玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1021.71-0.7523.47211.8917.8668.29N/A-
2024/921.87-11.4712.81190.1817.2568.810.11-
2024/824.7111.1222.74168.3117.8571.630.11-
2024/722.23-9.9419.98143.6117.0570.070.11-
2024/624.696.6624.11121.3716.5367.80.12-
2024/523.1515.923.1396.6814.7462.320.13-
2024/419.973.9815.373.5412.3352.360.16-
2024/319.245.61-1.3653.5711.2653.570.14-
2024/213.19-37.72-14.6734.3619.8357.910.13-
2024/121.18-10.0760.1621.1860.1665.670.11當月營收較去年增加達50%:主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2023/1223.5512.43-10.8224.27-8.6462.070.12-
2023/1120.9419.14-5.13200.72-8.3857.910.13-
2023/1017.58-9.32-15.74179.78-8.7457.090.13-
2023/919.39-3.67-13.47162.2-7.9158.040.13-
2023/820.138.61-6.23142.81-7.158.550.13-
2023/718.53-6.84-2.19122.68-7.2457.220.13-
2023/619.895.82-21.07104.15-8.0956.010.13-
2023/518.88.542.8884.26-4.3755.590.13-
2023/417.32-11.05-6.7165.47-6.2752.240.14-
2023/319.4725.97-5.6648.15-6.1248.150.16-
2023/215.4616.914.6728.68-6.4255.080.14-
2023/113.22-49.92-22.9913.22-22.9961.70.12-
2022/1226.419.583.29245.4915.5169.340.1-
2022/1122.085.8115.71219.0817.1865.350.11-
2022/1020.86-6.8835.37197.0117.3564.740.11-
2022/922.414.3839.17176.1415.5362.820.12-
2022/821.4713.2916.69153.7412.7465.610.12-
2022/718.95-24.8215.18132.2712.1262.420.12-
2022/625.237.9441.75113.3211.6362.040.12-
2022/518.27-1.58-1.1788.125.2357.480.13-
2022/418.56-10.05-2.1669.857.0552.680.14-
2022/320.6453.1429.7151.2910.8351.290.13-
2022/213.48-21.4914.8130.650.9356.210.12-
2022/117.17-32.82-7.817.17-7.861.810.11-
2021/1225.5633.9734.11212.5147.1360.050.1-
2021/1119.0823.7811.13186.9549.1150.590.11-
2021/1015.41-4.267.23167.8755.1449.910.12主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致營收較全年同期增加。
2021/916.1-12.4713.43152.4662.4850.940.1主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致營收較去年同期增加。
2021/818.3911.8254.25136.3671.2252.620.1主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致營收較去年同期增加。
2021/716.45-7.4749.35117.9774.2152.720.1主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致營收較去年同期增加。
2021/617.78-3.8375.39101.5279.0455.240.08主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致營收較去年同期增加。
2021/518.49-2.5784.4583.7479.8353.380.08主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致營收較去年同期增加。
2021/418.9819.25104.9465.2578.5646.630.09主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致營收較去年同期增加。
2021/315.9135.5448.7146.2769.6146.270.09主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致營收較去年同期增加。
2021/211.74-36.9631.0130.3683.149.420.08主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致營收較去年同期增加。
2021/118.62-2.28144.3518.62144.3554.850.07主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2020/1219.0611.0136.2144.4324.1950.60.08-
2020/1117.1719.4436.69125.3722.5445.730.09-
2020/1014.371.2611.62108.220.5640.490.1-
2020/914.1919.0138.2493.8322.0637.130.13-
2020/811.938.2713.0479.6419.5733.070.15-
2020/711.018.6518.0767.7120.7931.170.16-
2020/610.141.139.7556.721.3429.420.15-
2020/510.028.243.7646.5624.1929.980.15-
2020/49.26-13.467.7936.5431.2928.920.16-
2020/310.719.439.6527.2841.7827.280.17-
2020/28.9617.5788.1116.5843.1930.570.15主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2020/17.62-45.5311.87.6211.834.170.14-
2019/1213.9911.4163.31116.334.480.0N/A主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致本月營收較去年同期增加。
2019/1112.56-2.4674.9102.331.310.0N/A主係業務正於大量施工階段,以致本月營收較去年同期增加。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/121.182023/113.222022/117.172021/118.622020/17.62
2024/213.192023/215.462022/213.482021/211.742020/28.96
2024/319.22023/319.472022/320.642021/315.912020/310.7
2024/419.972023/417.322022/418.562021/418.982020/49.26
2024/523.152023/518.82022/518.272021/518.492020/510.02
2024/624.692023/619.892022/625.22021/617.782020/610.14
2024/722.232023/718.532022/718.952021/716.452020/711.01
2024/824.712023/820.132022/821.472021/818.392020/811.93
2024/921.872023/919.392022/922.412021/916.12020/914.19
2024/1021.712023/1017.582022/1020.862021/1015.412020/1014.37
N/AN/A2023/1120.942022/1122.082021/1119.082020/1117.17
N/AN/A2023/1223.552022/1226.42021/1225.562020/1219.06
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 84.23%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)21.8149.0815.52
24Q2 (19)14.63-26.52-24.24
24Q1 (18)19.91-9.6629.62
23Q4 (17)22.0416.74117.57
23Q3 (16)18.88-2.2357.33
23Q2 (15)19.3125.7245.63
23Q1 (14)15.3651.6327.79
22Q4 (13)10.13-15.58-10.43
22Q3 (12)12.0-9.5-22.98
22Q2 (11)13.2610.32-0.97
22Q1 (10)12.026.28-34.57
21Q4 (9)11.31-27.4187.56
21Q3 (8)15.5816.36146.13
21Q2 (7)13.39-27.1156.79
21Q1 (6)18.37204.64343.72
20Q4 (5)6.03-4.7445.65
20Q3 (4)6.33-25.880.0
20Q2 (3)8.54106.280.0
20Q1 (2)4.140.00.0
19Q4 (1)4.140.00.0

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