1213.94-16.020.62171.9727.6547.864.44-
2021/1116.6-4.1516.06158.0228.3154.313.91-
2021/1017.32-15.0844.96141.4329.9251.834.1-
2021/920.444.4865.15124.1128.0746.844.58本月營收增加50%以上係因增加中工耘翠房地銷售收入所致
2021/814.1214.5425.11103.7122.6538.685.54-
2021/712.320.6716.4689.5922.2737.855.67-
2021/612.24-7.853.1377.2723.2538.845.5-
2021/513.28-0.2519.2165.0327.9538.925.49-
2021/413.328.0920.5451.7530.4136.85.8-
2021/312.3210.3624.1538.4334.2238.435.54-
2021/211.16-25.2929.0226.1139.5637.665.65-
2021/114.9429.2848.6414.9448.6440.85.22-
2020/1211.56-19.17-4.21134.716.9937.815.69-
2020/1114.319.716.66123.158.1738.65.57-
2020/1011.95-3.2626.15108.857.1535.586.04-
2020/912.359.461.3896.95.234.216.2-
2020/811.286.6217.8184.555.7833.736.28-
2020/710.58-10.848.073.274.1433.596.31-
2020/611.876.541.1362.693.5134.064.16-
2020/511.140.8629.9350.82-2.5432.124.41-
2020/411.0511.336.9139.68-8.9329.624.78-
2020/39.9214.69-11.5728.63-13.8628.634.86-
2020/28.65-13.93-13.5718.7-15.0330.774.52-
2020/110.05-16.69-16.2510.05-16.250.0N/A-
2019/1212.07-1.552.27125.9113.810.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/116.252023/110.292022/114.062021/114.942020/110.05
2024/213.62023/215.382022/211.942021/211.162020/28.65
2024/319.362023/314.132022/310.832021/312.322020/39.92
2024/416.512023/413.562022/49.422021/413.322020/411.05
2024/519.682023/518.592022/58.862021/513.282020/511.14
2024/615.882023/616.322022/610.032021/612.242020/611.87
2024/718.082023/715.952022/712.192021/712.322020/710.58
2024/823.642023/817.342022/813.972021/814.122020/811.28
2024/921.872023/916.572022/914.572021/920.42020/912.35
2024/1019.092023/1015.592022/1013.52021/1017.322020/1011.95
2024/1125.042023/1117.932022/1114.882021/1116.62020/1114.3
N/AN/A2023/1218.332022/1216.682021/1213.942020/1211.56
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 33.66%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)51.5319.3177.44
24Q2 (19)43.1913.2160.2
24Q1 (18)38.156.6244.67
23Q4 (17)35.7823.2162.64
23Q3 (16)29.047.726.41
23Q2 (15)26.962.24-42.66
23Q1 (14)26.3719.86-47.39
22Q4 (13)22.0-19.38-53.65
22Q3 (12)27.29-41.96-38.95
22Q2 (11)47.02-6.19-3.33
22Q1 (10)50.125.611.55
21Q4 (9)47.466.1713.22
21Q3 (8)44.7-8.14.56
21Q2 (7)48.648.26135.32
21Q1 (6)44.937.18118.96
20Q4 (5)41.92-1.944.23
20Q3 (4)42.75106.820.0
20Q2 (3)20.670.730.0
20Q1 (2)20.52-48.980.0
19Q4 (1)40.220.00.0

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