玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/106.27-14.3510.8455.67-1.3619.17N/A-
2024/97.3230.8935.4949.41-2.7119.120.91-
2024/85.59-10.0116.8242.09-7.2617.111.01-
2024/76.2117.05-1.7136.5-10.117.470.99-
2024/65.31-10.91-27.6630.29-11.6516.21.08-
2024/55.9620.711.9724.98-7.2915.921.1-
2024/44.93-1.87-7.4319.03-9.8514.451.21-
2024/35.0312.11-22.9314.09-10.6714.091.19-
2024/24.49-2.0-13.049.06-2.0314.551.16-
2024/14.58-16.6311.854.5811.8515.141.11-
2023/125.498.21-24.4867.01.2316.221.03-
2023/115.07-10.25-7.6461.514.416.131.04-
2023/105.654.694.8856.445.6415.841.06-
2023/95.412.86-15.8450.795.7316.51.19-
2023/84.78-24.29-16.2245.399.0518.441.07-
2023/76.32-13.8523.8340.613.0719.51.01-
2023/67.3425.5929.1434.2811.2918.511.12-
2023/55.849.579.6826.957.2617.71.17-
2023/45.33-18.37.7121.116.6117.011.22-
2023/36.5326.59.2215.786.2415.781.35-
2023/25.1626.0547.139.254.2316.521.29-
2023/14.09-43.71-23.774.09-23.7716.861.26-
2022/127.2732.3420.4366.1930.5518.151.06-
2022/115.491.9219.4758.9231.9217.31.11-
2022/105.39-15.9938.5953.4233.3517.521.1-
2022/96.4212.35-1.7448.0332.7917.231.23-
2022/85.7111.8916.4241.6240.416.491.29-
2022/75.1-10.1526.4635.9145.1516.111.32-
2022/65.686.6647.1130.848.815.961.27-
2022/55.337.646.4225.1249.1816.251.25-
2022/44.95-17.1540.7819.849.9514.431.41-
2022/35.9770.4144.114.8553.2714.851.21累積營收較去年累積營收成長53.28%,主要係台灣及美洲地區專案訂單出貨較去年增加所致。
2022/23.51-34.723.318.8760.1414.911.21累積營收較去年累積營收成長60.14%,主要係台灣及歐美地區專案訂單出貨較去年增加所致。
2022/15.37-11.0798.925.3798.9216.01.12本月營收較去年同期大幅成長98.92%,主要係台灣及歐美地區專案訂單出貨較去年同期大幅增加所致。
2021/126.0431.2938.6750.710.1414.521.04-
2021/114.618.2223.7244.667.1615.021.01-
2021/103.89-40.44-2.0440.065.5415.320.99-
2021/96.5333.1358.3336.176.4215.470.94本月營收較去年同期大幅成長58.34%,主要係美洲地區專案訂單出貨較去年同期大幅增加所致。
2021/84.921.5435.0529.64-0.7412.81.13-
2021/74.044.58.0124.74-5.6911.531.26-
2021/63.866.16-9.3620.7-7.9711.011.33-
2021/53.643.462.0216.84-7.6511.31.29-
2021/43.52-15.22.5513.2-10.010.51.39-
2021/34.1545.8221.149.69-13.839.691.01-
2021/22.845.33-20.325.54-29.149.90.99-
2021/12.7-38.0-36.532.7-36.5310.770.91-
2020/124.3517.14-7.3546.03-2.8712.040.68-
2020/113.72-6.47.8441.67-2.3711.810.69-
2020/103.97-3.72-10.9237.96-3.2711.730.7-
2020/94.1213.56-10.133.99-2.2911.490.92-
2020/83.63-2.79-7.1329.86-1.1111.630.91-
2020/73.74-12.315.5526.23-0.2111.560.91-
2020/64.2619.58.7922.5-2.4211.250.99-
2020/53.564.0-16.3118.23-4.7210.411.07-
2020/43.430.17-9.4714.67-1.410.421.07-
2020/33.42-4.08-22.8911.241.3511.240.91-
2020/23.57-16.130.387.8217.5212.520.82-
2020/14.25-9.498.544.258.5412.40.82-
2019/124.736.3516.5847.39-5.420.0N/A-
2019/113.45-22.69-19.3542.69-7.340.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.582023/14.092022/15.372021/12.72020/14.25
2024/24.492023/25.162022/23.512021/22.842020/23.57
2024/35.032023/36.532022/35.972021/34.152020/33.42
2024/44.932023/45.332022/44.952021/43.522020/43.43
2024/55.962023/55.842022/55.332021/53.642020/53.56
2024/65.312023/67.342022/65.682021/63.862020/64.26
2024/76.212023/76.322022/75.12021/74.042020/73.74
2024/85.592023/84.782022/85.712021/84.92020/83.63
2024/97.322023/95.42022/96.422021/96.532020/94.12
2024/106.272023/105.652022/105.392021/103.892020/103.97
N/AN/A2023/115.072022/115.492021/114.62020/113.72
N/AN/A2023/125.492022/127.272021/126.042020/124.35
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 8.12%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.8329.690.0
24Q2 (19)0.64-14.67-23.81
24Q1 (18)0.75-20.217.14
23Q4 (17)0.9413.2522.08
23Q3 (16)0.83-1.19-42.36
23Q2 (15)0.8420.0-20.75
23Q1 (14)0.7-9.09-14.63
22Q4 (13)0.77-46.53-16.3
22Q3 (12)1.4435.8587.01
22Q2 (11)1.0629.27100.0
22Q1 (10)0.82-10.87272.73
21Q4 (9)0.9219.48148.65
21Q3 (8)0.7745.2835.09
21Q2 (7)0.53140.91-8.62
21Q1 (6)0.22-40.54-68.57
20Q4 (5)0.37-35.0954.17
20Q3 (4)0.57-1.720.0
20Q2 (3)0.58-17.140.0
20Q1 (2)0.7191.670.0
19Q4 (1)0.240.00.0

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