玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1011.477.8825.15101.3413.6833.34N/A-
2024/910.63-5.5111.4689.8712.3632.940.65-
2024/811.251.6712.1879.2512.4831.210.68-
2024/711.0624.3419.8468.012.5429.960.71-
2024/68.9-11.03.2556.9311.2228.390.64-
2024/510.05.339.7248.0412.8328.80.63-
2024/49.491.9920.938.0413.6825.940.7-
2024/39.3130.335.9828.5511.4628.550.6-
2024/27.14-40.99-13.1319.2414.3326.630.65-
2024/112.163.8140.5412.140.5429.510.58-
2023/127.39-26.3211.56106.56-1.6226.570.73-
2023/1110.039.4312.5299.17-2.4728.720.67-
2023/109.16-3.918.5889.14-3.9228.720.67-
2023/99.54-4.920.079.98-5.1728.790.66-
2023/810.038.6231.1370.45-7.7827.880.68-
2023/79.237.130.0760.42-12.1126.960.7-
2023/68.62-5.431.6851.19-14.025.580.75-
2023/59.1116.07-9.5242.57-16.6125.740.75-
2023/47.85-10.59-24.5133.46-18.3524.850.77-
2023/38.786.83-18.9325.61-16.2625.610.78-
2023/28.22-4.53-2.8416.83-14.7923.450.85-
2023/18.6130.04-23.748.61-23.7424.140.82-
2022/126.62-25.69-16.42108.31-0.7523.970.97-
2022/118.915.599.01101.690.4725.290.92-
2022/108.446.19-10.8492.78-0.2724.030.96-
2022/97.953.91-10.3584.340.9224.820.95-
2022/87.65-17.1-17.2476.42.2625.350.93-
2022/79.228.86-3.8968.755.0127.770.85-
2022/68.47-15.86-7.759.536.5428.950.87-
2022/510.07-3.1511.9751.059.3431.30.81-
2022/410.4-3.984.5640.988.7129.690.85-
2022/310.8328.0312.6530.5810.230.580.75-
2022/28.46-25.0616.9519.758.927.670.83-
2022/111.2942.523.5511.293.5527.390.84-
2021/127.92-3.0713.44109.1318.0825.560.96-
2021/118.17-13.63-3.78101.2118.4626.50.92-
2021/109.466.7725.0593.0420.9227.570.89-
2021/98.86-4.076.8883.5720.4727.70.79-
2021/89.24-3.7320.1374.7122.3228.020.78-
2021/79.64.5417.6365.4722.6327.770.79-
2021/69.182.0723.5855.8723.5328.120.59-
2021/58.99-9.5615.0946.6923.5228.550.58-
2021/49.953.436.4637.725.7226.790.62-
2021/39.6132.9228.9827.7534.4427.750.48-
2021/27.23-33.6521.5418.1437.5325.120.53-
2021/110.956.1350.6810.950.6826.380.51主要係因客戶之需求增溫及農曆年前備貨所致。
2020/126.98-17.814.8592.414.7723.050.7-
2020/118.4912.2510.3285.434.0324.360.67-
2020/107.57-8.73-3.3976.943.3823.550.69-
2020/98.297.818.3869.374.1724.140.61-
2020/87.69-5.73-2.3361.083.6323.280.63-
2020/78.169.849.0453.394.5523.40.63-
2020/67.43-4.946.0645.233.7824.590.55-
2020/57.81-16.340.0437.83.3424.610.55-
2020/49.3425.3121.3129.984.2422.750.59-
2020/37.4525.2613.8220.64-2.020.640.75-
2020/25.95-17.75-8.2313.19-9.1419.270.81-
2020/17.2419.0-9.877.24-9.8721.020.74-
2019/126.08-21.0319.0788.2-17.40.0N/A-
2019/117.7-1.7-0.1182.12-19.240.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/112.12023/18.612022/111.292021/110.92020/17.24
2024/27.142023/28.222022/28.462021/27.232020/25.95
2024/39.312023/38.782022/310.832021/39.612020/37.45
2024/49.492023/47.852022/410.42021/49.952020/49.34
2024/510.02023/59.112022/510.072021/58.992020/57.81
2024/68.92023/68.622022/68.472021/69.182020/67.43
2024/711.062023/79.232022/79.222021/79.62020/78.16
2024/811.252023/810.032022/87.652021/89.242020/87.69
2024/910.632023/99.542022/97.952021/98.862020/98.29
2024/1011.472023/109.162022/108.442021/109.462020/107.57
N/AN/A2023/1110.032022/118.912021/118.172020/118.49
N/AN/A2023/127.392022/126.622021/127.922020/126.98
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 0.33%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.07-12.540.0
24Q2 (19)0.08166.6760.0
24Q1 (18)0.03-50.0-25.0
23Q4 (17)0.0620.0200.0
23Q3 (16)0.050.025.0
23Q2 (15)0.0525.0-44.44
23Q1 (14)0.04100.0-85.71
22Q4 (13)0.02-50.0-66.67
22Q3 (12)0.04-55.56-66.67
22Q2 (11)0.09-67.86-43.75
22Q1 (10)0.28366.67100.0
21Q4 (9)0.06-50.0-68.42
21Q3 (8)0.12-25.0-29.41
21Q2 (7)0.1614.29-15.79
21Q1 (6)0.14-26.32-39.13
20Q4 (5)0.1911.7635.71
20Q3 (4)0.17-10.530.0
20Q2 (3)0.19-17.390.0
20Q1 (2)0.2364.290.0
19Q4 (1)0.140.00.0

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