玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/105.2219.9419.2938.9318.3114.68N/A-
2024/94.35-14.7526.3833.7118.1613.930.22-
2024/85.1114.0540.5929.3617.0312.690.24-
2024/74.4843.9946.0424.2513.0411.360.27-
2024/63.11-17.71-9.1419.787.549.70.28-
2024/53.7834.42-10.0716.6711.369.810.27-
2024/42.81-12.85-5.5912.8919.728.610.31-
2024/33.2225.440.1910.0829.410.080.22-
2024/22.57-40.013.126.8649.9710.430.21-
2024/14.2820.0286.44.2886.411.270.2本月營收成長主要係母公司營收成長所致
2023/123.574.4332.5439.8915.0611.360.16-
2023/113.42-21.8719.1536.3213.5911.240.17-
2023/104.3827.0669.0932.913.0411.450.16本月營收成長主要係母公司外銷營收成長所致
2023/93.44-5.1625.2928.537.5710.140.19-
2023/83.6318.4642.1825.085.5210.120.19-
2023/73.06-10.4111.6721.451.1110.690.18-
2023/63.42-18.55-13.1318.39-0.4510.60.18-
2023/54.241.1118.0414.972.9810.40.18-
2023/42.98-7.5-5.5410.77-1.98.470.23-
2023/33.2241.6311.97.79-0.457.790.12-
2023/22.27-1.14-3.054.57-7.637.260.13-
2023/12.3-14.64-11.752.3-11.757.860.12-
2022/122.69-6.11-31.8734.67-25.558.150.16-
2022/112.8710.86-34.3931.98-24.968.20.16-
2022/102.59-5.85-42.6229.11-23.887.890.17-
2022/92.757.62-41.7126.52-21.388.050.15-
2022/82.55-6.95-41.9623.77-18.079.240.13-
2022/72.74-30.31-37.621.22-13.810.240.12-
2022/63.9410.684.9718.47-8.6210.650.13-
2022/53.5612.912.6814.53-11.729.590.15-
2022/43.159.57-18.0610.98-15.578.370.17-
2022/32.8822.7-11.397.83-14.57.830.39-
2022/22.34-10.01-29.454.95-16.218.90.34-
2022/12.6-34.110.792.60.7910.930.28-
2021/123.95-9.588.5846.5780.5512.840.25主要係母公司營收持續成長所致
2021/114.37-3.0581.2642.6192.3713.60.23主要係母公司營收持續成長所致
2021/104.51-4.3582.938.2493.7313.630.23主要係母公司營收持續成長所致
2021/94.727.16152.9733.7395.2813.510.61主要係母公司營收持續成長所致
2021/84.40.03146.629.0288.312.550.65主要係母公司營收持續成長所致
2021/74.417.23111.1724.6280.6611.620.71主要係母公司營收持續成長所致
2021/63.758.2789.9920.2275.1611.060.27主要係母公司6月營收成長所致
2021/53.47-9.944.8216.4672.110.560.28主要係母公司110年至本月及累計營收皆較109年成長所致
2021/43.8518.49107.213.081.1910.420.29主要係母公司4月營收成長所致
2021/33.25-2.2983.299.1572.119.150.31本月營收及累計營收增長主要是母公司2021年2月暨2021年3月營收皆成長所致
2021/23.3228.5684.215.9166.539.550.3本月營收及累計營收增長主要是母公司2021年2月營收成長
2021/12.58-29.0148.252.5848.258.640.33-
2020/123.6450.9334.8925.79-19.028.520.33-
2020/112.41-2.1719.1422.15-24.016.740.41-
2020/102.4732.285.8719.74-27.236.110.45-
2020/91.864.46-28.6717.27-30.345.730.44-
2020/81.78-14.331.1415.41-30.545.840.43-
2020/72.085.47-40.5213.62-33.276.450.39-
2020/61.97-17.469.9511.54-31.776.220.34-
2020/52.3928.8914.489.57-36.736.020.35-
2020/41.864.81-44.047.17-44.955.430.39-
2020/31.77-1.8-36.985.32-45.255.320.43-
2020/21.83.47-35.893.55-48.626.250.37-
2020/11.74-35.41-57.381.74-57.386.470.36109年1月相較108年1月營收下降,主要係大型專案認列在108年1月所致
2019/122.733.3-11.2131.859.740.0N/A-
2019/112.02-13.07-35.2629.1512.20.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.282023/12.32022/12.62021/12.582020/11.74
2024/22.572023/22.272022/22.342021/23.322020/21.8
2024/33.222023/33.222022/32.882021/33.252020/31.77
2024/42.812023/42.982022/43.152021/43.852020/41.86
2024/53.782023/54.22022/53.562021/53.472020/52.39
2024/63.112023/63.422022/63.942021/63.752020/61.97
2024/74.482023/73.062022/72.742021/74.42020/72.08
2024/85.112023/83.632022/82.552021/84.42020/81.78
2024/94.352023/93.442022/92.752021/94.722020/91.86
2024/105.222023/104.382022/102.592021/104.512020/102.47
N/AN/A2023/113.422022/112.872021/114.372020/112.41
N/AN/A2023/123.572022/122.692021/123.952020/123.64
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 33.84%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.32-24.1424.53
24Q2 (19)1.748.0742.62
24Q1 (18)1.61-1.8342.48
23Q4 (17)1.6454.7219.71
23Q3 (16)1.06-13.11-6.19
23Q2 (15)1.227.967.96
23Q1 (14)1.13-17.52-48.64
22Q4 (13)1.3721.24-49.45
22Q3 (12)1.130.0-43.78
22Q2 (11)1.13-48.64-28.48
22Q1 (10)2.2-18.8226.44
21Q4 (9)2.7134.8338.27
21Q3 (8)2.0127.22-1.95
21Q2 (7)1.58-9.2-14.59
21Q1 (6)1.74-11.226.75
20Q4 (5)1.96-4.3915.98
20Q3 (4)2.0510.810.0
20Q2 (3)1.8513.50.0
20Q1 (2)1.63-3.550.0
19Q4 (1)1.690.00.0

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