玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.2110.1424.748.74194.461.83N/A本年有建案交屋認列收入,故本年營收增加
2024/90.19-86.8710.338.53204.512.1661.97本年有建案交屋認列收入,故本年營收增加
2024/81.43166.332.18.35217.083.9633.76本年有建案交屋認列收入,故本年營收增加
2024/70.54-72.98216.156.91346.594.3530.73本月有建案交屋認列收入,故本月與本年營收增加
2024/61.999.151090.06.38362.685.8123.05本月有餘屋出售及建案交屋認列收入,故本月與本年營收增加
2024/51.82-8.721028.384.39262.223.9933.53本月有建案交屋認列收入,故本月與本年營收增加
2024/42.01051.611040.432.56144.232.3557.08本月有建案交屋認列收入,故本月與本年營收增加
2024/30.17-1.19-46.40.57-35.350.57244.23-
2024/20.18-18.75-42.960.39-28.850.99139.39-
2024/10.22-63.89-10.950.22-10.951.01136.57-
2023/120.6205.3571.933.765.810.96143.36本月營收增加,係因出售存貨
2023/110.218.06-11.753.16-1.350.53258.62-
2023/100.17-2.57-27.182.97-0.581.4296.95-
2023/90.17-84.27-34.232.81.611.4296.33-
2023/81.08537.3359.022.635.331.4296.54本月較去年同期增加,係因本期有出售存貨
2023/70.171.68-36.981.55-31.570.5275.0-
2023/60.173.5-69.071.38-30.840.5272.02本月較去年同期減少,係因去年同期有出售存貨
2023/50.16-7.74-67.231.21-16.60.66207.6本月較去年同期減少,係因去年同期有出售存貨
2023/40.18-45.88-43.191.059.440.81169.97-
2023/30.325.1547.940.8734.40.87144.63-
2023/20.3126.8436.960.5527.540.9140.69-
2023/10.24-30.2817.310.2417.310.81155.53-
2022/120.3556.7257.683.5639.430.8157.18本月較去年同期增加,係因本期有出售存貨
2022/110.22-2.586.533.2137.70.71176.9-
2022/100.23-12.08.482.9940.770.72173.47-
2022/90.269.7235.512.7644.320.77162.42-
2022/80.24-12.521.762.545.31.05118.71-
2022/70.27-50.0948.912.2648.291.395.31-
2022/60.549.65229.531.9948.21.3492.09本月較去年同期增加,係因本期有出售存貨
2022/50.4959.92118.731.4522.991.02121.16本月較去年同期增加,係因本期有出售存貨
2022/40.3140.9598.590.960.390.75164.41本月較去年同期增加,係因本期有出售存貨
2022/30.22-2.64-36.740.65-18.670.65189.88-
2022/20.228.65-31.360.43-4.890.65189.31-
2022/10.21-6.363.660.2163.660.64194.15本月其他營業收入較去年同期增加
2021/120.225.88-92.592.55-49.670.64192.5本月及本年較去年同期減少,係因去年同期有出售存貨
2021/110.21-0.863.152.3311.670.61201.82本月較去年同期增加,係因本月增加其他營業收入
2021/100.219.9263.682.128.310.6206.76本月較去年同期增加,係因本月增加其他營業收入
2021/90.19-1.4-12.611.914.420.57216.74-
2021/80.197.049.551.726.740.54227.62-
2021/70.1810.4343.151.532.990.57215.04-
2021/60.16-27.2127.821.34-0.750.54224.53-
2021/50.2345.1992.111.18-3.740.73168.36本月其他營業收入較去年同期增加
2021/40.16-55.138.340.95-13.890.83147.65-
2021/30.355.64194.770.8-19.770.8152.86本月較去年同期增加,係因本期有出售存貨
2021/20.33159.07-36.520.45-48.43.4435.58-
2021/10.13-95.76-65.240.13-65.243.2437.77本月及本年較去年同期減少,係因去年同期出售餘屋
2020/122.982233.561989.565.07191.523.2437.82本月及本年較去年同期增加,係因本期有出售存貨
2020/110.13-0.4812.512.0930.720.47257.84-
2020/100.13-41.3111.021.9632.120.48256.82-
2020/90.2268.7487.041.8333.90.48242.91本月較去年同期增加,係因出售存貨
2020/80.132.4211.031.6128.930.38300.0-
2020/70.13-1.399.361.4830.770.37309.92-
2020/60.139.39-70.361.3533.210.36320.45本月較去年同期減少,係因去年同期有出售土地
2020/50.124.562.451.23110.10.35330.66本年度較去年同期增加,係因本年度出售餘屋
2020/40.11-4.34-2.931.11136.380.75153.9本年度較去年同期增加,係因本年度出售餘屋
2020/30.12-77.25-1.941.0181.951.0113.81本年度較去年同期增加,係因本年度出售餘屋
2020/20.5241.84342.60.88276.061.02110.99本期較去年同期增加,係因本期出售餘屋
2020/10.36154.82209.950.36209.950.62183.01本期較去年同期增加,係因本期出售餘屋
2019/120.1425.65-20.921.7417.180.0N/A-
2019/110.11-1.79-3.361.622.460.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.222023/10.242022/10.212021/10.132020/10.36
2024/20.182023/20.312022/20.222021/20.332020/20.52
2024/30.172023/30.322022/30.222021/30.352020/30.12
2024/42.02023/40.182022/40.312021/40.162020/40.11
2024/51.822023/50.162022/50.492021/50.232020/50.12
2024/61.992023/60.172022/60.542021/60.162020/60.13
2024/70.542023/70.172022/70.272021/70.182020/70.13
2024/81.432023/81.082022/80.242021/80.192020/80.13
2024/90.192023/90.172022/90.262021/90.192020/90.22
2024/100.212023/100.172022/100.232021/100.212020/100.13
N/AN/A2023/110.22022/110.222021/110.212020/110.13
N/AN/A2023/120.62022/120.352021/120.222020/122.98
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 41.01%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)18.25-0.713.34
24Q2 (19)18.38-15.222.34
24Q1 (18)21.686.6425.03
23Q4 (17)20.3315.12-73.06
23Q3 (16)17.66-1.67-12.83
23Q2 (15)17.963.586.15
23Q1 (14)17.34-77.0213.33
22Q4 (13)75.46272.46484.51
22Q3 (12)20.2619.7488.64
22Q2 (11)16.9210.5964.75
22Q1 (10)15.318.5146.55
21Q4 (9)12.9120.225.95
21Q3 (8)10.744.586.97
21Q2 (7)10.27-1.631.68
21Q1 (6)10.441.8513.11
20Q4 (5)10.252.094.59
20Q3 (4)10.04-0.590.0
20Q2 (3)10.19.430.0
20Q1 (2)9.23-5.820.0
19Q4 (1)9.80.00.0

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