. 愛玩股

   玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看、自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/110.59-9.7427.986.29-6.81.88N/A-
2024/100.652.6827.185.7-9.351.88N/A-
2024/90.647.0-0.375.05-12.591.830.23-
2024/80.59-1.38-22.694.42-14.111.750.25-
2024/70.69.42-8.663.82-12.61.660.26-
2024/60.557.57-13.933.22-13.31.640.21-
2024/50.51-11.77-37.42.67-13.171.650.21-
2024/40.583.06.432.16-4.41.510.23-
2024/30.5653.14-13.161.58-7.851.580.2-
2024/20.37-43.23-35.791.01-4.611.660.19-
2024/10.651.0831.670.6531.671.750.18-
2023/120.6439.2129.967.39-6.381.610.23-
2023/110.46-10.29-25.776.75-8.81.610.23-
2023/100.51-19.57-31.566.29-7.251.920.19-
2023/90.64-16.96-20.475.78-4.232.060.16-
2023/80.7716.5118.415.14-1.742.070.16-
2023/70.663.11-3.634.37-4.592.120.16-
2023/60.64-21.773.353.71-4.762.00.16-
2023/50.8250.02-3.453.07-6.292.010.16-
2023/40.54-15.96-27.612.26-7.281.770.18-
2023/30.6513.235.921.711.811.710.23-
2023/20.5716.4131.861.06-0.531.560.26-
2023/10.49-0.23-22.660.49-22.661.60.25-
2022/120.49-20.49-30.87.9-3.381.860.21-
2022/110.62-17.2818.347.4-0.762.170.18-
2022/100.75-6.54-5.386.78-2.212.20.18-
2022/90.823.635.66.03-1.82.130.15-
2022/80.65-5.17-8.85.23-2.841.950.16-
2022/70.6810.59-14.184.58-1.942.150.14-
2022/60.62-26.92-17.233.90.572.220.14-
2022/50.8512.486.643.284.822.210.14-
2022/40.7522.9614.622.434.211.80.18-
2022/30.6140.97-22.011.680.141.680.18-
2022/20.43-31.72-3.451.0719.571.780.17-
2022/10.64-10.7342.830.6442.831.870.16-
2021/120.7135.9616.478.1727.332.030.16-
2021/110.52-33.86-3.87.4628.472.080.15-
2021/100.794.3136.746.9431.812.260.14-
2021/90.766.76-0.946.1431.22.270.17-
2021/80.71-10.7629.915.3937.492.260.17-
2021/70.86.6531.294.6738.722.340.16-
2021/60.75-5.8432.983.8840.362.20.15-
2021/50.7920.9143.233.1342.242.230.15去年同期因新冠肺炎疫情影響，海外地區營收大幅減少
2021/40.66-16.33105.412.3424.651.890.18去年同期因新冠肺炎疫情影響，海外地區營收大幅減少
2021/30.7874.5276.981.688.041.680.13去年同期因新冠肺炎疫情影響，海外地區營收大幅減少
2021/20.451.0-34.910.89-19.461.510.15-
2021/10.45-27.215.930.455.931.60.14-
2020/120.6112.3-29.916.42-35.041.740.16-
2020/110.54-5.99-44.485.81-35.540.0N/A-
2020/100.580.0-48.65.26-34.450.0N/A-
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股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.652023/10.492022/10.642021/10.452020/100.58
2024/20.372023/20.572022/20.432021/20.452020/110.54
2024/30.562023/30.652022/30.612021/30.782020/120.61
2024/40.582023/40.542022/40.752021/40.66N/AN/A
2024/50.512023/50.822022/50.852021/50.79N/AN/A
2024/60.552023/60.642022/60.622021/60.75N/AN/A
2024/70.62023/70.662022/70.682021/70.8N/AN/A
2024/80.592023/80.772022/80.652021/80.71N/AN/A
2024/90.642023/90.642022/90.82021/90.76N/AN/A
2024/100.652023/100.512022/100.752021/100.79N/AN/A
2024/110.592023/110.462022/110.622021/110.52N/AN/A
N/AN/A2023/120.642022/120.492021/120.71N/AN/A
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 22.41%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.551.85-11.29
24Q2 (19)0.54-1.82-15.62
24Q1 (18)0.551.85-11.29
23Q4 (17)0.54-12.9-15.62
23Q3 (16)0.62-3.12-11.43
23Q2 (15)0.643.23-7.25
23Q1 (14)0.62-3.12-10.14
22Q4 (13)0.64-8.57-11.11
22Q3 (12)0.71.456.06
22Q2 (11)0.690.0-8.0
22Q1 (10)0.69-4.17-11.54
21Q4 (9)0.729.0928.57
21Q3 (8)0.66-12.08.2
21Q2 (7)0.75-3.8544.23
21Q1 (6)0.7839.290
20Q4 (5)0.56-8.20
20Q3 (4)0.6117.310.0
20Q2 (3)0.5200.0

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