玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.23-32.1468.234.36-51.45303.728.1547.07-40.7520.86105.72-75.2835.45-7.92-70.6513.55246.9621.63
24Q2 (19)4.76390.726.498.98667.52570.1519.14-79.49-6.0810.14-86.98-85.1138.50-70.13-53.03-9.22-121.78-241.85
24Q1 (18)0.97-33.56-49.741.17-15.8346.2593.3449.6197.8877.9119.26-31.4128.9128.86-8.3742.3452.96111.07
23Q4 (17)1.46-23.96-49.481.3928.733.6562.3931.3297.9465.33-22.59-25.14100.04-17.16-20.927.68148.47460.42
23Q3 (16)1.92-57.05-44.021.08-19.4-14.9647.51133.1278.8184.4023.9517.45120.7747.3344.5511.1471.38-25.13
23Q2 (15)4.47131.61123.51.3467.514.5320.38-56.79-55.2968.09-40.05-12.7781.97-41.7348.346.50-67.6-90.49
23Q1 (14)1.93-33.2227.810.80-23.08-21.5747.1749.65-21.87113.5730.1427.43140.6811.24226.7120.06361.2-81.15
22Q4 (13)2.89-15.7425.651.04-18.11-9.5731.5218.63-20.387.2721.4410.06126.4751.37391.15-7.68-151.61-108.25
22Q3 (12)3.4371.564.111.278.55429.1726.57-41.71-38.9871.86-7.94-80.9483.5551.19-1.114.88-78.24-95.57
22Q2 (11)2.0032.45-11.111.1714.71431.8245.58-24.512.9378.06-12.41-80.7455.2628.33-33.8868.38-35.76-81.11
22Q1 (10)1.51-34.35-22.161.02-11.3308.060.3752.6428.5889.1212.4-75.7443.0667.22-43.03106.4414.33-68.57
21Q4 (9)2.3010.055.021.15379.17296.5539.55-9.16-4.6379.29-78.97-74.9225.75-69.52-67.993.10-72.29-66.44
21Q3 (8)2.09-7.112.960.249.09-7.6943.547.88-3.09376.95-6.987.9484.481.08-10.72336.01-7.1812.18
21Q2 (7)2.2515.984.650.22-12.0-12.040.36-14.04-4.47405.2410.339.6983.5810.572.63362.016.899.62
21Q1 (6)1.94-11.4225.160.25-13.7931.5846.9513.21-20.04367.3016.16-22.2275.59-5.77-33.03338.6622.06-18.99
20Q4 (5)2.197.88-4.370.2911.54-17.1441.47-7.74.54316.21-9.4522.4880.22-15.222.99277.45-7.3726.14
20Q3 (4)2.03-5.580.00.264.00.044.936.340.0349.21-5.470.094.6216.180.0299.52-9.30.0
20Q2 (3)2.1538.710.00.2531.580.042.25-28.050.0369.43-21.770.081.44-27.850.0330.24-21.010.0
20Q1 (2)1.55-32.310.00.19-45.710.058.7248.020.0472.2282.910.0112.8744.910.0418.0690.070.0
19Q4 (1)2.290.00.00.350.00.039.670.00.0258.170.00.077.890.00.0219.950.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)5.3321.975.24100.068.49-17.9469.71-50.05113.1139.6825.09-82.34
2022 (9)4.37-40.622.6224.7683.4668.27139.57-19.7180.9899.51142.05-22.31
2021 (8)7.360.822.10107.9249.60-0.8173.84-51.940.59-46.95182.85-45.4
2020 (7)7.30-9.321.01-15.1350.0010.28361.3917.8176.5115.82334.8717.07
2019 (6)8.053.341.199.1745.34-3.26306.76-8.0166.06-18.3286.04-4.49
2018 (5)7.79-7.261.09-10.6646.877.9333.4811.8680.8615.75299.4810.22
2017 (4)8.40-4.111.2210.9143.444.27298.13-9.8169.8613.76271.71-12.58
2016 (3)8.768.281.10-9.0941.66-7.63330.559.5561.410.66310.808.74
2015 (2)8.091.761.21-12.9545.10-1.79301.7314.8461.01-9.71285.8218.55
2014 (1)7.95-3.41.39-9.1545.923.54262.749.8267.57-4.21241.0913.16

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