玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.470.35-19.9158.32-22.9119.1N/A-
2024/96.444.14-14.7451.85-23.2718.810.83-
2024/86.190.22-19.3545.41-24.3418.810.83-
2024/76.17-4.23-20.0239.22-25.0718.060.86-
2024/66.4518.59-13.833.04-25.9517.040.89-
2024/55.445.36-23.1326.6-28.3915.690.96-
2024/45.161.38-31.5121.16-29.6314.831.02-
2024/35.0911.22-31.6916.0-29.016.01.01-
2024/24.58-27.74-36.7710.91-27.6718.660.86-
2024/16.33-18.26-19.296.33-19.2921.670.74-
2023/127.752.07-15.7290.99-35.1323.420.75-
2023/117.59-6.0-32.5483.24-36.4923.230.76-
2023/108.086.83-35.1175.65-36.8623.310.76-
2023/97.56-1.47-45.367.58-37.0722.950.83-
2023/87.67-0.61-44.4160.02-35.8522.870.83-
2023/77.723.21-38.2852.34-34.3722.270.85-
2023/67.485.74-45.8244.62-33.6422.090.82-
2023/57.07-6.12-39.5937.14-30.4922.060.82-
2023/47.531.1125.4730.07-27.9422.220.81-
2023/37.452.96-43.6822.54-36.9222.541.03-
2023/27.24-7.76-31.2815.08-32.9424.280.96-
2023/17.85-14.65-34.417.85-34.4128.290.82-
2022/129.19-18.3-10.48140.2854.3932.890.74本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2022/1111.25-9.5860.08131.0962.6637.520.64本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2022/1012.45-9.95106.72119.8362.9140.070.6本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2022/913.820.1395.21107.3959.040.140.66本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2022/813.810.3458.9893.5654.7640.120.66本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2022/712.51-9.439.9179.7654.0538.030.7本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2022/613.8117.970.0367.2557.0131.521.07本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加及四月部分訂單遞延至六月出貨。
2022/511.7195.0257.9253.4453.9630.951.09本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2022/46.0-54.61-19.7941.7352.8929.771.13本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2022/313.2325.6158.8835.7380.3635.730.84本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2022/210.53-11.9598.6822.595.9432.770.91本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2022/111.9616.4793.5811.9693.5829.261.02本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2021/1210.2746.1144.2590.8648.8823.321.15-
2021/117.0316.7515.5780.5949.4920.131.34-
2021/106.02-14.9613.7273.5653.821.781.23本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2021/97.08-18.4426.8567.5458.7924.70.75本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2021/88.68-2.8966.3360.4563.6225.740.72本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2021/78.9410.167.0151.7763.1724.480.76本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2021/68.129.561.4542.8362.3923.020.59本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2021/57.42-0.9546.9634.7162.6123.230.59本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2021/47.49-10.0945.0427.367.4621.120.64本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2021/38.3357.08128.7219.8177.8519.810.58本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2021/25.3-14.2161.5911.4853.1518.60.62本月及本年累計營收較去年同期增加50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2021/16.18-13.246.576.1846.5719.380.6-
2020/127.1217.0561.9361.03-1.418.50.6本月營收較去年同期增加達50%以上,係因客人需求增加。
2020/116.0814.8924.8353.91-6.2416.960.65-
2020/105.29-5.1513.6247.82-9.1216.10.69-
2020/95.586.9315.9342.53-11.3316.150.59-
2020/85.22-2.49-3.0536.95-14.3715.60.62-
2020/75.356.43-3.6831.73-15.9815.430.62-
2020/65.03-0.324.0826.37-18.1115.240.58-
2020/55.05-2.250.7421.35-22.0213.850.64-
2020/45.1641.780.6716.3-27.1212.080.73-
2020/33.6410.98-30.6711.14-35.3911.140.88-
2020/23.28-22.18-26.657.5-37.4611.890.82-
2020/14.22-4.11-43.94.22-43.913.490.73-
2019/124.4-9.75-37.9161.89-44.70.0N/A-
2019/114.874.57-38.3357.5-45.160.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.332023/17.852022/111.962021/16.182020/14.22
2024/24.582023/27.242022/210.532021/25.32020/23.28
2024/35.092023/37.452022/313.232021/38.332020/33.64
2024/45.162023/47.532022/46.02021/47.492020/45.16
2024/55.442023/57.072022/511.712021/57.422020/55.05
2024/66.452023/67.482022/613.812021/68.122020/65.03
2024/76.172023/77.722022/712.512021/78.942020/75.35
2024/86.192023/87.672022/813.82021/88.682020/85.22
2024/96.442023/97.562022/913.822021/97.082020/95.58
2024/106.472023/108.082022/1012.452021/106.022020/105.29
N/AN/A2023/117.592022/1111.252021/117.032020/116.08
N/AN/A2023/127.752022/129.192021/1210.272020/127.12
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 6.42%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.79-6.28-65.51
24Q2 (19)1.91-13.57-58.11
24Q1 (18)2.21-37.04-51.11
23Q4 (17)3.51-32.37-20.05
23Q3 (16)5.1913.825.27
23Q2 (15)4.560.88-2.56
23Q1 (14)4.522.964.63
22Q4 (13)4.39-10.9567.56
22Q3 (12)4.935.34235.37
22Q2 (11)4.688.33178.57
22Q1 (10)4.3264.891209.09
21Q4 (9)2.6278.23693.94
21Q3 (8)1.47-12.558.06
21Q2 (7)1.68409.09409.09
21Q1 (6)0.330.0-78.29
20Q4 (5)0.33-64.52-2.94
20Q3 (4)0.93181.820.0
20Q2 (3)0.33-78.290.0
20Q1 (2)1.52347.060.0
19Q4 (1)0.340.00.0

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