玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.51-13.8620.585.3326.931.67N/A-
2024/90.595.131.184.8227.651.690.9-
2024/80.576.5330.654.2227.171.590.96-
2024/70.537.4930.793.6626.641.630.93-
2024/60.49-18.322.013.1325.971.690.86-
2024/50.62.4447.142.6326.741.740.84-
2024/40.598.9959.152.0321.711.570.93客戶需求增加,112年基期低導致增加比率上升
2024/30.5423.3810.861.4411.01.440.92-
2024/20.44-4.312.950.911.081.291.03-
2024/10.4616.9620.170.4620.171.311.01-
2023/120.39-15.426.115.05-16.631.280.91-
2023/110.469.178.684.66-18.11.340.87-
2023/100.42-6.292.914.2-20.271.310.89-
2023/90.454.6811.493.77-22.251.290.96-
2023/80.436.646.573.32-25.331.241.0-
2023/70.410.27-1.952.89-28.541.221.02-
2023/60.4-1.47-7.762.48-31.571.190.83-
2023/50.4110.8-18.672.08-34.851.270.77-
2023/40.37-24.07-39.81.67-37.891.280.76-
2023/30.4914.58-30.581.3-37.321.30.76-
2023/20.4311.68-29.880.81-40.81.180.84-
2023/10.383.28-49.560.38-49.561.180.84-
2022/120.37-13.37-43.216.06-29.351.210.79-
2022/110.433.36-38.525.69-28.221.250.77-
2022/100.411.52-37.825.27-27.231.220.78-
2022/90.410.06-38.154.85-26.161.230.91-
2022/80.41-1.88-37.14.45-24.831.260.88-
2022/70.41-5.66-33.14.04-23.331.360.82-
2022/60.44-13.13-44.933.63-22.031.560.94-
2022/50.51-17.98-37.823.19-17.31.820.81-
2022/40.62-12.44-31.782.68-11.821.930.76-
2022/30.715.74-12.62.07-3.42.070.71-
2022/20.61-19.67-9.771.362.142.010.72-
2022/10.7616.314.260.7614.262.10.7-
2021/120.65-6.226.528.5834.72.010.94-
2021/110.694.5428.57.9337.692.010.94-
2021/100.660.9824.677.2438.641.970.96-
2021/90.661.753.916.5740.231.920.91-
2021/80.654.35-2.515.9245.892.060.85-
2021/70.62-22.34-12.765.2755.342.230.791.109年受COVID-19疫情影響營收較低2.因終端客戶的需求明顯增加營收較去年成長55.34%
2021/60.8-1.9192.274.6573.332.510.61109年受COVID-19疫情影響營收較低2.因終端客戶的需求明顯增加營收較去年成長73.34%
2021/50.81-10.0175.43.8669.882.520.611.109年受COVID-19疫情影響營收較低2.因終端客戶的需求明顯增加營收較去年成長69.88%
2021/40.912.1770.123.0468.462.380.651.109年受COVID-19疫情影響營收較低2.因終端客戶的需求明顯增加營收較去年成長68.47%
2021/30.819.4929.642.1467.772.140.741.109年第一季受COVID-19疫情影響當季營收較低。2.本季因終端客戶的需求明顯增加營收較109第一季成長67.8%
2021/20.671.72146.51.34103.921.950.811.109/2 COVID-19疫情爆發,當月營收低。.2.110年第一季營收受到終端客戶的需求增加影響,較往年第一季佳。
2021/10.668.4273.440.6673.441.810.87109年1月因逢農曆過年實際工作日較少,故造成109年1月比較基期較低
2020/120.6113.1346.726.3714.751.680.68-
2020/110.541.4235.985.7612.151.70.67-
2020/100.53-15.8214.875.2210.161.830.63-
2020/90.63-4.5446.774.699.652.00.58-
2020/80.66-6.6134.924.065.491.790.66-
2020/70.7171.1539.643.391.181.590.74-
2020/60.41-10.52-0.592.68-5.671.410.87-
2020/50.46-12.72-10.132.27-6.551.610.76-
2020/40.53-14.51-1.491.81-5.581.420.86-
2020/30.62127.2135.061.28-7.181.280.75-
2020/20.27-28.42-28.00.65-28.411.070.9-
2020/10.38-8.27-28.70.38-28.71.190.8-
2019/120.424.843.045.55-19.810.0N/A-
2019/110.4-14.32-21.835.13-21.230.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.462023/10.382022/10.762021/10.662020/10.38
2024/20.442023/20.432022/20.612021/20.672020/20.27
2024/30.542023/30.492022/30.72021/30.82020/30.62
2024/40.592023/40.372022/40.622021/40.92020/40.53
2024/50.62023/50.412022/50.512021/50.812020/50.46
2024/60.492023/60.42022/60.442021/60.82020/60.41
2024/70.532023/70.412022/70.412021/70.622020/70.71
2024/80.572023/80.432022/80.412021/80.652020/80.66
2024/90.592023/90.452022/90.412021/90.662020/90.63
2024/100.512023/100.422022/100.412021/100.662020/100.53
N/AN/A2023/110.462022/110.432021/110.692020/110.54
N/AN/A2023/120.392022/120.372021/120.652020/120.61
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季
合約負債 QoQ YoY

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