玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.4625.8617.743.54102.2992.3962.26-20.72-15.0425.73-50.6-47.9154.94-30.33-49.3233.05-36.16131.44
24Q2 (19)1.1624.73-32.561.7538.89-42.6278.53-20.0248.252.09-27.6974.878.86-45.8113.3551.77109.6291.6
24Q1 (18)0.93-44.31-39.221.26-50.39-51.1698.1980.064.7872.04101.45103.96145.5272.85120.5224.70302.94-14.59
23Q4 (17)1.6734.6817.612.5438.0427.6454.55-25.56-14.9935.76-27.61-21.6884.19-22.33-8.636.13-57.07-65.33
23Q3 (16)1.24-27.914.21.84-39.67-20.6973.2838.29-4.249.4065.7725.96108.4055.8115.3714.288.02-34.34
23Q2 (15)1.7212.42-14.03.0518.22-34.8352.99-11.0816.6429.80-15.6353.3769.575.4350.7513.22-54.29-29.34
23Q1 (14)1.537.75-12.572.5829.65-19.3859.59-7.1414.5735.32-22.6524.2865.99-28.38-14.928.9263.57900.69
22Q4 (13)1.4219.3324.561.99-14.22-17.0864.17-16.11-19.4245.6616.4220.4192.14-1.94-12.2517.68-18.7140.76
22Q3 (12)1.19-40.5-16.782.32-50.43-31.9676.4968.3719.9739.22101.8547.093.96103.635.1621.7516.253.97
22Q2 (11)2.0014.2918.344.6846.2514.1545.43-12.65-15.4619.43-31.63-12.3646.15-40.48-12.518.71547.4-19.28
22Q1 (10)1.7553.51-2.233.2033.33-7.7852.01-34.692.2828.42-25.058.2777.54-26.1547.392.89-76.99-88.2
21Q4 (9)1.14-20.28-11.632.40-29.628.1179.6424.9113.2237.9242.13-7.67105.0051.0428.5212.56-39.96-57.72
21Q3 (8)1.43-15.3888.163.41-16.8334.2563.7618.65-46.526.6820.34-25.6269.5231.82-32.2920.92-9.75-60.07
21Q2 (7)1.69-5.5926.124.1018.16-28.9453.745.68-20.8122.17-15.5440.4952.740.25-10.5523.18-5.39-6.08
21Q1 (6)1.7938.7610.493.4756.31-27.4150.85-27.71-9.4126.25-36.0838.0152.61-35.61-0.9224.50-17.5411.11
20Q4 (5)1.2969.7429.02.22-12.6-7.570.34-40.98-22.6241.0714.58.3681.70-20.4229.6229.71-43.29-54.83
20Q3 (4)0.76-43.280.02.54-55.980.0119.1875.630.035.87127.310.0102.6774.140.052.39112.280.0
20Q2 (3)1.34-17.280.05.7720.710.067.8620.90.015.78-17.030.058.9611.040.024.6811.930.0
20Q1 (2)1.6262.00.04.7899.170.056.13-38.250.019.02-49.820.053.10-15.750.022.05-66.470.0
19Q4 (1)1.000.00.02.400.00.090.900.00.037.900.00.063.030.00.065.770.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)6.39-18.499.04-22.8757.1422.840.3829.7176.2224.121.2931.1
2022 (9)7.840.5111.72-15.5646.53-0.5331.1318.3761.424.0816.2415.42
2021 (8)7.80-1.2713.8820.5946.781.2626.30-17.0659.0110.5114.07-42.62
2020 (7)7.9025.611.51-14.6846.20-20.4131.7117.1853.405.9524.52-29.34
2019 (6)6.29-6.5413.49-5.4758.057.0627.065.7950.4024.0534.70-11.43
2018 (5)6.7348.2414.2782.2554.22-32.525.58-45.1540.63-41.5139.18-31.85
2017 (4)4.54-2.167.83-3.8180.322.1446.643.9969.47-7.0857.4917.98
2016 (3)4.644.58.14-2.0578.64-4.2844.852.0974.760.3848.73-5.58
2015 (2)4.44-1.558.3110.882.161.5843.93-9.7474.48-10.3551.6111.06
2014 (1)4.51-9.627.5011.1180.8810.4848.67-10.083.08-3.0246.4711.68

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